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Sam Altman’s Manifest Destiny

newyorker.com

261–270 of 312 posts

Re: Sam Altman’s Manifest Destiny

#261

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you want to steal my vote, specifically, you can certainly do it. Better get there early though, I vote in the morning. To scale such an effort up to materially affect an election would be incredibly difficult to do, and easy to spot. > If that's really stopping people from voting, then there's something wrong with our DMVs, etc. The DMV sucks: this is news?

On the one hand, I can agree with you. I don't see someone managing to fake 1000s of votes by walking in without identification. That would require a lot of manpower, I imagine. On the other, I think you or I would still be pretty annoyed if someone had walked in and voted for us.

I would be much more annoyed if I found out that state legislatures across the nation were actively trying to make it so that tens of thousands of people can't vote. I would be especially annoyed if the people affected were overwhelmingly the segment of the population who is least able to fight such efforts due to their lack of resources and influence.

Of course I don't have to _imagine_ this scenario, because it happens every year.

Real harm, happening right now vs an imaginary harm that happens so rarely we essentially have to guess what form it would take... this is an easy one.

(re: guessing what form it would take -- if we're going to imagine a fake voting threat, we can just as easily imagine that these same people have the capability to get fake licenses. That happens _all the time_, after all, in college towns across the country. Amazingly these people seem to all use their fake licenses to get a drink, and not to go vote illegally for other people. Silly them!)

Re: Sam Altman’s Manifest Destiny

#264

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's completely wacky, but if you've got a few mil to drop on wacky ideas, it starts to seem a bit less wacky in the grand scheme of things. It's basically a wager: "There's a small, but perhaps nonzero chance I'm living in a simulation. I've got the throwaway cash to fund an escape attempt. This investment has a massive chance of being completely wasted, even if this is a simulation. But if there is even a tiny chan…

What would it even mean to 'escape' a simulation? In my mind I'm imagining when I write code to model a real process and even at some super high-fidelity simulation I can't imagine an 'escape'. Maybe if the simulation were so self-aware it could conduct local privilege-escalation attacks and replicate itself like a worm/virus? EDIT: aside -- "Microcosmic God" [1] was a great short story along these lines [1] https://…

Essentially that's what Agent Smith does in the Matrix sequels. He can't "escape" the Matrix, but he can basically make it his own. (For the purposes of this analogy I'm intentionally ignoring the ridiculous scene where he somehow transfers himself to the physical world.)

Interesting to consider: if we ever discovered ourselves to be living in a simulation and attempted to do something about it, would the simulator simply reset the simulation (a la The Matrix trilogy)? Or would the simulator be intrigued by our self-awareness and allow the simulation to continue?

But anyhow, that's enough of a digression for one day.

Re: Sam Altman’s Manifest Destiny

#267
post #243

There are great insights in this piece into how Sam thinks about AI and the future of YC. But getting profiled in The New Yorker bears a risk, and the risk is that other media organizations try to tell the "down" story, because the down story is the only new thing to say after a subject is painted with such grandiose brush strokes. Example: Marc Andreessen gets profiled in The New Yorker and a year later the WSJ publ…

You're suggesting the reporter is doing something perfidious. Quoting a subject making a fool of himself to you on the record is not "dropping bombs", it's good journalism.

Re: Sam Altman’s Manifest Destiny

#268

My favorite part of the article (so far): > “My problem is that when my friends get drunk they talk about the ways the world will end. After a Dutch lab modified the H5N1 bird-flu virus, five years ago, making it super contagious, the chance of a lethal synthetic virus being released in the next twenty years became, well, nonzero. The other most popular scenarios would be A.I. that attacks us and nations fighting wit…

Interesting, so sama is a prepper... and he knows that gold will be the only thing with some value left after a financial armaggedon...

He has something in common with Indian housewives and temples: http://blogs.wsj.com/indiarealtime/2011/07/14/indias-600-bil...

Re: Sam Altman’s Manifest Destiny

#269

My favorite part of the article (so far): > “My problem is that when my friends get drunk they talk about the ways the world will end. After a Dutch lab modified the H5N1 bird-flu virus, five years ago, making it super contagious, the chance of a lethal synthetic virus being released in the next twenty years became, well, nonzero. The other most popular scenarios would be A.I. that attacks us and nations fighting wit…

> "I have guns, gold, potassium iodide, antibiotics, batteries, water, gas masks from the Israeli Defense Force, and a big patch of land in Big Sur I can fly to.” Imagine this coming from an ultra rightwing prepper nutball. Do you still love that quote?

> Imagine this coming from an ultra rightwing prepper nutball.

Keep in mind the official government recommendation is that everyone should be a prepper.

Re: Sam Altman’s Manifest Destiny

#270
post #243

There are great insights in this piece into how Sam thinks about AI and the future of YC. But getting profiled in The New Yorker bears a risk, and the risk is that other media organizations try to tell the "down" story, because the down story is the only new thing to say after a subject is painted with such grandiose brush strokes. Example: Marc Andreessen gets profiled in The New Yorker and a year later the WSJ publ…

You're suggesting the reporter is doing something perfidious. Quoting a subject making a fool of himself to you on the record is not "dropping bombs", it's good journalism.

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