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As Our Jobs Are Automated, Some Say We'll Need a Guaranteed Basic Income

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Re: As Our Jobs Are Automated, Some Say We'll Need a Guaranteed Basic Income

#161

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Already happening: WoW gold farmers.

He obviously means something that is productive to the real world

Why? Video game economies are already bigger than many real world nations. If enough of us live in the video game world, game labor has value.

Re: As Our Jobs Are Automated, Some Say We'll Need a Guaranteed Basic Income

#162
post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is a bit of a Luddite viewpoint. There will be some ups and downs as people adjust to the need for different skill sets however, automation won't simply wipe out any need for human labor. There are lots of things that will likely never be cost effective to automate or are impossible to automate.

The opposite of Luddite is believe that it will all get sorted out in the end inevitable. As the fall of Rome, the middle ages, and several other dark periods in human history show, this is now always the case. > There are lots of things that will likely never be cost effective to automate or are impossible to automate. Several things, yes. A lot, no. And even if those types of jobs were many, what matters is the num…

A huge part of the musician's work is repeating the same performance over and over. This part is already mostly automatised: you don't need to look for an actual musician to listen to music, more often you turn on your radio / turntable / tape player / CD player / mp3 player / etc.

As far as the creative part is concerned, the offer is already huge and probably exceeds the demand depending how you consider it. So there is not much to expect in that domain either, as far as jobs (or even activities) are concerned.

It is a bit the same for painting. There are people who are willing to buy and can afford to do so, but their problem is then "where am I going to put this?. I already have many that I cannot display...". That's one of the limits the few painters I know hit. Then do have fans, known buyers but if one of these guys buy another painting, it is more to sponsor the painter than because they have a 'use' for the painting.

Re: As Our Jobs Are Automated, Some Say We'll Need a Guaranteed Basic Income

#163
post #123

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not true. When you put it in a bank, the bank loans it out (usually at a multiple). Even if you put stacks of bills under your mattress, you're effectively making a loan to the mint to fund government operations. Some invested money is bad, though. Investment in many businesses is bad for the world: cigarette companies, casinos, monopolistic roll-up companies.

Banks don't loan out savings. That's a myth. The money for the loan is created by the act of creating the loan. Loans are effectively banks 'licence to print money'.

I don't think that's accurate. In our fractional reserve banking system, banks loan out 90% of their reserves. The net effect of that repeating itself is that you end up with 10 times the amount of money in the system, which is maybe what you're referring to? That's just a side effect of our banking system though. Kind of wonder if there's a stat on how much banking has expanded the money supply at any given moment or if it hovers pretty close to the theoretical limit?

Re: As Our Jobs Are Automated, Some Say We'll Need a Guaranteed Basic Income

#164

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is no such thing as free money. If you're not creating more work (or more productive work) then it is simply taking from someone and giving to someone else. However, the point is that through automation we're creating more work and from who we're taking is the robots. If there are no new automation or robots to take from, then it is most likely that we're going to take from middle class, either directly or indi…

I get the premise behind your answer I believe. What I am asking is, what's to stop the markets (especially in the US where greed reigns) from increasing the cost of things such as food and shelter artificially b/c of this free money, making this "basic income" all but useless? Meaning at some point it wont even cover the most basic and modest of necessities.

Costs could inflate in the way you say, it all depends on the health of the particular market (e.g. how resistant the market is to collusion/price fixing).

If you wanted a more reliable way to ensure UBI would remain effective, one way would be to treat it as a separate currency that could only be used for the necessities of life. Moves could then be taken to limit profits made on these goods without distorting prices in the rest of the economy. Could also couple this with government support to encourage automation and other savings in these industries. I'd argue both of these changes in combination can result in a UBI system that is protected against price hikes.

Re: As Our Jobs Are Automated, Some Say We'll Need a Guaranteed Basic Income

#165
Basic income probably isn't the answer, but instead basic needs being met through education and proper allocation of resources is a very viable answer. FDR had a vision during his time in office which was for every person to own land. Theoretically, if everyone had access to use some amount of land through entitlement - they would be able to use natural means to provide themselves and their family with certain basic needs like food and shelter. With the advent of technology and GMO crops - anyone should be able to understand growing their own food and building their own home when suddenly presented with more free time in the absence of traditional industrial work. I hate to go all Atlas Shrugged on y'all - but Galt's Gulch was effectively this. It was a commune that recognized an individual's power to provide for themselves when presented with the means to meet their basic human needs.

