Ask HN: What is the next bubble in your opinion?

Is this really the case? Watches and small mechanical things are an interest of mine so I watch the market pretty carefully but I can't readily think of any $1k and under watches that appreciate.

New watches in that price range will be very unlikely to appreciate, even in the high end segment appreciation is unlikely outside of maybe Rolex or some low production pieces, but those are all significantly over $1k. Prices have gotten pretty high in the vintage market as well, and that is fraught with risk since fakes and partially original watches are so common.

The Euro will collapse

Here's democracy for you.

I think advertising may be the next bubble. I mean, there have been lots of comments online about how large a percentage of ad clicks are fraud, so it's likely most sites shouldn't be making anywhere near as much cash from their ads once that's figured out.

Add the increasing usage of adblockers, fears of privacy regarding tracking and ads plus a stupidly high amount of competition, and I can see ads not being able to fund the sites they need to soon. Complete with various news sites, social networks and platforms simply being unable to pay their bills without finding a new payment model.

Actual university education. When public it transforms in debt (Europa) else private in student loans (USA).

The debt of the countries are growing up.

The quality of research papers is a measure of quality of the teaching that is decreasing, since both reproducibility and relevance diminishes (Signal = ln(relevant / noise)).

The over qualification has not resulted in improvement of lower paid works or the raise of wages and it has put kids in situation of disarray whereas they would have survived otherwise hence the word "pro-net-arians". This generation that cannot save money is a generation barred from entrepreneurship, favouring conservative business models.

We are also seeing the first wave of homeless educated and competent coders. Education is also failing at protecting the educated one.

Education has also failed at achieving a fairer society and have resulted in the opposite leading worldwide to a ghettoisation of poor (public) vs rich (private that is often publicly funded).

https://www.google.com/finance?cid=662984

The danger of education is that it is essentially present in public debts that by nature is hard to bankrupt; thus countries (like Europe) may bankrupt as a result of this bubble. Remember that right now debt are obligations that are the safest investment ... if obligations disappear, the market will be explosively volatile.