Earlier quoted context omitted.
From experience, the value of TDD (or any style of automated tests, really, you don't really have to be driven by them) only really kicks in when the code is of a certain size, complexity and age. They are much closer to a tax in the early phases when you can reasonably keep the full scope readily in your mind.
I have a somewhat different experience. I've found TDD is useful on even tiny projects because using TDD forces you to write better code. It's really hard to reliably test things that use "magic" and side effects that affect parts of your code they shouldn't really be affecting, and really easy to test things that have well-defined and properly documented interfaces that only do one thing. Consequently writing tests,…
But maybe that's what's needed - a placebo to feel you better as a programmer, and thus making you more productive through your feelings.