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In Nuclear Silos, Death Wears a Snuggie (2011)

wired.com

11–20 of 60 posts

Re: In Nuclear Silos, Death Wears a Snuggie (2011)

#11
post #6

I'm always wondering what PR is behind articles of journalists visiting nuclear silos. This one looks like a first-person account, so was a military allowed to write about his job? How comes he writes so well? He could have been a journalist... Also, was the piece read, checked and corrected by a commandant before being published? If so, which parts were left out? Why did they leave the part where he admits not dress…

Maybe he has a ghost writer.

Re: In Nuclear Silos, Death Wears a Snuggie (2011)

#12
post #6

I'm always wondering what PR is behind articles of journalists visiting nuclear silos. This one looks like a first-person account, so was a military allowed to write about his job? How comes he writes so well? He could have been a journalist... Also, was the piece read, checked and corrected by a commandant before being published? If so, which parts were left out? Why did they leave the part where he admits not dress…

> Why do we need a person to transcribe a machine message

Because it prevented World War III.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1983_Soviet_nuclear_false_alar...

> he's going to send them anyway

The good judgment of Stanislav Petrov shows that this isn't guaranteed.

Automation that can harm people always requires a human fail-safe. Leaving judgment to a mechanism only implies either hubris that assumes all possible situations have been accounted for, or enough narcissism to not care about the (possibly deadly) errors.

Re: In Nuclear Silos, Death Wears a Snuggie (2011)

#13
post #9
post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I wonder if this will ever change now. As technology goes forward, we're creating a world in which an individual can gain more and more destructive power, and in which when something goes terribly wrong, it can wider and wider consequences. We're at global level now, and fast approaching extinction-level. Two areas to highlight the point: - High-energy anything. There's a saying that any propulsion system that could…

Of course a lot of the risk comes from the trend for technology to operate at larger and larger scale to achieve efficiency. We could see a trend in the opposite direction where individual households and communities can be more self sufficient. For example, efficient small scale energy production could reduce the risk of nationl level grid disruption. That same biotech industry could enable local food production with…

I agree those may be desirable directions for development, but they don't change the overall dynamics - we expand our capabilities by dealing with more and more powerful, and thus dangerous, stuff. As individual demand for electricity increases with each appliance we incorporate in our lives, the household battery/generator of 2050 could very well be powerful enough to level a city block if weaponized. Even more likely, the same biotech industry that can enable local food production will enable creation of new, deadly pathogens.

Humans, unfortunately, are very optimistic when it comes to workplace and household safety, while at the same time extremely resourceful when they need to make weapons out of mundane objects.

Re: In Nuclear Silos, Death Wears a Snuggie (2011)

#15
post #8

Crazy that the spectre of instant destruction still haunts us today.

I wonder if this will ever change now. As technology goes forward, we're creating a world in which an individual can gain more and more destructive power, and in which when something goes terribly wrong, it can wider and wider consequences. We're at global level now, and fast approaching extinction-level. Two areas to highlight the point: - High-energy anything. There's a saying that any propulsion system that could…

Exactly. We need to find ways to manage powerful technology socially, or we are going to have serious problems in the near future. Unfortunately, I'm not sure[1] our species can adapt fast enough.

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8916033

Re: In Nuclear Silos, Death Wears a Snuggie (2011)

#16
post #14

Why do we still pretend nuclear weapons are necessary when the only military power that still reserves the right to use them in a first strike is also the only power to have forces deployed all over the world?

Russia has dropped No First Use policy in 1993. Besides relying on a written statement from a potential adversary is silly. The capability is always there.

Re: In Nuclear Silos, Death Wears a Snuggie (2011)

#18
post #12
post #6

I'm always wondering what PR is behind articles of journalists visiting nuclear silos. This one looks like a first-person account, so was a military allowed to write about his job? How comes he writes so well? He could have been a journalist... Also, was the piece read, checked and corrected by a commandant before being published? If so, which parts were left out? Why did they leave the part where he admits not dress…

> Why do we need a person to transcribe a machine message Because it prevented World War III. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1983_Soviet_nuclear_false_alar... > he's going to send them anyway The good judgment of Stanislav Petrov shows that this isn't guaranteed. Automation that can harm people always requires a human fail-safe. Leaving judgment to a mechanism only implies either hubris that assumes all possible situa…

Sounds like confirmation bias. If an algorithm had made the right call against human judgment, would you be arguing for the opposite position?

Re: In Nuclear Silos, Death Wears a Snuggie (2011)

#19
post #6

I'm always wondering what PR is behind articles of journalists visiting nuclear silos. This one looks like a first-person account, so was a military allowed to write about his job? How comes he writes so well? He could have been a journalist... Also, was the piece read, checked and corrected by a commandant before being published? If so, which parts were left out? Why did they leave the part where he admits not dress…

> How comes he writes so well? Why does it surprise you that someone in the military can write so well? There's a great history of brilliant writers and poets coming from the military. Many people join the military before doing something else with their lives so you get a tremendous mix of talents and passions in units. I found that a surprising number of people turn out to be excellent sketchers and painters when wo…

Yep. Some of the best writing most of the world never sees happens in internal memos in large organizations. Leaders need to be able to communicate clearly, memorably, etc. Any decent manager typically learns to write well in order to get shit done.

Re: In Nuclear Silos, Death Wears a Snuggie (2011)

#20
post #8

Crazy that the spectre of instant destruction still haunts us today.

I wonder if this will ever change now. As technology goes forward, we're creating a world in which an individual can gain more and more destructive power, and in which when something goes terribly wrong, it can wider and wider consequences. We're at global level now, and fast approaching extinction-level. Two areas to highlight the point: - High-energy anything. There's a saying that any propulsion system that could…

If we ever achieve some form of reasonable, in-system spaceflight, then we are really going to have to start worrying about every crazy person with a spaceship bumping a smallish space rock into an impact orbit with earth. Or even just unfortunate accidents. But it wouldn't take much of an asteroid to burn down through the atmosphere and create a Tunguska-level impact.

The most recent Expanse novel is an interesting take on how apocalyptic such an event could be http://amzn.to/2aD2AFl

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