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Ask HN: What is the next bubble in your opinion?

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Re: Ask HN: What is the next bubble in your opinion?

#31

Post by segmondy »

bsvalley wrote: post #15

There won't be any big bubbles anytime soon. Only small bubbles. If silicon valley falls apart tomorrow for example, it would be considered a small bubble since it would be very contained (only VC money). In 2000 the entire world was injecting money in Silicon Valley. It was a complete different setup... So talking about the next big bubble in 2017 does not make sense.

Do you know where some VC's money comes from? Wall street invests in VCs using pension funds, 401k money. So if SV falls apart, the effect will be more than outside SV. Follow the money.

Re: Ask HN: What is the next bubble in your opinion?

#32

Post by bananicorn »

_coldfire wrote: post #13
bdcravens wrote: post #8

> We had quite a dramatic elections in the US. > Since we have computer literate people, founders, risk takers, entrepreneurs, intelligent people on this site, I want to know what do you think is going to be next bubble? I'd argue that "we" are pretty ignorant of what's really going on. (see the recent presidential election) We live in a world of fast Internet, current-gen personal devices, and Instabizzes that make…

>There's a LOT of people, both red and blue There's a magnitude more of people who aren't either and wouldn't even understand the meaning of that phrase.

Honestly, I didn't get it at first - I thought it was some kind of matrix reference about the red and blue pill (in hindsight, not even for a particular reason), not about democrats and republicans... Even though I'm not american I feel stupid not having thought of that first.

Re: Ask HN: What is the next bubble in your opinion?

#33

Post by baldeagle »

charlesdm wrote: post #29
rorykoehler wrote: post #17

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What use is a recovery if liquidating it will get only a fraction of the loan's value back?

I'm assuming they don't give you a loan for the entire amount, i.e. just 70% of the value?

Throw in a prior car not paid off, paint/tire/oil protection and an additional warranty - it isn't hard to get up to or over 110% of the car's value.

Re: Ask HN: What is the next bubble in your opinion?

#36

Post by aaronhoffman »

vadym909 wrote: post #19

The student loan bubble will burst putting colleges out of business or cutting back hard- and as before the public will bear the brunt. from 3 years ago and it is still growing with no slow down http://ijr.com/2014/06/149516-mark-cuban-predicts-burst-stud...

And wsj linked here today https://www.google.com/amp/www.wsj.com/amp/articles/student-...

Re: Ask HN: What is the next bubble in your opinion?

#38

Post by antoniuschan99 »

0xcde4c3db wrote: post #18

It might not be the next bubble (rather next decade's bubble), and not as big as the mortgage securities bubble, but I have my eye on siloed social media in general and Facebook in particular. I don't know exactly how or when the federated/web-of-trust alternative to Facebook will unfold, but people are definitely working on commoditizing this stuff, and doing so in an unassuming way that has the potential to catch m…

It didn't happen with ICQ, AOL Messenger, and others. How do you think it will happen with the current generation of messengers?

Closest thing that federated the messengers was Ebuddy, but that was not protocol i think.

Re: Ask HN: What is the next bubble in your opinion?

#40

Post by joeclark77 »

I suspect it will be non-healthcare jobs in healthcare. People are noticing that at the same time their premiums are doubling, tripling, quadrupling, doctors and hospitals seem to have larger and larger staffs of computer technicians, billing specialists, insurance negotiators or whatever the heck those people are doing. It used to be that a doctor could be self-employed, with just one nurse who doubled as a receptionist. Now fewer people are going into medicine, at the same time millions of people are going to be trained to work in the healthcare industry.

I think a lot of the resentment against "Obamacare" is that people can see this non-value-added waste (muda) and they saw government making a deal with the insurance industry to add even more bureaucracy to an already wasteful system. If there is going to be any compromise betwen left and right on healthcare, it may be that we keep the mandate (pleasing the left) but cut the regulation and bureaucracy that creates all the waste (pleasing the right).

That would be good for doctors and patients, of course, but very bad for insurance companies and other parts of the healthcare-industrial complex.

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