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When tenure never comes

thewalrus.ca

141–144 of 144 posts

Re: When tenure never comes

#141

Every student considering going to graduate school should read this article. Professors are very misinformed about how likely someone is to get tenure (most of them got it > 20 years ago, in a much better academic job market). This misinformation trickles down to students. The simple fact is that right now the average professor is graduating more than 10 phd students, only 1 of which can become a tenured professor at…

I'm a tenure-track professor and a former researcher at NASA JPL. It is true that the market for tenure-track professors is terrible. One needs to have a number of high impact papers and come from a top-5 program to be really competitive without doing a postdoc in engineering. In the sciences, even that isn't true and a postdoc is usually needed even if finishing at a top program.

That said, there are many good reasons to pursue a PhD. A PhD in engineering/sciences gives one training in research, and there are tons of awesome applied and basic research jobs that require a PhD that aren't professors. Working at NASA JPL was amazing, and it required a PhD. If a person wants to do research, then a PhD in engineering/sciences opens many doors.

I think more graduate students need training in career planning and that they need to have realistic expectations. Too many people think they will win the lottery.

Re: When tenure never comes

#142
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I sincerely hope that people who are genuinely excited about research do not adopt this attitude. Our affluent society allows us to specialize in what we like; allowing the best of us to create art and mathematics and make discoveries in science is as important as being a "contributing member of society".

> Our affluent society allows us to specialize in what we like; allowing the best of us to create art and mathematics and make discoveries in science is as important as being a "contributing member of society". Yes, but this stops happening when economic growth is non-existent. The Western economy (developed countries generally), outside of Silicon Valley and a small number of bright spots, is not really growing. Fir…

This is an interesting comment. But why is the affluence of society dependent on economic growth itself? Especially when, as you point out, the impact of technological advances is hard to quantify?

The pre-modern world required the presence of a class of cheap laborers as there were so many tasks that could not be automated. Productivity was low and there was no way that the basic needs of society could be met without everyone pitching in.

In today's day and age, we have highly automated agriculture and are doing more of it. Productivity has skyrocketed. And yet, we burden our population with arbitrary schedules (e.g. 40 hour weeks, limited vacation time), making most of society incapable of enjoying the real fruit of modern life: the ability to survive without working a dumb job all the time.

You state that ideas need to pay for rent somehow. I agree completely: they do need to. But what if we provide a certain basic income to everyone so that its not something one has to worry about? We have not seen the results of this kind of experiment.

Your comparison to the Roman empire is also interesting. I didn't think that most Romans were literate or familiar with the classics! However, as I noted earlier, productivity of labor in Roman times was still not as high as today, so maybe its not an apt comparison.

Re: When tenure never comes

#143
post #142

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Our affluent society allows us to specialize in what we like; allowing the best of us to create art and mathematics and make discoveries in science is as important as being a "contributing member of society". Yes, but this stops happening when economic growth is non-existent. The Western economy (developed countries generally), outside of Silicon Valley and a small number of bright spots, is not really growing. Fir…

This is an interesting comment. But why is the affluence of society dependent on economic growth itself? Especially when, as you point out, the impact of technological advances is hard to quantify? The pre-modern world required the presence of a class of cheap laborers as there were so many tasks that could not be automated. Productivity was low and there was no way that the basic needs of society could be met withou…

> But why is the affluence of society dependent on economic growth itself? Especially when, as you point out, the impact of technological advances is hard to quantify?

Economic growth is real, just partially measurable at best.

The affluence of a society is contingent on two things. Generating wealth and the transmission of said wealth.

Did you know that Singapore's founding father forbade the gathering of most statistics when they were getting started? There's an interesting story there. He didn't trust modern economists and Singapore turned out alright.

> The pre-modern world required the presence of a class of cheap laborers as there were so many tasks that could not be automated. Productivity was low and there was no way that the basic needs of society could be met without everyone pitching in.

