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Amazon Reports Surge in Profit

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Re: Amazon Reports Surge in Profit

#171
post #85

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The impression I've gotten from friends working there is the reverse: The cloud business is making so much money it can't spend it fast enough. The retail side, meanwhile, is making money but spending it faster enough to remain "not profitable"

That's not really how accounting works

For many years Amazon was proud that they did not make a profit.

Re: Amazon Reports Surge in Profit

#172

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How to you reach that conclusion from those numbers?

Because that’s literally what they say? Amazon’s physical stores and Amazon’s online retail business are not profitable. They are selling below price. This is per definition predatory pricing. They are only able to offset this because AWS is making more profit. This is evident if you just look at the numbers.

Perhaps it's correct but it's not evident from the numbers.

The numbers can be acceptably explained by expansion, which Amazon does all the time. For example Amazon is just investing in a new retail business in India.

Re: Amazon Reports Surge in Profit

#173
post #172

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because that’s literally what they say? Amazon’s physical stores and Amazon’s online retail business are not profitable. They are selling below price. This is per definition predatory pricing. They are only able to offset this because AWS is making more profit. This is evident if you just look at the numbers.

Perhaps it's correct but it's not evident from the numbers. The numbers can be acceptably explained by expansion, which Amazon does all the time. For example Amazon is just investing in a new retail business in India.

Investments don't actually diminish profits. If Amazon buys a house for 10mill$, their profit doesn't change by a cent, because while they may have less cash, they also own a 10mill$ building.

The value of investments is spread out over whatever is reasonable for the category (i. e.: Building: 10 years or so, car: 3 or 4 years, javascript framework: 8 hours).

Re: Amazon Reports Surge in Profit

#174
post #172

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Perhaps it's correct but it's not evident from the numbers. The numbers can be acceptably explained by expansion, which Amazon does all the time. For example Amazon is just investing in a new retail business in India.

Investments don't actually diminish profits. If Amazon buys a house for 10mill$, their profit doesn't change by a cent, because while they may have less cash, they also own a 10mill$ building. The value of investments is spread out over whatever is reasonable for the category (i. e.: Building: 10 years or so, car: 3 or 4 years, javascript framework: 8 hours).

True for the building itself, but is buying office space and warehouses a large part of setting up a new business? I'd have thought that market surveys, planning and negotiations, hiring the initial staff etc would dominate.

Re: Amazon Reports Surge in Profit

#175
post #172

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Perhaps it's correct but it's not evident from the numbers. The numbers can be acceptably explained by expansion, which Amazon does all the time. For example Amazon is just investing in a new retail business in India.

Investments don't actually diminish profits. If Amazon buys a house for 10mill$, their profit doesn't change by a cent, because while they may have less cash, they also own a 10mill$ building. The value of investments is spread out over whatever is reasonable for the category (i. e.: Building: 10 years or so, car: 3 or 4 years, javascript framework: 8 hours).

Yeah, but paying money to new stuff which don't yet produce profit would make profits less, wouldn't it?

Re: Amazon Reports Surge in Profit

#176
post #174

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Investments don't actually diminish profits. If Amazon buys a house for 10mill$, their profit doesn't change by a cent, because while they may have less cash, they also own a 10mill$ building. The value of investments is spread out over whatever is reasonable for the category (i. e.: Building: 10 years or so, car: 3 or 4 years, javascript framework: 8 hours).

True for the building itself, but is buying office space and warehouses a large part of setting up a new business? I'd have thought that market surveys, planning and negotiations, hiring the initial staff etc would dominate.

It depends – you can generally expense anything you buy over it's useful lifetime, so if you aquire a patent for your new project, you'll spread that investment over the next few years. If you hire an architect, it's part of the building's cost.

The only exemption I've ever encountered is intellectual property that you create with employees – there'd be just too much uncertainty over it's value so you suffer those costs immediately (which can be a good thing, it lowers your taxes etc).

But yes, if you're investing a lot there will be some negative effect from the beginning because everything starts losing value immediately and revenue only starts later.

Note that all this is completely removed from cash flow. You'll have to pay for all the stuff you buy – usually pretty quickly. There have been companies with excellent balance sheets which still ran out of money because all the value was in illiquid investments. That's why companies often prefer to lease cars or machinery: it gets the different cycles in sync.

(all based on the laws of my small European country. Not endorsed by GAAP. Lack of acronyms caused by inexplicable loss of the relevant vocabulary once I got away from all the CXXs)

Re: Amazon Reports Surge in Profit

#177
post #69
post #44

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Google stronger than Azure?

I think momentum wise yes... Google is more a service company than MS, and I believe it is more experienced in cloud technologies.

I don't know, my experience with Google service is that it is on a par with Microsoft UI - makes me want to break things. Maybe we have different meanings of service though - I am thinking of service as 'something does not work, can I get some service for this thing of yours I am using?'

Re: Amazon Reports Surge in Profit

#178
post #174

Earlier quoted context omitted.

True for the building itself, but is buying office space and warehouses a large part of setting up a new business? I'd have thought that market surveys, planning and negotiations, hiring the initial staff etc would dominate.

It depends – you can generally expense anything you buy over it's useful lifetime, so if you aquire a patent for your new project, you'll spread that investment over the next few years. If you hire an architect, it's part of the building's cost. The only exemption I've ever encountered is intellectual property that you create with employees – there'd be just too much uncertainty over it's value so you suffer those co…

Well said. Though here in the US a significant (sometimes) portion of employee costs lies in stock based comp. And many times, co's present non-GAAP numbers that strip out this part from their income (which inflates their income, and sometimes that can be the difference between making a profit or a loss). The stock based comp gets reflected in increased share count over time, so it will show up in the stock price, just not in the presented non-GAAP income.

Re: Amazon Reports Surge in Profit

#179

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Google Cloud is amazing. Azure is terrible. Azure js for companies that, 15 years ago, were spending their budget on Windows. Great for "enterprises" that want to "leverage cloud". Azure is slow, expensive, poorly designed (network and SSD designs are just bad), and the real slap to the face is that the management UI Is worse than anything from Windows 8.

"enterprises" that want to "leverage cloud" is where all of the money is. AWS is chasing that dragon too. There is way more money selling cloud stuff to Coca-Cola and GE than to software companies.

True. But selling to those companies, can hardly cultivate an ecosystem around it.

Without vocal early adopters and evangelists in the wild, it is impossible for AWS to get to its current stage. Those people may not bring in that big of money, but they are willing to take risks and eagerly to give feedbacks, sharing their experience and come up with their own solution around it. The feedback loop is enclosed in that way, and the service can evolve with it.

MS still doesn't hit that spot yet.

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