Anyone have a take on how successful this is likely to be? Both sides are claiming victory and that they've beaten the other side, naturally. Propaganda is everywhere. The only thing I figure is that since Erdogan is calling for a mass uprising in the streets, the status quo has him losing. He needs to radically change the dynamics of the situation to stay in power, and mass protests and displays of martyrdom in the…
Its not even clear yet who the sides are. Erdoğan released a statement that Gülen supporters (a religious group) were behind the coup, while the military seems to be claiming it is a secular coup, and has not named a leader behind it.
Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan used the Gulen movement as allies to gain power. However, once in power, Erdogan turned on Gulen, attempted to purge his followers from the police and judiciary, then used the movement as a "fifth-column" type scapegoat.
secularism in Turkey was born at the point of a bayonet. [..] Turkey's government is both secular and democratic, due to the founding father of Turkey, Kemal Ataturk. While Ataturk was a brutal dictator, he also used that power to rebuild a Turkish national identity, secularize the government, and eventually transition to democracy.
As many news sources have pointed out, the military sees itself as safeguarding the vision and (secular) state structure of Ataturk, and regularly purges the government when its leaders violate Ataturk's premise.
So it is most likely that the coup is secular in nature, and it is Erdogan's spin that is blaming Gulen.