Earlier quoted context omitted.
I want to reply to all three of you (turtlebits, maxerickson, teod) with basically the same points. I'll put it here because yours is currently the top-ranked reply, but I am going to address all three of you. > Once cars are autonomous, it makes it drastically simpler to carpool/rideshare or even pick up and drop off riders that may share the same or partial route as you. I don't see how it is drastically simpler. Y…
from another post above a trip from SF to Vegas is 569 miles and 8 hours. The standard reimbursement (gas + wear and tear) is $0.50/mile. So that is $260 in gas + wear and tear. a quick search finds taxi drivers are $13/hr - $20/hr. that is an additional $104 - $160. The slower your drive, the higher a percentage the taxi driver will account for. Another site mentions that 2/3 of the taxi fare is going towards gas +…
Which is almost certainly not enough to drive the radical changes in car ownership behavior that many people seem to assume will happen. To be sure with a human driver you probably need to also account for utilization rates and returning to their starting point.
I've never been quite able to square the rates of things like Zipcar with taxi/Uber. Given cabbie salaries, it seems they should be closer--at least in places that don't have medallion systems that really skew things.