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Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home for Tech

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Re: Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home for Tech

#61
I think the fairly straightforward solution to the H1B issue is to tie it to a salary requirement, rather than a lottery/other subjective measures.

If I want to hire a software developer from abroad and I'm willing to pay him above-market rates relative to similar jobs, that should demonstrate that I'm hiring that person because of his skills/knowledge rather than trying to cut costs.

Re: Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home for Tech

#62
post #45

I'm going to stick my neck out here and say that this may not be an altogether bad thing. From the article: "The foreign work visas were originally established to help U.S. companies recruit from abroad when they couldn’t find qualified local workers. But in recent years, there have been allegations the programs have been abused to bring in cheaper workers from overseas to fill jobs that otherwise may go to Americans…

When companies like Tata are fulfilling government contracts, they _should_ be filling those positions with local labour at local rates.

Here's an alternate proposal. Suppose it would cost $70k for the wrong type of people to provide labor, and $100k for the right type of person to provide labor.

Lets continue having labor sold by the lowest cost provider. But then lets engage in direct wealth transfers; we'll have the government directly send $30k to the high income software engineers who might have been able to do the same job less efficiently.

This is a more or less equivalent scheme to transfer wealth from taxpayers to high income people. Do you have any objection to this scheme? If so, why does your objection not apply equally well to your protectionist scheme?

Re: Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home for Tech

#63
post #45

I'm going to stick my neck out here and say that this may not be an altogether bad thing. From the article: "The foreign work visas were originally established to help U.S. companies recruit from abroad when they couldn’t find qualified local workers. But in recent years, there have been allegations the programs have been abused to bring in cheaper workers from overseas to fill jobs that otherwise may go to Americans…

A large part of consulting recruits consist of yes-men who will work extra hours, do whatever their manager say with no critical thinking and will put up with clients' bullshit. This is what needed for the type of business and it has little to do with talent.

I am not sure how many proud Americans who would sign up for those positions.

Re: Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home for Tech

#64
post #10

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Good for software developers. Not so much for large companies that want to drive down salaries through indentured servitude (H1B).

No it's not that good for software developers or anyone really. Many of those hired on H1B are doing roles for which they simply can't get enough local talent. And so all that is going to happen is that companies are going to shift entire projects offshore or simply not take on as many projects. There does need to be reform. But frankly given the chaotic manner in which the Trump administration is crafting and implem…

I keep hearing this but personally have seen people passed over for H1B candidates when both were equally qualified. Even seen a few senior developer positions filled this way and in every case it was money.

It feels good to tell ourselves we didn't hire locally because there wasn't enough talent when in many cases its just far easier to accept a recruiters suggestions where multiple recruiters simply undercut each other.

Re: Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home for Tech

#65
post #10

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Good for software developers. Not so much for large companies that want to drive down salaries through indentured servitude (H1B).

No it's not that good for software developers or anyone really. Many of those hired on H1B are doing roles for which they simply can't get enough local talent. And so all that is going to happen is that companies are going to shift entire projects offshore or simply not take on as many projects. There does need to be reform. But frankly given the chaotic manner in which the Trump administration is crafting and implem…

> Many of those hired on H1B are doing roles for which they simply can't get local talent

So it's not just a way to get regular software developers at a cheap price? OK let's raise the minimum salary requirement for H1B visas to $120k.

Re: Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home for Tech

#66
post #15
post #4

Why would SV clash with Trump on this? This seems like a sensible solution to the problem and one I've seen posted multiple times here on HN.

I have been reading for years how broken the current system is, so I would bet that there is a market for that. The issue is the motivation behind the change. What if the changes are designed to please an electorate that is not directly impacted but they just really really want to see some heads rolling? There are some serious credibility issues with the current US govt. Left or right, populists pretend to swing a ma…

Also don't forget that Trump is emotionally immature.

He has a long track record of viciously attacking those whom attack him. Could well be payback for many of the SV companies that criticised him both publicly and privately e.g. Lisa Jackson from Apple meeting with Kushner/Ivanka this week.

Re: Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home for Tech

#67
post #21
post #18

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Or how much developer employment will fall? (Two sides of the same coin.)

Surely you only get more unemployment when its artificially increased by law. There would be nothing stopping a individual developer accepting a lower salary. But probably won't because companies are desperate for them.

To be clear, we are explicitly talking about reducing employment; reducing the number of developers eligible to work directly reduces employment, because there are fewer left to be employed.

Then consider the second-order effects. When wages rise, some development tasks are no longer worth performing, because they cost more than the value they create. In theory whole industries could become unsustainable if developers are very scarce, with knock-on effects on other professions.

Re: Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home for Tech

#68
post #45

I'm going to stick my neck out here and say that this may not be an altogether bad thing. From the article: "The foreign work visas were originally established to help U.S. companies recruit from abroad when they couldn’t find qualified local workers. But in recent years, there have been allegations the programs have been abused to bring in cheaper workers from overseas to fill jobs that otherwise may go to Americans…

When companies like Tata are fulfilling government contracts, they _should_ be filling those positions with local labour at local rates. Here's an alternate proposal. Suppose it would cost $70k for the wrong type of people to provide labor, and $100k for the right type of person to provide labor. Lets continue having labor sold by the lowest cost provider. But then lets engage in direct wealth transfers; we'll have t…

Who pays for that $30k the government sends the displaced worker?

Re: Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home for Tech

#69
post #41

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why assume a specialized job "won't be filled", but a job were "the exact same package the immigrant would have been on" is offered will? I believe H1B visas are currently used to get workers who accept lower-than-average wages; Hence the same jobs offered to non H1B workers at that level won't be attractive.

H1B visas are generally used for cheap labour. L1 and L2 visas are used for workers with "specialized knowledge" who are necessary because is no local option.

L1 visa are used for intra-company transfers. They are not freely available to anyone with special knowledge. If the company has a division outside of the US, then you'd need to work there for at least a year before applying for an L1. L2 is for dependents of a L1 holder, like a spouse or child.

Re: Trump’s Next Move on Immigration to Hit Closer to Home for Tech

#70
post #11

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I was under the impression that an L1 or L2 currently required a candidate to have "specialist knowledge" that a company wouldn't be able to recruit domestically anyway? I could be misunderstanding, but isn't this just bringing the h1b in line with that?

"specialist knowledge" makes sense in L1 because L1 is for intra-company transfer. You are already working for this company (outside of the US), so it's possible that you have some "specialist knowledge" about the technology this company uses, and if they transfer you to the US instead of a local new hire, it saves the company money and time to train the new hire. H1b is not for intra-company transfer so this doesn't…

Fair point, I guess the specialism aspect would boil down to being really good, or having domain knowledge of similar products.

The latter being easier to demonstrate, not sure quite how you'd convince the govt that Candidate X is a superb programmer or whatever.

Guess we can look forward to whiteboard tree shaking and fizzbuzz at the airport! ;)

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