The Poll Aggregators of the Future Are Reproducible and Open Source
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Re: The Poll Aggregators of the Future Are Reproducible and Open Source
#2>There’s lots of concern about media bias from all directions, and open source is the best way to address skepticism about particular assessments.
This is a really good and important point, I think. Let's argue about method, not outcome.
Re: The Poll Aggregators of the Future Are Reproducible and Open Source
#3slate..............Really..............slate.........
Re: The Poll Aggregators of the Future Are Reproducible and Open Source
#4If that's true, then the polling companies of the future have new customers.
Re: The Poll Aggregators of the Future Are Reproducible and Open Source
#5Totally misleading title. "Polls" is one thing, poll aggregators are a whole other thing.
I was really excited to read about actual polls that are somehow open source (not sure how that would work though).
Re: The Poll Aggregators of the Future Are Reproducible and Open Source
#6>There’s lots of concern about media bias from all directions, and open source is the best way to address skepticism about particular assessments. This is a really good and important point, I think. Let's argue about method, not outcome.
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Re: The Poll Aggregators of the Future Are Reproducible and Open Source
#7Totally misleading title. "Polls" is one thing, poll aggregators are a whole other thing. I was really excited to read about actual polls that are somehow open source (not sure how that would work though).
Open source would not be nearly as impressive as reproducible.
Re: The Poll Aggregators of the Future Are Reproducible and Open Source
#8I had some trouble finding the code[1] and the paper[2]. The Stan code itself is [3]
I think this is quite a strong model - if I was looking to work on it I'd like to see it incorporate some economic data (and probably previous election poll trends) as a way of attempting to improve the early-election-cycle forecasts.
[1] https://github.com/pkremp/polls
[2] http://votamatic.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/Linzer-JASA1...
[3] https://github.com/pkremp/polls/blob/master/state%20and%20na...
Re: The Poll Aggregators of the Future Are Reproducible and Open Source
#9Totally misleading title. "Polls" is one thing, poll aggregators are a whole other thing. I was really excited to read about actual polls that are somehow open source (not sure how that would work though).
The hardest part of an open source poll would be anonymization. Demographic information in some areas could be enough to come pretty close to uniquely identifying an individual.
The rest of it: Likely Voter Models, Demographic Weighting, etc would be pretty easy to have open source and reproducible once you've solved the issues.
Re: The Poll Aggregators of the Future Are Reproducible and Open Source
#10Totally misleading title. "Polls" is one thing, poll aggregators are a whole other thing. I was really excited to read about actual polls that are somehow open source (not sure how that would work though).
The hardest part of an open source poll would be anonymization. Demographic information in some areas could be enough to come pretty close to uniquely identifying an individual. The rest of it: Likely Voter Models, Demographic Weighting, etc would be pretty easy to have open source and reproducible once you've solved the issues.
Yes anonymization is the problem I was thinking of.