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Live Presidential Forecast

nytimes.com

111–120 of 318 posts

Re: Live Presidential Forecast

#113
post #106

Florida for Trump. Trump is the new President! Have a look at https://www.reddit.com/r/The_Donald to see what kind of people voted for Trump. MAGA! Edit: Downvote all you want doesn't change the outcome :)

I went to a Trump rally recently and found it truly unbelievable. Thousands of people, all demographics seemingly represented, lined up for hours despite the cold, dark night and horrible parking conditions. Trump was over two hours late, and the rally did not end until past 1am, but the energy and general goodwill towards each other persisted the entire time.

Yes! It doesn't matter what sex, color, sexual orientation or if we agree with everything - we are UNITED! This is a movement. Establishment vs anti-Establishment. People over globalism.

Re: Live Presidential Forecast

#114
post #106

Florida for Trump. Trump is the new President! Have a look at https://www.reddit.com/r/The_Donald to see what kind of people voted for Trump. MAGA! Edit: Downvote all you want doesn't change the outcome :)

I went to a Trump rally recently and found it truly unbelievable. Thousands of people, all demographics seemingly represented, lined up for hours despite the cold, dark night and horrible parking conditions. Trump was over two hours late, and the rally did not end until past 1am, but the energy and general goodwill towards each other persisted the entire time.

[deleted]

Re: Live Presidential Forecast

#115
It's looking like it might be a Brexit moment for the USA. The filter bubble echo chamber of social media and 24/7 coverage of celebrities stumping for Clinton is going to leave a lot of people shocked tomorrow when/if it's officially given to Trump.

Re: Live Presidential Forecast

#116
post #69

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Jitter is a visualization of uncertainty. Rather than display a range, it displays a needle moving within that range. It's only misleading developers, who will think that data is being streamed rather than fetched once. Other than that it's a clever (and yes, entertaining) way of displaying margins of error. Can I offer that, of all the things in news and dataviz to shit on, this isn't one of them? I mean, really, an…

You're being too generous... this visualization misleads everyone who knows how to read an analog gauge. Your car's speedometer does not jiggle around to represent its own imprecision.

Scales for example do jiggle around.

Re: Live Presidential Forecast

#118

It's looking like it might be a Brexit moment for the USA. The filter bubble echo chamber of social media and 24/7 coverage of celebrities stumping for Clinton is going to leave a lot of people shocked tomorrow when/if it's officially given to Trump.

Then you'll see the economic fallout, and then it's just four years of misery, and people who can afford to, getting the hell out.

Re: Live Presidential Forecast

#119
post #99
post #94

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Among other things... There's real dissatisfaction among the working class which inspired people to support both Bernie and Trump, and to vote against the status quo.

I'm not satisfied being in the top decile of historical human well-being, let's shake things up and take a shot at some reversion to the mean.

But the problem is, they remember that they used to live better just a few years ago, while simultaneously seeing others (political and financial elites) getting richer and richer. That gives even myself a fundamental feeling of unfairness, even though as a programmer I'm far from Trump's target demographic (although still working class).

Re: Live Presidential Forecast

#120
post #118

It's looking like it might be a Brexit moment for the USA. The filter bubble echo chamber of social media and 24/7 coverage of celebrities stumping for Clinton is going to leave a lot of people shocked tomorrow when/if it's officially given to Trump.

Then you'll see the economic fallout, and then it's just four years of misery, and people who can afford to, getting the hell out.

Where is there to "get out" to though? Economically the US has been outperforming the rest of the world recently.

I'm especially worried because the developer job market is a lot worse outside the US than inside it. I genuinely don't know where to go (recession seems inevitable).

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