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Why Are Corporations Hoarding Trillions?

nytimes.com

181–190 of 412 posts

Re: Why Are Corporations Hoarding Trillions?

#181

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How much do you want to pay for goods in order for that cashier to make 40K?

The money for a cashier to make a livable wage doesn't have to come from increasing the costs of all goods. The point of the article was essentially that companies have more money than they know what do with. If they paid their employees more, not only would it be better for the employees, it would be better for the company as more money in the hands of the poor will drive up demand for goods.

I think you mean, "If other companies(but not us) pay their employees more, then as consumers they can buy our stuff". I seriously doubt that giving an extra dollar to an employee generates more than a dollar in actual revenue looking solely at the purchases made by that employee. Maybe there are other social knock-on effects, but I don't see them spending more than $x on your own products when you give them $x.

One plausible exception would be for items so expensive that they're often financed with debt: A car manufacturing company might plausibly generate more than a dollar in revenue in the short-term if its employees borrowed money to finance it.

Another plausible exception would be if you gave someone a temporary raise, and they immediately started spending more and going further into debt(think buying a bigger house, bigger car, funding a bonus vacation on a credit card, etc.). Then when you cut their wages 6 months later, it's possible that for some items you would've convinced your own employees to spend more money than you gave them on your own products.

A third exception might be for companies that completely control the employees' spending. For example, a prison or a camp full of debt slaves might be paid $3/hour, but they could only spend it on overpriced company goods. Raising it to $4/hour still wouldn't exactly generate direct revenue over the long term, but it wouldn't cost the company much at all since they'd capture 100% of the spending. Anything short of that 100% is savings, and people might be more willing to spend down their savings if they thought money was easier to get. So you could - in the short term - make money by raising wages. Doubly-so if you extend them credit(on top of whatever debt they're working off).

I can't think of a way that the "giving people more money gives them more money to give back to you" argument actually works that doesn't involve saddling them with debt. And these are merely plausible - I don't know that they're what would actually happen.

Actually, what does them being employees have to do with the argument? If that argument were valid, why wouldn't my local grocery store hand out free $20 bills to anyone who comes in, since this would spur them to buy stuff? Or if you were truly convinced that this would make the companies more money, you could easily be a millionaire by buying up a local McDonalds(with a government-backed loan), raising everyone's wages, and then when your income goes up by x% reselling the business for an x% increase on the $300,000 or so you bought the McDonald's for(and repeating this a couple times).

Re: Why Are Corporations Hoarding Trillions?

#182

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's not "trickle down" economics, which is not actually a real thing at all. That's a nonsensical political term that the Democrats seized upon during Reagan's "supply side" economic policy; which has beginnings much earlier than Reagan, and likely older than Jean-Baptiste Say's formulation. There isn't an idea that alone "capital drives growth," that's an idea that Keynes came up with by misreading Jean-Baptiste…

There isn't an idea that alone "capital drives growth," that's an idea How is it not an idea and an idea simultaneously

Economics.

Re: Why Are Corporations Hoarding Trillions?

#183
post #88

The US is out of demand. Workers are spent out. Thus, there's no need to increase output, because nobody has the money to buy it. The US has huge excess manufacturing capacity, thousands of malls which could handle more traffic ("there's always parking at Sears", a rather pathetic ad), and services which could handle more business. There's a glut of capital, plenty of available unemployed or underemployed workers, no…

This is the ultimate problem with "trickle down" economics. Capital doesn't drive growth. Lack of capital limits growth, but excess capital doesn't generate additional growth. Demand drives growth and 35 years of stagnant wages (wages are basically where they were in 1981) have put a chokehold on growth. This is why you have the seemingly incongruous effect of high taxes encouraging growth and low taxes stifling it.…

I'm coming around to the opinion that taxes on income are a bad idea. Income flows to people as they're trying to accumulate wealth, trying to climb from lower to middle to upper class. Higher taxes on income, especially highly progressive taxes, make it harder for people to move between social classes.

The focus on income tax creates a situation where the person who makes $200k/yr but has a net worth of $0 gets taxed far more than the person whose investments bring them $100k/yr and they have a net worth of $2,500,000.

