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Concerns for global spread of Zika mean Rio de Janeiro Olympics must not proceed

harvardpublichealthreview.org

191–200 of 213 posts

Re: Concerns for global spread of Zika mean Rio de Janeiro Olympics must not proceed

#191
post #162
post #124

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Source? The WHO information about it doesn't sounds like it has to feel all that bad http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/zika/en/ People with Zika virus disease can have symptoms that can include mild fever, skin rash, conjunctivitis, muscle and joint pain, malaise or headache. […] Treatment Zika virus disease is usually relatively mild and requires no specific treatment. People sick with Zika virus should get…

Just replying to one for all of the above: Zika symptoms has nothing to do with Dengue, it's really awful, the person cannot even walk right, the person stays bad in bed then they get better slowly, it's a lot different from Dengue, but also depends because there's a type 3 of Dengue which is almost the same as Zika.

More facts from http://www.cdc.gov/zika/symptoms/

* Most people infected with Zika virus won’t even know they have the disease because they won’t have symptoms.

* The illness is usually mild with symptoms lasting for several days to a week.

* People usually don’t get sick enough to go to the hospital

You believe your friends had Zika. bit they may not have. Given the Zika epidemic, I wouldn't be surprised if lots of sick people assumed they had Zika but in fact had something else. And, even if they had Zika, your anecdote does not trump what the CDC and WHO tell us.

Re: Concerns for global spread of Zika mean Rio de Janeiro Olympics must not proceed

#192
It's kind of a shame that there is probably a solution to Zika sitting there waiting for regulatory approval in Oxitec's GM mosquitoes which were first successfully trialed in 2009. Maybe after another one or two million people have caught Zika they'll get around to using it.

Re: Concerns for global spread of Zika mean Rio de Janeiro Olympics must not proceed

#193

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I would expect the differences you mention to result in a higher delta for Rio, they would contribute to a lower base rate of travel making the event travel relatively larger.

When I wrote my original comment I certainly had a model that the base rate of travel was pretty comparable to LDN, but I looked at actual figures from a few years ago and saw that it is in fact 5x smaller. Nevertheless, the 500,000 figure cited would represent a ~25% bump in the number of visitors (if we use 2012 figures). If you consider the area in Brazil most affected by Zika (which would include São Paulo), then…

Open water swimmers will be swimming in dirty water, sailors all ready have been. The Guardian wrote: Rio 2016: 'Chance of infection very likely' after tests show extent of pollution...

Maybe the tourists won't swimming in stagnant water where mosquitoes breed but tourists will be attending nearby while athletes swim in it.

https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2015/dec/02/rio-olympics-2...

Re: Concerns for global spread of Zika mean Rio de Janeiro Olympics must not proceed

#194
post #188
post #184

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Both of the linked sources talk explicitly about Zika and not Dengue. What is the source/basis for your claim that they are wrong?

@detaro I live in Rio and I have fellows who have had Dengue and Zika, there's no research paper, it's real life.

You're completely missing the point.

Peer-reviewed research (http://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article?id=10.1371/journal...) states that "80% being clinically asymptomatic during initial infection".

For the 20% of symptomatic people, the WHO lists (http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/zika/en/) similar symptoms to cold/flu, symptoms you wouldn't necessarily assume are Zika symptoms.

Your friends you know have had Zika are symptomatic. You may have plenty of friends (not to mention yourself) in the much larger asymptomatic bucket.

The "I don't think all the experts are right because anecdotes" attitude just makes you look silly.

Re: Concerns for global spread of Zika mean Rio de Janeiro Olympics must not proceed

#195
post #162

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Just replying to one for all of the above: Zika symptoms has nothing to do with Dengue, it's really awful, the person cannot even walk right, the person stays bad in bed then they get better slowly, it's a lot different from Dengue, but also depends because there's a type 3 of Dengue which is almost the same as Zika.

More facts from http://www.cdc.gov/zika/symptoms/ * Most people infected with Zika virus won’t even know they have the disease because they won’t have symptoms. * The illness is usually mild with symptoms lasting for several days to a week. * People usually don’t get sick enough to go to the hospital You believe your friends had Zika. bit they may not have. Given the Zika epidemic, I wouldn't be surprised if lots of…

@solipsism If you think the site is your best source rather than taking people's word for it, take it and don't discuss with other people in the forums. I'm reaffirming that the statement is incorrect and they should travel down to Brazil to understand this matter better.

