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Donald Trump’s Contract with the American Voter [pdf]

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Re: Donald Trump’s Contract with the American Voter [pdf]

#591

Post by patrickg_zill »

pmarreck wrote: post #195
ainot wrote: post #168

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which low-ability individuals suffer from illusory superiority High brow smack (condescension) like that and "basket of deplorables" are what America revolted against. If the liberal left was truly smart, why did they allow the president to run up more national debt than all presidents prior...combined?

Has it become that radical to suggest that smart, well-educated people may in fact see further into the consequences of things (particularly in their areas of expertise, but probably also peripherally), see more cognitive bias, have better critical-thinking skills, remember more mistakes from history, and all around make better long-term decisions? Why is that even offensive to anyone? Just because of someone's perso…

Here, only a few minutes' reading, by Nassim Nicholas Taleb:

Intellectual Yet Idiot (IYI)

https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211...

(not aimed at you)

Re: Donald Trump’s Contract with the American Voter [pdf]

#592

Post by good_gnu »

novalis78 wrote: post #490
gshulegaard wrote: post #259

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't know: > THIRD, a requirement that for every new federal regulation, two existing regulations must be eliminated. Is scariest to me given a Republican controlled Congress. The one sided control makes me nervous.

This is fantastic. That's exactly how it should be. Otherwise over decades you end up with regulations that stifle all forms of entrepreneurship and creativity.

And in this way you end up with 0 regulations, which I assume we are supposed to consider a feature, not a bug?

Re: Donald Trump’s Contract with the American Voter [pdf]

#593

Post by Clobbersmith »

rahilsondhi wrote: post #379

Are any TN visa holders worried about Trump wanting to withdraw from NAFTA?

Yes with a but.

I'm not convinced Trump fully understands what NAFTA entails. He talks a lot about the importing of goods manufactured in Mexico and the export of American jobs to Mexico, but to my knowledge he hasn't talked about any other aspect of it. Surely the tech sector would freak out and raise a stink if all their TN employees had to leave overnight.

The CBC has a high level article covering the ambiguities around getting out of NAFTA. http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/donald-trump-nafta-trade-1.3657...

Re: Donald Trump’s Contract with the American Voter [pdf]

#594

Post by latch »

pvelagal wrote: post #301
mark242 wrote: post #161

If the Secretary of the Treasury designates China as a currency manipulator, your new iPhone will wind up costing you $2000. What madness.

Actually, i would like to know what this "currency manipulator " labeling really means ? Will goods from china be taxed more ? if so, how much more ?

45% is the number he's talked about in the past.

Re: Donald Trump’s Contract with the American Voter [pdf]

#595

Post by tw04 »

So he's going to lower taxes on the wealthy, drop taxes on businesses, increase spending on military, destroy our national parks to extract oil, and lay off federal employees.

This is going to help the middle class and the uneducated who are struggling through... magic. None of the lobbying stuff will ever see the light of day. The term limits won't happen. He's going to repeal the "illegal" Obama executive orders but leave the Bush ones in place because... they're illegal but he likes them?

The immigration thing will happen and result in massive backlash if I had to guess. None of the reforms will ever happen because he doesn't have the power to enact any of it, and the Republicans are NEVER going to agree to that when they're currently in power. His justice choice will never in a million years overturn Citizens United which is literally the only affect he could have on political corruption.

Re: Donald Trump’s Contract with the American Voter [pdf]

#596

Post by bmmayer1 »

noobermin wrote: post #113
knowaveragejoe wrote: post #43

Some of this sounds great - term limits on congress, a measure to reduce the revolving door effect of government officials going into lobbying. Some of it sounds ridiculous - for every new federal regulation, 2 existing regulations must be eliminated. How is that considered feasible by any rational person? It might sound great if you don't think too hard about it. The scariest things for me are the backing out of cli…

There's a lot of room to wonder about his trustworthiness given his record as a businessman, but even in this document, he doesn't address campaign finance reform. Congressional term-limits just consolidate power in the moneyed elites--the problems is not just the politicians, it's who corrupted them. If anything, this is a document to passify those moneyed interests who, unlike say Sheldon Adelson, worry about a Tru…

Is campaign finance reform really that big an issue, considering Trump just proved it's possible to win an election without any big money or support from special interests?

Re: Donald Trump’s Contract with the American Voter [pdf]

#597

Post by gozur88 »

mywittyname wrote: post #348
dragonwriter wrote: post #115

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> You do reduce the workforce through attrition, but eventually you have to hire again and hire almost exclusively junior people ( This wouldn't be true if government pay was competitive (low pay partially offset by, particularly, pension benefits means entering government mid-career except as a box-checking thing to move to a private position leveraging the knowledge of government is discouraged, but entering at a j…

Low pay and hiring freezes are two sides of the same coin though -- these processes both transfer employees into contractor roles where private companies can charge double for the same worker and pocket the difference.

Contract workers are actually much cheaper. When I worked on a government contract we were loaded at 1.85 and the civil servants (who made more money to start with) were loaded at 2.25.

Total compensation for civil servants is quite a bit higher.

Re: Donald Trump’s Contract with the American Voter [pdf]

#598

Post by russdill »

semiel wrote: post #101
knowaveragejoe wrote: post #43

Some of this sounds great - term limits on congress, a measure to reduce the revolving door effect of government officials going into lobbying. Some of it sounds ridiculous - for every new federal regulation, 2 existing regulations must be eliminated. How is that considered feasible by any rational person? It might sound great if you don't think too hard about it. The scariest things for me are the backing out of cli…

> Some of it sounds ridiculous - for every new federal regulation, 2 existing regulations must be eliminated. How is that considered feasible by any rational person? It might sound great if you don't think too hard about it. Canada has a variation on this law. http://laws-lois.justice.gc.ca/eng/acts/R-4.5/page-1.html#h-...

Moronic metric chasing. They'll just make regulations longer and more convoluted so that a single regulation has the same amount of text as 3 or even 4.

Re: Donald Trump’s Contract with the American Voter [pdf]

#599

Post by tehabe »

I'm confused about this regulation thing. Many people hate regulations because they think of it as limiting for businesses. But I think, you couldn't work as a business if there were no regulations.

An example, Nevada voted to open its electricity market this week. Everybody should be able to choose the provider they want.

But to do this, there need to be regulations in place. Independent companies need to know how they can use the grid, the company who owns the grid needs to know what it can charge for the usage of the grid.

If you let such a market without any regulation, there won't be a market, because the grid owner won't let anyone use its grid.

So removing regulations is not always a good thing. Most of the time regulations were put there for a reason.

Re: Donald Trump’s Contract with the American Voter [pdf]

#600

Post by pmarreck »

patrickg_zill wrote: post #591
pmarreck wrote: post #195

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Has it become that radical to suggest that smart, well-educated people may in fact see further into the consequences of things (particularly in their areas of expertise, but probably also peripherally), see more cognitive bias, have better critical-thinking skills, remember more mistakes from history, and all around make better long-term decisions? Why is that even offensive to anyone? Just because of someone's perso…

Here, only a few minutes' reading, by Nassim Nicholas Taleb: Intellectual Yet Idiot (IYI) https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211... (not aimed at you)

Oh wow. Mr. Taleb sure knows how to put meat on the bone.

My most salient criticism is the slam against GMO's... I've done my own homework there and I haven't found solid evidence that there is something systematically wrong with all GMO's.

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