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The Myers-Briggs Personality Test Is Pretty Much Meaningless

smithsonianmag.com

281–290 of 352 posts

Re: The Myers-Briggs Personality Test Is Pretty Much Meaningless

#281

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I thought the MBTI gave an X if you were actually at the middle? So you'd get an I at less than 45%, an E at more than 55%, and an X if you were on the border. Further, you said they were normally distributed, but didnt talk about the variance. It's possible that people who are just a little from the middle by % of population are meaningfully different than the average -- a quarter standard deviation could be a meani…

I'm oversimplifying, yes. Several instances I've seen of MBTI didn't offer X, but that's definitely an improvement. The one I got for high school career services actually crashed if you 'tied', because that hadn't been accounted for at all. Without the X band, "normal distribution" is enough to say things are broken. It means that you're consistently dividing similar people while grouping dissimilar people, which isn…

> Several instances I've seen of MBTI didn't offer X, but that's definitely an improvement. The one I got for high school career services actually crashed if you 'tied', because that hadn't been accounted for at all.

While I get the criticism of those tests as poorly implemented pop-psych, it only seems fair to attack the MBTI itself as a concept if you criticize the actual written, send-in-and-evaluate official version. The version I took of that (which came with a ton of propaganda from the testing company) featured both an X band and numeric strength scores for each category. It also featured a lot more questions than the typical online free ones, and had redundant questions the way that standard psych evals do. So at least some of the "professional" MBTI people are providing that kind of test, even if their analysis is all about bimodals and nonsense.

> With the X band, SD becomes important and a wide distribution might provide good results. Anecdotally, this could match the high attention given to E/I versus F/T - high SD axes would be relevant to more people.

My main point was that the joint distribution increases the spread away from XXXX to things like XXFX or XNXX, where even if you're still near the exact middle, there's less people exactly at average, and so the test is more likely to relay at least one fact in one category about the test taker than any particular category is to say something useful.

So even though the test can't say anything about the hyperbox in the middle of the range, it is relatively small because getting a little way away from the exact center likely says something about at least one category, even if the majority still can't have anything useful said about them.

Think of it this way: assume that the test can't say anything about the middle 20% of people for a given trait, and that the traits are independent (ie, how you score on one has nothing to do with the others). The odds that you're XXXX is (0.2)^4 = 0.0016. So only ~1 in 500 people would get nothing out the MBTI, even though ~1 in 5 has at least one category with an X.

And that's assuming a relatively large X band. Drop the X band to 5%, and it's only ~1 in 200,000 that would get XXXX.

> Having said that, I'm still skeptical of much of the MBTI literature.

I threw out the marketing booklet mostly unread after the statistical nonsense of the first few pages was too much when I paid to take the professional version of the test in school.

The test is alright, but not great and modern data analysis can probably do a much better PCA than the MBTI is, but the company is outright moronic in what they say. And others can be much worse.

Re: The Myers-Briggs Personality Test Is Pretty Much Meaningless

#282

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I expect you get about the same utility out of any 4-dimensional, 16-choice bucketing strategy. The MBTI is mostly just useful in that it's one of the few things that actually sorts humans in a hyperdimensional way, which is really how we're best categorized. We're all slight wobbles (well, statistically speaking) around the center of a like 20-100 dimension distribution. MBTI is basically just PCA on that space in t…

The P in PCA is principal. It's a strong and dubious assumption that MBTI carries any orthogonality.

Well, sure. But it's also exactly the contention of its proponents: that the categories represent orthogonal concerns about how we process information, but that our variation across those categories explains the larger trait distribution we experience.

My point wasn't to argue about how well they did that (not particularly), but rather that it's useful to approach issues of understanding personality in those terms at all. That's the real innovation of things like the MBTI: that we should analyze the distribution of personalities in terms of PCA, and that we should probably use a few components, rather than like 1 or 2.

Of course, we could do the actual analysis much better than the MBTI did.

Re: The Myers-Briggs Personality Test Is Pretty Much Meaningless

#283
post #274

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>"astrology is a starting point with zero correlation with who you are" I would really doubt that it is zero, the relative position of the celestial bodies correlates with season. All sorts of human activities follow a yearly cycle, including birth rates and mortality rates. I have no doubt there is some correlation between astrological sign and personality. I would take it further and say a good principle is that "e…

> I have no doubt there is some correlation between astrological sign and personality. There's no evidence of this, so you should have doubts.

Sure there is, I found thousands of papers on it with one simple search: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/?term=season+of+birth

EG: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.... https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27310922 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25132151

I don't know much about astrology, but your "sign" is determined by the birthday right? From my understanding, it is basically a way of binning together sets of birthdays. There will probably be various artifacts and noise introduced by the binning process, but I am sure with large enough sample size you will see the correlation.

