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Julie Rubicon

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21–30 of 139 posts

Re: Julie Rubicon

#21
post #9

Very entertaining! How did no one realize this was fake by the first graph? Does xkcd design the graphs for fb premium partners?

I assumed the punchline was going to be that Facebook was generating fake graphs to scam their advertising partners, and the author was blowing the whistle.

Re: Julie Rubicon

#22

Usually I read comments on HN before the article, but there were no comments when I saw the link, so I went straight to reading it. What a bizarre piece. How long did it take everyone else to realize it was fiction? For me, I did not realize until the very end -- and even then I still wasn't sure. It could just as well have been written by some delusional non-technical employee at Facebook.

I realized it was fiction when querying after today's date produced a spike that completely matched reality. If anyone can do this, they sure as hell won't do it by omitting an end date in a query.

Re: Julie Rubicon

#23
I'm "technical" and "hands-on", yet I was gullible enough to believe the story, IM-ed it to my wife, and was surprised when she hadn't panicked like I did.

I read way too much science fiction. Back to work now!

Kind of relieved though.

Re: Julie Rubicon

#25
Who could be the real author if it's fiction? This Robin Sloan might certainly have the means and the motive. Either it is fiction, with a plot which is not to far fetched as any company with these kinds of databases can exploit it in the prediction market. "Information is power and currency in the virtual world we inhabit" Billy Idol once said. It's also an important element in Asimov's Foundation series: extrapolating history through psychohistory.

Or it's not entirely fiction or perhaps even factious. I remember Rupert Sheldrake mention in one of his mindboggling talks that he wanted to investigate potential psi effects on a much larger scale and was in talks with Google. If there were 'results' pertaining to precognition (or AI enhanced precognition of the crowd) would the public get to know about it?

Re: Julie Rubicon

#27

Nice piece. When I saw that first from-future graph, I thought Facebook is faking their data. As they are known for faking page likes.

same. when i saw this line:

'I spent the day haunting the roof of MPK20, feeling jangly and nervous, staring out across the bay.'

i thought it was about her confronting the ethical dilemma about whether she should rat out on her employer or not. it feels more likely you would accidentally disclose your fake data generator than your future predictor.

Re: Julie Rubicon

#29
post #26

Worth noting that Robin is also the author of Mr. Penumbra's 24-Hour Bookstore [1] that others around HN would probably find pretty enjoyable. I thought it was quite fun. 1 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mr._Penumbra%27s_24-Hour_Books...

+1 on this, a great book

Re: Julie Rubicon

#30

Nice piece. When I saw that first from-future graph, I thought Facebook is faking their data. As they are known for faking page likes.

Providing super-duper proprietary info to their biggest advertisers that no one else has and no one else can verify? Absolutely!
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