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Facebook, Amazon, Google, IBM and Microsoft Create Partnership on AI

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Re: Facebook, Amazon, Google, IBM and Microsoft Create Partnership on AI

#121
post #69

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why are you surprised that Apple isn't involved in a field that has no material impact on their business? Outside of Siri and related projects, I don't see where AI/machine learning has any immediate benefits. Twitter and Intel missing seems like something to take note of, but I didn't even think twice about Apple. I'm more surprised GE is missing than Apple.

I use Android, but Apple are doing some good personal assistant stuff like tagging friends in photos, -without- uploading them to the cloud. A true personal assistant that can use machine learning locally and with discretion sounds pretty great

I use Google translate offline on Android when in China and it is great. Seems uploading the trained NN to a phone when online and then using it privately/offline is a great way to go.

Re: Facebook, Amazon, Google, IBM and Microsoft Create Partnership on AI

#122

Earlier quoted context omitted.

AGI and heating oil? There's a troubling gap in reasoning there. Narrow AI and automation replacing jobs has its own set of problems. But a machine intelligence explosion is a completely different thing, and a legitimate existential risk. It's really important to understand the difference and the specific arguments.

Still, you can't find anytime in history where we ended up saying "thanks we were careful" related to new technoloies. It's usually the reverse, governments delaying change for not smart reasons.

Sure you can. When people working on the Manhattan project calculated how far away they could stand from an atomic bomb detonation--that was an appreciable precaution.

There are AGI risks that are well-reasoned and have detailed descriptions. If you aren't engaging with those arguments, proving them invalid or providing a well-reasoned protection, you aren't representing a coherent point of view.

Re: Facebook, Amazon, Google, IBM and Microsoft Create Partnership on AI

#123
post #63

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Whether right or wrong, I think it's good to keep in mind that Apple has, by far the highest quarterly profit and total asset value, compared to any of these companies - it really is a giant among giants. Alphabet certainly has an excellent future outlook (reflected in the markets), but its current financial state still pales in comparison to Apple. Taking this into account, I figure Apple thinks twice and thrice bef…

'it really is a giant among giants.' You're confused. That would be Alphabet, not Apple. To put it in perspective for you, Google has: ~90% of the search market ( https://www.statista.com/statistics/216573/worldwide-market-... ) ~90% of the smartphone market ( https://techcrunch.com/2016/08/18/gartner-androids-smartphon... ) ~50% of the online advertisement market ( http://www.emarketer.com/Article/Google-Still-Domin…

Both Google and Apple are extremely important, valuable companies that have had a very significant impact on the world and culture.

Google created Google - they more or less are the internet (that and Facebook) for the world. To 'Google' something is a phrase that entered into the vocabulary a very long time ago. Both their enormous presence in Internet/search, plus more cultural things like Youtube makes it unable to imagine a world without them.

Apple created iPhone. Holy shit, the iPhone. More or less, they invented the smartphone and the ecosystem around it. I really do wonder whether things like Uber would exist if Apple never made iPhone. I doubt Twitter would be as popular. Entire industries have been created now because Apple made iPhone[1].

They're both world-changing companies that have had an enormous impact. This pissing competition of who's bigger and better is so unimportant and just misses the point entirely.

[1] This is actually an interesting thought exercise, for me at least. What would have actually happened if Apple didn't make the iPhone? It's been shown that before release Android pivoted from a Blackberry device (btw, Blackberry just announced they're going to stop making hardware) to a more 'iPhone-like' device once iPhone was announced.

The most favourable approach is that it would have taken Android and Microsoft longer to get to the stage that iPhone was to create the type of influence things like the App Store has.

Re: Facebook, Amazon, Google, IBM and Microsoft Create Partnership on AI

#125
post #72

Earlier quoted context omitted.

