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Request For Research: Basic Income

blog.ycombinator.com

41–50 of 1001 posts

Re: Request For Research: Basic Income

#42
Canada has demonstrated that (single payer) public health insurance works better than America's current public/private model while our taxes are comparable to living in California. Yet the US political system has yet to even be close to adopting it. Data doesn't always translate to political persuasion unfortunately.

I'd expect Canada to adopt basic income before the US does as well and possibly provide the data this study is looking for on a much larger and contextually relevant scale.

Re: Request For Research: Basic Income

#43
post #35

I am surprised that it's for only 1 researcher though. The data on startup founders seems to encourage 2 or more people to share the burden and have someone to more explicitly bounce ideas off of. It would seem to be the case that fundamental research like this would also benefit from the cofounder type setup.

The researcher we choose will be fully a part of YCR / YC. He or she will be able to bounce ideas off us at any point, and we will help out however is requested.

Re: Request For Research: Basic Income

#44
I'm very skeptical of basic income as commonly understood.

The typical basic income program I've seen goes something like this: give every person in the country $10k to live on, no strings attached. [a]

1) As defined above, this is horribly inefficient and expensive. I, a software engineer in Silicon Valley, would receive this $10k. How does this benefit society? I already make over $100k; I don't need additional income support.

2) As noted elsewhere in this thread, the US has 300M residents; naively the cost of this program would be $3T!

3) If you do start to add guidelines for poverty, etc., you just reproduce the current welfare system that exists in the US, which balances available government revenue against our desire to help poor people.

[a] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_income, "all citizens or residents of a country regularly receive an unconditional sum of money ... in addition to any income received from elsewhere"

Re: Request For Research: Basic Income

#45
Interesting project, but personally I would be more interested to see the funding of a study on "basic financial freedom".

The test is quite similar, but instead of giving them a basic income participants are still required create their own income - however, they no longer have to pay taxes on their income. They are encouraged to create businesses and those businesses are also free from tax, and those employed by said businesses are also free from tax.

50 years from now, I think it will seem ridiculous that we used to allow government to take our money ;)

Re: Request For Research: Basic Income

#46
My personal viewpoint is that you should be guaranteed survival and some opportunity by society, but not guaranteed income.

That is, you should get food, shelter, medical care, and education for free (this also implies free child care). But you don't get to buy a cell phone or an XBox or whatever -- you have to work for that.

In other words, I think basic income is jumping the gun a bit. Who is going to PAY for this, if we're not even willing to pay for the necessities of life?

People still die from untreated diseases, and I believe there is significant research to show that poor health CAUSES poverty (rather than poverty causing poor health). If people are healthy they will likely be more productive members of society.

Re: Request For Research: Basic Income

#47

When I talk with people about basic income, my gut reaction and primary argument is that it contrasts with that fundamental human nature that's been show time and again throughout humanity - given a guaranteed, fixed reward no matter how much or how little you work for it, disincentivizes work. It follows along the same lines as why government instituted communism fails. Or why the first version of the mayflower comp…

> I just think that socialism and communism (which basic income basically is - it's paid for by the working class) ultimately leads to the destruction of the economy.

Trouble is, isn't some form of socialism inevitable? As automation continues to progress, more and more no-to-little-skill types are eliminated which then requires people to gain further education and experience to continue to qualify for some type of job. At some point we're going to automate so much that you'll essentially have to be an expert in a field to be employable.

At least that's how it looks like to me. Today socialism doesn't work (at least to a degree; some socialism-like services I could see working today like health care) but in the future where every job but the ones with the highest skill requirements are automated, what do you do?

Re: Request For Research: Basic Income

#48
post #5

There's a very relevant section in this book ( The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies - http://amzn.to/1KFJ1Iu ) , that I just read last night: > "His view is strongly supported by the work of economist Andrew Oswald, who found that joblessness lasting six months or longer harms feelings of well-being and other measures of mental health about as much as the death of…

What happens now if everybody is jobless, does the jobless still feel bad about it?

Re: Request For Research: Basic Income

#49
I am thrilled to see that there is some private interest in exploring the possibility of BI/UBI experimentally within the conditions of the USA. A properly executed study of this type could be definitive in the shaping of our society.

I expect that some form of radical redistribution of resources is going to be the next modality of human civilization, and getting started on the colossally difficult questions (how to ease existential angst of purposelessness and how to kill the work ethic) is just as important as the very-difficult particulars of implementation (how the heck do we find what the right amount of money is, and how do we pay for it) and measurements of efficacy.

I'm extremely interested in the opportunity to lead or be a part of this research group, and will be applying in the coming days.

Re: Request For Research: Basic Income

#50
post #4

$10,000 * US_POPULATION ~= $3.2T ~= The total annual tax revenue of the US federal government. Something to keep in mind when discussing this topic.

It's still quite a lot of money, but I think the basic assumption with a guaranteed income is that it would be accompanied by a tax increase such that net income is neutral for some percentage of the population.

Taking the extreme example where no one's net income is decreased and people below median get the full $10k net, you've already halved that number. I think most formulations of actually paying for such a guaranteed income would include some degree of reduction as you approach median and increased taxes at the high end of the income spectrum, further reducing the cost. As mentioned exhaustively, you also can subtract the cost of many of the pre-existing social programs because they get replaced by the guaranteed income.

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