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Will superintelligence emerge on the Web?

kurzweilai.net

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Re: Will superintelligence emerge on the Web?

#6
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No.

why?

First, the web is only a system of hyperlinked documents which can be browsed by a man or a machine. This means that the web is only information, and as far as I can tell information is not intelligence. A system capable of using this information may be intelligent, but not the information per se. So, maybe the internet will evolve to a "superintelligence". But this leads us to my second point.

From the verb used in the question, emerge, it looks to me that this "superintelligence" is reached without human intervention. But as spontaneous generation does not exist, we need a system capable of evolve, without external help. And as far as I know, nowadays, neither the Internet (network) nor any of each nodes can evolve without human help.

So, until somebody invents an evolving device and connects it to the Internet, my answer is no.

Re: Will superintelligence emerge on the Web?

#7
post #5
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Earlier quoted context omitted.

I wouldn't be so sure...

Really? When's the last time you saw a bunch of text suddenly become self aware?

I read Kurzweil's book "the age of intelligent machines" where he set quite a few predictions for the next 10-15 years. This was 15 years ago - and he got almost all of them right.

I just don't want to dismiss him - besides it seems arrogant that we should forever be the best evolution can offer.

Re: Will superintelligence emerge on the Web?

#8
I don't know that a superintelligence will emerge from the web, per se, but I think it is becoming a sufficiently large body of textual information that an appropriate AI program could use to bootstrap itself to amazing levels of intelligence. AI programs have a problem that they have to infer all their patterns just from text, which is fairly low-bandwidth. Humans (and robots) get much more bandwidth through vision, hearing, touch, and body feedback. This might not seem important, but it provides context around every piece of information that comes in, making it much easier to make sense of things and giving richer patterns to try to match against. Without that context, an AI would need to multiply the amount of text needed by 1M (1B? 1T? X?) to train itself the way a child does.

Re: Will superintelligence emerge on the Web?

#9
post #7
post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Really? When's the last time you saw a bunch of text suddenly become self aware?

I read Kurzweil's book "the age of intelligent machines" where he set quite a few predictions for the next 10-15 years. This was 15 years ago - and he got almost all of them right. I just don't want to dismiss him - besides it seems arrogant that we should forever be the best evolution can offer.

People who think computers of sufficient power will just become self aware, don't really understand computers. If intelligent machines arise (and I think they will), it'll be because someone worked very very hard to make it so. Btw, it's arrogant to assume we're the best evolution has offered since you're defining best in human terms.
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