At WWDC they talked about how they put AI all throughout the system. It's not just when talking to Siri. It's things like suggested apps, photo tagging, deciding when to refresh apps in the background, text prediction, and probably lots of other stuff that I can't even think of because Apple's approach to AI is to make AI largely an implementation detail of the experience rather than a user-visible component.

Apple makes great stuff (typing this on a Mac), but I really don't get the adoration / mystic that surrounds them. Those features have been on Android forever, but people don't call it "AI".

Right, which begs the question "What is AI?"

Re: Facebook, Amazon, Google, IBM and Microsoft Create Partnership on AI

#127

Earlier quoted context omitted.

AGI and heating oil? There's a troubling gap in reasoning there. Narrow AI and automation replacing jobs has its own set of problems. But a machine intelligence explosion is a completely different thing, and a legitimate existential risk. It's really important to understand the difference and the specific arguments.

Still, you can't find anytime in history where we ended up saying "thanks we were careful" related to new technoloies. It's usually the reverse, governments delaying change for not smart reasons.

Anthropic principle. You are not observing the counterfactual universes where people weren't careful enough around certain dangerous technologies, because in those universes all the observers are dead.

Re: Facebook, Amazon, Google, IBM and Microsoft Create Partnership on AI

#128
post #63

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Whether right or wrong, I think it's good to keep in mind that Apple has, by far the highest quarterly profit and total asset value, compared to any of these companies - it really is a giant among giants. Alphabet certainly has an excellent future outlook (reflected in the markets), but its current financial state still pales in comparison to Apple. Taking this into account, I figure Apple thinks twice and thrice bef…

'it really is a giant among giants.' You're confused. That would be Alphabet, not Apple. To put it in perspective for you, Google has: ~90% of the search market ( https://www.statista.com/statistics/216573/worldwide-market-... ) ~90% of the smartphone market ( https://techcrunch.com/2016/08/18/gartner-androids-smartphon... ) ~50% of the online advertisement market ( http://www.emarketer.com/Article/Google-Still-Domin…

> I can think you can see the point I'm making: yes, Apple has a big pile of cash, a fat amount of profit and high stock value. However, Alphabet its influence and reach is far, far beyond that of Apple. Its just not as flashy & visible.

Yes, I agree essentially with the above line (though Apple & Alphabet have comparable market values, which is why I said Alphabet has an excellent outlook). I didn't intend to start a minor flame war, as I meant "giant among giants" in the financial sense only, which of course is hugely important.

In terms of influence/clout (measured in eyeballs, political heft, economic clout via product ecosystems, etc.) Alphabet likely does edge out even Apple (perhaps not "far, far beyond"). However & without going into too much detail, I think my point still stands: from a "game theory" angle, there would likely be no strategic reason for Apple to join a partnership in this case.

Re: Facebook, Amazon, Google, IBM and Microsoft Create Partnership on AI

#129
post #80

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> best of breed product company focused on a great user experience somehow i put them in the same category as LG, Samsung and Sony, albeit 100x better at what they do.

Apple has its own OS, compilers, IDE, 2+ languages, various frameworks etc. This is more than what Google, more importantly used a lot by people. But yeah it just a hardware company.

Yea but Samsung has Bada, Knox, Tizen (partially), JerryScript, Kies, etc

Re: Facebook, Amazon, Google, IBM and Microsoft Create Partnership on AI

#130

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Still, you can't find anytime in history where we ended up saying "thanks we were careful" related to new technoloies. It's usually the reverse, governments delaying change for not smart reasons.

Sure you can. When people working on the Manhattan project calculated how far away they could stand from an atomic bomb detonation--that was an appreciable precaution. There are AGI risks that are well-reasoned and have detailed descriptions. If you aren't engaging with those arguments, proving them invalid or providing a well-reasoned protection, you aren't representing a coherent point of view.

>If you aren't engaging with those arguments, proving them invalid or providing a well-reasoned protection, you aren't representing a coherent point of view.

Since when does refusing to engage with fear mongering make you incoherent?

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