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Why Are Developers Still Pouring Billions into Waterlogged Miami?

bloomberg.com

31–40 of 113 posts

Re: Why Are Developers Still Pouring Billions into Waterlogged Miami?

#31
post #16
post #6

The answer to this question is quite simple, and the two choice sentences from the article: "And their time frame is what, five years? How do you reconcile those two things: It’s a 100-year problem and a five-year investment cycle." The answer is simply that the private equity firm does not account for the long term, but that the city of Miami Beach will have to—soon. And that is fundamentally what makes climate chan…

> And that is fundamentally what makes climate change so difficult to deal with. The economic incentives, which only really look 5-10-15 years out, can't respond to consequences that are 50-100 years out, and by then it's really too late. On the global level (let's say 50-100 years out), do you think we as a species are headed toward an "Easter Island" effect, where we "whistle past the graveyard" and assume everythi…

At the moment, yes we are.

Re: Why Are Developers Still Pouring Billions into Waterlogged Miami?

#32
post #4

If you look at various financial crises throughout history, you'll see that even amid increasingly clear evidence of problems, the status quo is surprisingly sticky. Things move along as normal, and everything seems fine until suddenly... they don't. In hindsight things seem obvious, but at the time it's difficult to know if you are merely flirting with the edge, or you've actually gone over it. Miami real estate (an…

> they might be right on sea-walls, pumps and other mitigation methods

Unfortunately, Florida will have an even harder time than most in mitigating rising sea levels, because the ground is heavily porous limestone. The sea can literally bubble up from below through the ground, and nothing short of dropping a state's worth of granite will help once the sea level rises high enough.

Miami should prepare to become America's Venice in 100 years.

Re: Why Are Developers Still Pouring Billions into Waterlogged Miami?

#33
post #4

If you look at various financial crises throughout history, you'll see that even amid increasingly clear evidence of problems, the status quo is surprisingly sticky. Things move along as normal, and everything seems fine until suddenly... they don't. In hindsight things seem obvious, but at the time it's difficult to know if you are merely flirting with the edge, or you've actually gone over it. Miami real estate (an…

It is a long title as is, but should read Miami Beach . Rising sea levels are an interesting question for barrier islands like Miami Beach and Florida as a whole. Though its important to also understand some of these articles unfairly paint sea level rise and climate change as responsible for a new phenomenon, the truth is Miami Beach has always flooded (during full moons water can rise right up through the ground).…

[deleted]

Re: Why Are Developers Still Pouring Billions into Waterlogged Miami?

#34
post #23

They're counting on the city, state and national government to bail them out at some point. Not a literal money bailout, but a "save the citizens" campaign to build massive dykes, move buildings or invest in pumps.

A literal bailout in its original sense of removing out water

Re: Why Are Developers Still Pouring Billions into Waterlogged Miami?

#35
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It is a long title as is, but should read Miami Beach . Rising sea levels are an interesting question for barrier islands like Miami Beach and Florida as a whole. Though its important to also understand some of these articles unfairly paint sea level rise and climate change as responsible for a new phenomenon, the truth is Miami Beach has always flooded (during full moons water can rise right up through the ground).…

Miami Beach has always flooded (during full moons water can rise right up through the ground). I have lived in FL all my life (41 years), my family spans back 12 generations from me. King tides are nothing new, nor is Miami flooding during them. I live in the Keys which is lower lying than Miami beach but we have the safety of the barrier reef that mellows the tidal changes, this is just a sensational piece due to a…

The article mentions king tides and cites a report [0] that the floods are getting worse.

[0] http://www.rsmas.miami.edu/news-events/press-releases/2016/n...

Re: Why Are Developers Still Pouring Billions into Waterlogged Miami?

#36
Miami speaks money; the other languages are secondary.

The wealthy very much like Miami and even if rising tides make Miami Beach uninhabitable then at worst it's a hit to their portfolios, not a collapse of their assets.

The party keeps going until it stops.

Re: Why Are Developers Still Pouring Billions into Waterlogged Miami?

#37
Investors assume that Miami is too big to fail. The government bailed out (most of) the financial firms in 2008. Bailing out (figuratively and literally) flooding cities will be a popular plan when the time comes.

Just as with the housing collapse, the question will be whether the government bailout will successfully resolve the crisis.

Re: Why Are Developers Still Pouring Billions into Waterlogged Miami?

#38
Why would developers care? They build, and they sell the units and move on. They are not long-term holders, and they are not even using their own money. You could tell them Miami will be nuked ten years from now and they will still develop new properties.

Re: Why Are Developers Still Pouring Billions into Waterlogged Miami?

#39
post #16
post #6

The answer to this question is quite simple, and the two choice sentences from the article: "And their time frame is what, five years? How do you reconcile those two things: It’s a 100-year problem and a five-year investment cycle." The answer is simply that the private equity firm does not account for the long term, but that the city of Miami Beach will have to—soon. And that is fundamentally what makes climate chan…

> And that is fundamentally what makes climate change so difficult to deal with. The economic incentives, which only really look 5-10-15 years out, can't respond to consequences that are 50-100 years out, and by then it's really too late. On the global level (let's say 50-100 years out), do you think we as a species are headed toward an "Easter Island" effect, where we "whistle past the graveyard" and assume everythi…

Very much so. We still have the foot hard on the gas. We haven't even got 10 years of business as usual.

The conversation at the moment is about power, but moves to get off fossil are, globally, token. The conversation hasn't got to agri-business, deforestation and meat especially beef, or population, or water. Forests are still being felled and burnt for cattle and palm oil, new fracking is still reported as opportunity for jobs and profit.

I'm starting to arrive at the belief that my children's best hope is being amongst the 100m or so left.

Re: Why Are Developers Still Pouring Billions into Waterlogged Miami?

#40
post #16
post #6

The answer to this question is quite simple, and the two choice sentences from the article: "And their time frame is what, five years? How do you reconcile those two things: It’s a 100-year problem and a five-year investment cycle." The answer is simply that the private equity firm does not account for the long term, but that the city of Miami Beach will have to—soon. And that is fundamentally what makes climate chan…

> And that is fundamentally what makes climate change so difficult to deal with. The economic incentives, which only really look 5-10-15 years out, can't respond to consequences that are 50-100 years out, and by then it's really too late. On the global level (let's say 50-100 years out), do you think we as a species are headed toward an "Easter Island" effect, where we "whistle past the graveyard" and assume everythi…

I do
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