Yes, with the exception of the aristocrats or ruling class and the freedoms afforded to them by slavery. For most of human history a necessary evil in order to coordinate a more complex society and only recently has invention and innovation been separated from the patronage of the ruling class (with mixed results).

> In today's day and age, we have highly automated agriculture and are doing more of it. Productivity has skyrocketed. And yet, we burden our population with arbitrary schedules (e.g. 40 hour weeks, limited vacation time), making most of society incapable of enjoying the real fruit of modern life: the ability to survive without working a dumb job all the time.

I agree that is a problem, both individually and collectively. Right now we have a bunch of crude heuristics being used because we don't know or aren't willing to trust in a better way. I can only say we should experiment more.

On an individual level I'm invested in creating a Tiny House with zero rent/bills. Then in generating an inflation adjusting passive income stream from another project of mine. This shall, coupled together, allow me to live as I please for the rest of my life if I choose. I call this a zero marginal lifestyle, where any efforts on my part are 100% profit for me. This is what the aristocrats used to give their inventor friends in patronage, the security of having resources and no concerns about continuing to exist. That enables you, hypothetically, to give your full brain to something. I estimate it takes 150k - 250k to accomplish such a thing.

> You state that ideas need to pay for rent somehow. I agree completely: they do need to. But what if we provide a certain basic income to everyone so that its not something one has to worry about? We have not seen the results of this kind of experiment.

I think it very much depends on the mental models of the those people you give the basic income to.

For example giving basic income to ISIS members is not about to make the world a better place.

I think basic income should be unconditional on 'what' you spend it on, but that it should be conditional on 'general purpose'. How to achieve that I don't know.

Perhaps take inspiration from Heinlein's Starship Troopers. All citizens receive basic income but becoming a citizen requires some duty, work or deed that benefits the collective.

Recognition of good work is important in a society where money matters less. Google had this problem a while ago when it was trying to convince their millionaire engineers to keep working. By and large they appear to have succeeded by being flexible and offering meaning in the spot in Maslow's Pyramid that used to be occupied by accumulating income. If any Googlers have any comments on this that would be great.

I do know most rich people who stay rich are motivated by purpose and not by gathering of resources or at least not directly.

What you do not want is the Roman problem of Bread & Circuses. You never want your society to go down that rabbit hole. You shall require some stern measures to prevent that from happening. If a society descends into miasma you fix it without worrying about violating general principals.

> Your comparison to the Roman empire is also interesting. I didn't think that most Romans were literate or familiar with the classics! However, as I noted earlier, productivity of labor in Roman times was still not as high as today, so maybe its not an apt comparison.

Familiar with the classics, not quite. Through oral tradition and theatre yes, not usually by reading their equivalent in books.

There is a distinction between 'educated' and 'literate'.

Few were educated unless they belonged to a House. Most people were literate. This is fairly new information so it is not surprising most people are not aware of this, it doesn't fit with the existing mental model of Roman society.

Literate here is a relative judgment. They weren't literate the way you and I are, after all the printing press had not been invented. They were mostly taught by pedagogues (if belonging to a House) or by some street/hedge school or by their parents. Usually using wax tablets and stylus and oriented around a job.

This shouldn't be so surprising if you think about it. I know I became literate at a young age by absorbing books. I also know secondary or high school graduates who cannot read. So it was never about the number of years in education (so-called modern schooling is horrifically wasteful), which due to the wealth levels would necessarily be lower. I expect the intense use of oral tradition made learning to read and write much quicker than the painfully slow 'modern' approach.

As you probably know Roman graffiti is ubiquitous in archeological digs. It wouldn't exist if only an elite could read it. Obviously many people could not read, especially in the rural areas, but it was still a literate society.

Re: When tenure never comes

#144
post #132

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The comparison doesn't hold up when rates of voluntary job separation and involuntary laid offs are being discussed.

When you pay employees crap, and give them crap opportunities, "voluntary job separation" is mostly a euphemism.

I don't disagree with that, but there's a difference between someone walking off a job after they quit and when a company terminates someone's employment.
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