I don't believe it, it was clinically tested with a diagnosis from the blood plus doctor in private hospital. That's how people get to know about it, not by word of mouth or looking up in Google.

Re: Concerns for global spread of Zika mean Rio de Janeiro Olympics must not proceed

#196
post #188

Earlier quoted context omitted.

@detaro I live in Rio and I have fellows who have had Dengue and Zika, there's no research paper, it's real life.

You're completely missing the point. Peer-reviewed research ( http://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article?id=10.1371/journal... ) states that "80% being clinically asymptomatic during initial infection". For the 20% of symptomatic people, the WHO lists ( http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/zika/en/ ) similar symptoms to cold/flu, symptoms you wouldn't necessarily assume are Zika symptoms. Your friends you know ha…

@ceejayoz If you think I look silly you may laugh no problem. But just having a bunch of Google searches and putting that all together to make your thesis is not the right way to go. What I'm saying is what they're affirming in a national government website is an incorrect statement rather then saying that the experts are wrong, don't miss understand my words. Best Regards,

Re: Concerns for global spread of Zika mean Rio de Janeiro Olympics must not proceed

#197
What will prevent the outbreak is the weather in Rio. The Zika mosquito takes 3 to 4 weeks to reproduce http://www.denguevirusnet.com/life-cycle-of-aedes-aegypti.ht... and it loves hot and wet weather.

The autumn in Rio is the coldest and driest in a long time http://g1.globo.com/rio-de-janeiro/noticia/2016/03/outono-no... When the Olympics arrive, the mosquito will be in their lowest population count.

If you consider that the Olympics tourists are rich ones, that will spend most of their times in air conditioned environments, the risk is really very low.

Re: Concerns for global spread of Zika mean Rio de Janeiro Olympics must not proceed

#198
post #71

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That video is pretty bad. One, it looks like the same kids over and over so the cops clearly do not care. Two, I was wondering what the gun laws were there until some guy chased them with a hand gun. If someone is looking to go have some fun fighting it seems like walking around with a cardboard iPhone might be the ticket. I'm only sort of kidding. I know if some kid grabbed my wife while we were walking down the str…

>... what the gun laws were ... Almost 60,000 people were murdered in Brazil in 2014, most with guns. While some Latin American countries have higher per capita murder rates, in absolute numbers, Brazil is the deadliest place in the world outside Syria. Brazilians are far more likely to be shot to death than Americans, a more populous country where there are about 8,000 to 9,000 gun homicides each year. ... Right now…

A lot of them are killed buy the police. Your chance of being killed in a high income area is really low.

Re: Concerns for global spread of Zika mean Rio de Janeiro Olympics must not proceed

#199
post #37
post #31

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm not sure about the tone of that message, but I have lived in several cities where this was the case: Oslo, Singapore, Helsinki, Stockholm come to mind as places where even “dodgy” areas have had until recently very little instances of systematic robberies.

Can't say about the others, but I didn't feel much safer in Stockholm when I worked there for a couple of months in 2005. I didn't think it was particularly dangerous, but I would say the same of Rio.

I probably should have referred explicitly to that experiment: http://www.rd.com/culture/most-honest-cities-lost-wallet-tes... It came out when I was living in Helsinki, and my colleague first concern was to find out what could have happened to the twelfth wallet. I asked if anything would come back intact, and their response was telling: “Not phones. If a phone is found lost, I would upgrade software: you don’t want to risk security. Then find the owner.”

One anecdote that might be telling: someone left their wallet in front of me in Stockholm metro. I was concerned, trying to imagine a way to get it back to him; the Swede sitting opposite me was surprised that I didn’t know I could hand it to any employee of SL safely.

Re: Concerns for global spread of Zika mean Rio de Janeiro Olympics must not proceed

#200
post #25

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well, the fair outcome would be that Tokyo was cancelled altogether, if the allegations of corruptions [1] are true. [1] https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2016/may/11/tokyo-olympics...

Wow, Japan is generally known as being clean and corruption free. I can only imagine the type of bribes Brazil and Russia handed out.

clean - yes, but corruption free? corruption is everywhere. if you have powers and decisions making you'll get corruption. look at lobbying in US - that's pretty much buying decisions. huge corps giving money to presidential candidates in US now - are there no strings attached and no further expectations?
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