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Facebook is Dying

baekdal.com

51–60 of 97 posts

Re: Facebook is Dying

#51
I'm generally pretty understanding about typos and occasional grammatical errors in articles, but this entire post is pretty ridiculous. I'll take that back if this person is a non-native English speaker, but if not, I really find it difficult to take anything he says seriously.

Re: Facebook is Dying

#52
post #8

We're all dying, but that doesn't mean we'll be dying tomorrow. Titles like that should come with a qualifying end-date. Otherwise it's just about some undefined point in the future. If facebook is dying I'd like to see some proof. I'm very much of the opinion that facebook is transient, but I'd be very careful to stick an end-date on it smaller than at least 5 years in to the future, and a lot can happen in 5 years.…

Facebook will die, but your profile data will live forever in some company's database.

Re: Facebook is Dying

#53
post #22
post #8

We're all dying, but that doesn't mean we'll be dying tomorrow. Titles like that should come with a qualifying end-date. Otherwise it's just about some undefined point in the future. If facebook is dying I'd like to see some proof. I'm very much of the opinion that facebook is transient, but I'd be very careful to stick an end-date on it smaller than at least 5 years in to the future, and a lot can happen in 5 years.…

It's much easier to predict what will happen than it is to predict when. For example, I can make the following predictions: Facebook will collapse India and China will erupt into violent war We will experience a water crisis Oil will run out (that one is actually easier, about 3 decades) Iran will be invaded These are all fairly obvious predictions. Sometimes math can be used to zero in on dates, but for most of us a…

Care to put some details on the India-China war prediction?

Re: Facebook is Dying

#54
post #52
post #8

We're all dying, but that doesn't mean we'll be dying tomorrow. Titles like that should come with a qualifying end-date. Otherwise it's just about some undefined point in the future. If facebook is dying I'd like to see some proof. I'm very much of the opinion that facebook is transient, but I'd be very careful to stick an end-date on it smaller than at least 5 years in to the future, and a lot can happen in 5 years.…

Facebook will die, but your profile data will live forever in some company's database.

Yes, that will probably be the case. But note that the usefulness of said data diminishes as time goes by. Eventually your data dies too.

Re: Facebook is Dying

#56
post #11
post #2

As a consultant to the dot-com industry around the turn of the century, I traveled a lot. I took a lot of long cab rides from airports to downtowns. I talked to lots of cabbies. At some point, I knew the end was near. I knew the end was near when cabbies started asking me if it was a good idea to invest in some particular technology stock or another. Why are cabbies investing in Juniper Networks? Recently, I started…

My technically inept family members have been using Google for years. But I don't see their shares tumbling.

I don't think he is referring to facebook aboption as an indicator here, rather the fact that someone clueless said that there are so many people using it and millions can be made

Re: Facebook is Dying

#57
Facebook launched in 04 and grew quickly. Then as now, people were saying it was dead, that Twitter would overtake it, that they would run out of money, that they would be the next Friendster, MySpace, AOL. It hasn't happened. They're closing in on 500 million (yes half a billion people use it!), and still there are nonbelievers.

My not so witty prediction is Facebook will IPO and probably fetch a 200 billion valuation in 2 years and yet still the naysayers will persist, like flies in China. Some things never change.

Re: Facebook is Dying

#58
post #57

Facebook launched in 04 and grew quickly. Then as now, people were saying it was dead, that Twitter would overtake it, that they would run out of money, that they would be the next Friendster, MySpace, AOL. It hasn't happened. They're closing in on 500 million (yes half a billion people use it!), and still there are nonbelievers. My not so witty prediction is Facebook will IPO and probably fetch a 200 billion valuati…

I totally agree.

Let's face it, we all hate facebook, but there are no good alternatives yet. Orkut and networks like friendstar are hopeless still, and whilst I'd love to remove myself from facebook, the reality is that most invitations people receive to do things are by facebook these days.

I can hardly wait for better alternatives though.

Re: Facebook is Dying

#59
You go and tell that to all the people I know in real life that use facebook - the mothers in the school playground for example.

Facebook is so big most of its users don't care about any of that stuff. For them it has one simple function - its a good way to interact with friends and family.

These are people who probably couldn't program the VCR to record a program in advance, who shrugged their shoulders when our (uk) government left all their children's records on a train, whose technical knowledge is minimal.

Facebook is doing just fine - just techies who worry about the details who are going off it. For the mainstream it works just fine.

(and as an aside - one of the weirdest things ever is hearing people who would have thought that me and my mates playing D&D when we were younger was geeky and strange - talking about things like farmville in just the same way)

Re: Facebook is Dying

#60
post #4
post #3

Wow. This is the 5th post of the demise or disgust of Facebook -- today. Are we just hating on them, or are these posts signaling a drastic change in our posture towards them? I don't know, but I suspect FB will have to respond to these cries, or risk their hacker users.

You gotta understand, for hackers, most things are binary: black or white. Either facebook is great, or they are evil and the switch just got flipped. Hackers are trend setters on the web. Watch them.

Trends are fleeting. Lock in is forever.
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