Re: As Our Jobs Are Automated, Some Say We'll Need a Guaranteed Basic Income

#166

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Banks don't loan out savings. That's a myth. The money for the loan is created by the act of creating the loan. Loans are effectively banks 'licence to print money'.

I don't think that's accurate. In our fractional reserve banking system, banks loan out 90% of their reserves. The net effect of that repeating itself is that you end up with 10 times the amount of money in the system, which is maybe what you're referring to? That's just a side effect of our banking system though. Kind of wonder if there's a stat on how much banking has expanded the money supply at any given moment o…

Nope, I'm not referring to fractional reserve banking. I'm literally referring to banks creating loans out of nothing but the promise to pay them back.

I realise this is fairly uncommon knowledge, and doesn't seem to make sense. I'd recommend watching this video for a brief synopsis of how it works.

http://youtu.be/KvpbQlQwl0A

Re: As Our Jobs Are Automated, Some Say We'll Need a Guaranteed Basic Income

#167

I'm curious, and this may have been discussed elsewhere, but how would that work in a country like the US (both in terms of size of population and capitalistic greed)? For instance, when student loans became ubiquitous, universities raised their rates. Now there are many theories as to why that was but I feel the simplest explanation is that a) it created greater demand, and b) easy/cheap money (look at ITT). What's…

Of course if we give everyone $200 more rent will rise by $200 / land costs will rise by the mortgage repayments.

This is why we need land value tax.

Re: As Our Jobs Are Automated, Some Say We'll Need a Guaranteed Basic Income

#168
post #13

"Take an IPhone - you find a variety of technologies - each one was created by some government grant... The collective production of wealth, which is then privately appropriated.. it's very easy to start thinking of basic income as a dividend that goes to the collective that was responsible for collectively producting the wealth." "We need to create a system whereby society stakes a claim to the returns to aggregate…

Because "trust fund kids" is something to aspire to.

Having nothing to do day-in-day-out, really messes with you. Not everyone, but on average. It's an open question if society can handle it. In the short-term it will evoke bitterness in those that work against the able-bodied that choose not to (remember the 'food-stamp surfer'?)

Re: As Our Jobs Are Automated, Some Say We'll Need a Guaranteed Basic Income

#169

Basic income probably isn't the answer, but instead basic needs being met through education and proper allocation of resources is a very viable answer. FDR had a vision during his time in office which was for every person to own land. Theoretically, if everyone had access to use some amount of land through entitlement - they would be able to use natural means to provide themselves and their family with certain basic…

When I visited some of the smaller pacific islands the question of unemployment benefits came up and the response was basically what you describe. On the island there's enough room for everyone to live and grow food and take care of themselves. Presumably with the help of others if they are incapacitated.

I'm not sure how that can work though on a global scale of 7 billion people while also allowing for the aggregation of people into cities that is so necessary for everything our modern civilization builds.

On top of this naturally you now have unfairness in the system as some peoples land will be better than others, and by virtue they will be richer than others through greater productivity.

In the end UBI works around all this and simply says - let the market sort it out, so that the best uses of capital, land, people's time can be found, but we're going give people enough to live so that if the most efficient result is that half the population sits on their hands and the other half work programming robots, then from a systems perspective we are adequately compensating those half that sit on their hands for their misfortune not to be a robot programmer.

Re: As Our Jobs Are Automated, Some Say We'll Need a Guaranteed Basic Income

#170

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> There are lots of things that will likely never be cost effective to automate or are impossible to automate. Could you give examples that are capable of providing living wages to 160-250 million people, in the US alone? Technology has completely destroyed the value in human labor for most industries, in much the way we no longer use horses for farming, and is rapidly doing the same to "white collar" jobs. I'm hones…

Domestic labor for highly productive individuals. If you are a high productivity software engineer, trader or doctor, there is no reason any of your time should be devoted to driving, doing laundry or cleaning your bathroom. Also, I'm not sure where your "160-250 million people" comes from. That's exactly how many workers there are today, many of whom are in no danger of having their jobs automated.

A few lords with an army of domestics. That's a brilliant model of society you envision. Since it seems perfectly acceptable to you, I guess you imagine yourself in the ranks of the lords, not in those of the lackeys.
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