Re: The Myers-Briggs Personality Test Is Pretty Much Meaningless

#284
post #214

Personality typing is obviously incredibly shaky ground because of the huge potential for the suggestion bias, but we shouldn't throw out the baby with the bathwater. It's almost obvious that there are patterns of human behaviour that are often distinctive and repetitive across society. It's hard to identify these regularities and we should be sceptical about any blatant simplifications, but we shouldn't stop trying…

I have studied the Enneagram deeply. It is a far more profound system than the MBTI, and far more useful for understanding oneself and others. The MBTI has some correlation to the Enneagram, and it is from that correlation that it takes most or all of its validity. But the correlation is only partial. If you look in Jung's Psychological Types , you will see that he correctly characterized eight of the nine Enneagram…

What you mention about Jung/enneagram correlation is interesting. You'd think that since he's based on different partitioning scheme (2 * 2 * 2) he should end up without any types matching exactly, but you seem to suggest that it's the case and he's just missing one. I guess it could make sense provided he based his type descriptions on empirical evidence (clustering his patients) that he later artificially pushed into 8 categories. I don't know M-B well, but since it's a M-B thread and it may be useful to other readers, I tried to pursue your exercise and based on type descriptions tried to match it. Here's what I managed to do, based on vague Jung type descriptions I've found on the internet: ET - 1,IT - 5, EF - 3, IF - 9?, ES - 8, IS - ?, EI - 7, II - 4

Does it make some sense? Where are the gaps?

Are there any Eneagram specific resources that you'd recommend? I've found A.H. Almaas and Eli Jaxon-Bear books the most insightful. I'd love to read/hear something original on the topic that doesn't come from the echo chamber of people who are in these circles, make money from it etc.

As to the type, just as you said one of them "clicked" with me strongly and I'm almost 100% sure which one is mine.

Re: The Myers-Briggs Personality Test Is Pretty Much Meaningless

#285
post #274
post #264

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The difference is that astrology is a starting point with zero correlation with who you are, while Myers-Briggs is a starting point with positive correlation with who you are. The positive correlation can be surprisingly helpful to understand differences between people. However you don't need anything so complex for such a starting point. A classic demonstration that I saw was a large group of people who marked where…

>"astrology is a starting point with zero correlation with who you are" I would really doubt that it is zero, the relative position of the celestial bodies correlates with season. All sorts of human activities follow a yearly cycle, including birth rates and mortality rates. I have no doubt there is some correlation between astrological sign and personality. I would take it further and say a good principle is that "e…

There are indeed measured weak correlations between seasons and personality. Things like your odds of being bipolar are higher if you were born in late winter, and lower for summer/early fall. (The same correlations exist in the Southern hemisphere, but with the obvious 6 month shift.)

However there aren't correlations between those known correlations and the traits that astrology says that you should have. Therefore there is no known correlation between your astrological description and your personality. And yes, people have attempted to measure this.

Re: The Myers-Briggs Personality Test Is Pretty Much Meaningless

#286

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Meyers Briggs is description It's impossible to describe personalities without implying value judgments. I randomly took the first Google link found under 'Myers Briggs' and ended up here: https://www.16personalities.com/intj-personality 'Ironically, it is often best for them to remain where they are comfortable – out of the spotlight...' https://www.16personalities.com/infp-strengths-and-weaknesse... 'Too Idealist…

I suggest you don't understand the distinction I'm making between descriptive and prescriptive.

Please provide your definition then, instead of leaving us all guessing?

I interpreted 'prescriptive' as making 'should' rather than 'is' statements.

Re: The Myers-Briggs Personality Test Is Pretty Much Meaningless

#287
post #279

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Strengths of the MBTI include the text descriptions, which are very valuable, and that it focuses on positive psychology You're describing salesmanship and/or popularizing techniques, not scientific validity.

What you have to understand is that statistically the models are very similar (you can compress them both into one unified model that does what both of them do quite well). However, the ways the models are constructed makes them useful for different things. The Big 5 is primarily useful for academics, and the MBTI is primarily useful for the rest of us. If you are a logical positivist and scientific realist you'll ne…

I think I grok that some simplifications are more useful and teachable than others, and that it's possible to accomplish useful things by simplifying (and also by misleading). But I don't think you have to be a hardcore logical positivist to think these are distinct notions from "validity". My impression is that you have psychological or statistical training, so when you used the word in your original comment I assume you know what it meant.

Re: The Myers-Briggs Personality Test Is Pretty Much Meaningless

#288
post #225

Lots of comments here mention the use of MBTI in the workplace. This is such a bad idea! As someone who has taken the test many times over the years, I have a lot of problems with the system in general, especially when applied to the workplace. That's not to say that the idea of personality types is invalid, but I have often seen them misapplied (and overapplied) in practice. In my experience, Gallup's Strengthsfinde…

I also had incredible "fit" with Enneagram. I'm not sure I agree about it not being a good business tool, though. I've met a great Quality Manager who almost certainly was a type 6 (which is naturally focused on finding risks and things that might go wrong). The level to which his position matched his personality was striking - he was extremely good at what he was doing and he loved it. I know a type 6 girl who dropp…

Good point. I should have been more specific. I agree that the Enneagram is useful personally in business, but I'd caution against HR departments attempting to categorize their employees based on type and draw judgments from the results. (Again, this could be different at the executive level, where companies may be seeking a certain type or "flavor" of leadership.)

Re: The Myers-Briggs Personality Test Is Pretty Much Meaningless

#290

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why is it the job of the skeptic to prove that a profiling technique does not have predictive power? Shouldn't you have to prove that it does ?

Because it is very hard for a test not to have predictive power. For example, companies fruitfully extract predictive power from whether a user clicked a link or not. Facebook extracts predictive power from whether users like videos, et cetera. So why shouldn't an elaborate test that was developed to have meaning, not have any predictive power?

Not having predictive power means it is not better than chance at predicting any X.

There are results that show MBTI has no predictive power against job performance. It has not been tested against any other measure.

That said, MBTI shows bad orthogonality in the factors in its response. This suggests the factors are ill defined.

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