Oh, and their lifestyle might be about the same despite the disparity in income, because one of them needs to work for a living so they'll need to live somewhere close to jobs, pay more for transportation, etc.

Higher income tax is great, if you're already wealthy. If I was wealthy, I'd be very happy people if stay focused on that. But I think taxing accumulated wealth is a much better way of leveling the playing field over time and also making sure capital stays in productive use. France already has something like a 0.5-1% "solidarity tax" on wealth, and it's a progressive tax.

According to Piketty, the return on capital has historically been around 5% per year, and returns are better at scale. For multi-billion dollar funds, the rates are around 9-10%. The "Financial Independence/ Retire Early" people who plan for pessimistic scenarios say to expect 4% return. Let's say it's reliable to expect 2-3%.

At $10M a person can expect about $200-300k in income. If we have a wealth tax of 1% their investment income after taxes reduces to $100-200k. If they want to maintain their previous standard of living, they need to make about $100k per year.

At $100M let's say economies of scale start to happen and even in a pessimistic scenario you can expect a 4% return. If we have a 2% wealth tax at this point, the person can still expect an investment-only income of $2M per year.

You can see where this is going. At $1B with a 5% pessimistic return, 3% wealth tax, $20M investment income. At $10B with a 6% pessimistic return, 4% wealth tax, $200M investment income.

The nice side effect of this is that the mere scale of capital doesn't provide competitive advantage. The wealth tax should be designed to even out the advantage of scale so that larger accumulations of capital need to be put to best use.

Putting some numbers on the napkin... The US has an aggregate net worth of $85 trillion dollars. The federal budget is $4 trillion. Assuming a power law distribution of net worth, let's guesstimate an average 2% tax on that $85 trillion, which comes out to $1.7 trillion. We could roughly cut income taxes in half or eliminate them except at very high levels ($1M+) if we used a wealth tax instead.

The important thing to note here is that the wealth tax still leaves about 2% investment income, it doesn't reduce the total over time. I think it's great that people can accumulate wealth and then live on it, or pass it on to the next generation. But it would be great if we can keep the income at around 1-2% so that the nearly guaranteed increase in accumulated wealth is the same or less than the growth rate of the economy, meaning that people who build businesses today have the ability to reach the same heights as those who built businesses yesterday, without extraordinary luck or blunders by those with wealth.

Re: Why Are Corporations Hoarding Trillions?

#184

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And a major reason workers are spent out is because of high rents. If the US would build enough housing in the major employment centers that the highly skilled workers wouldn't spend 90% of their after-tax income on fixed expenses, they'd have more money to spend to drive other businesses. All the disposable income is being sucked into rents, and eventually that will make the economy run slower and slower, fewer sale…

You are assuming the answer. (The old phrase for this was "begging the question"). Someone could easily ask "Why don't the landlords, who get all that money from rent, spend it on something, and thus drive growth?" And you can easily answer that: the wealthy spend less of their income, they save more, therefore the high profits from rent increase the savings glut, etc, etc, etc. But you should state the answer direct…

Good point, it is important that the rentiers do not spend as much as renters would, otherwise the same amount of spending would take place.

Re: Why Are Corporations Hoarding Trillions?

#185
post #120

Earlier quoted context omitted.

even medium to highly paid workforce members aren't entirely capable of spending en masse these days. I'd love to stop paying $3500/month in rent, but any property to buy around here has a median price of $1.2 million. Unless we all move to rural Indiana, housing + healthcare is designed to eat 100% of your after-tax income with no room for further growth. (of course, that's assuming you're just a putz serial employe…

In Portland, OR, my healthcare is 4% and my 2k+ house in the burbs (30 min commute) is At $3500/mo (about $750k house), there are over 500 house available right now[0] just in the actual city of Portland (not including suburbs). And that's just limiting it to 2bd 1.25ba (and above) detached houses (not including condos, duplexes, etc) It's totally possible to work and live somewhere other than California. [0] - https…

Yeah but rain. I lived in Oregon for 22 years, and I've been living in California since 2012 and although its been through a drought, let me tell you some things I don't miss after being back in Oregon for the holidays. Waking up to gray, gloomy skies, with rain pouring down. Waking up to the dark at 7am in the Winter. Sunset at 4:30. It actually gets cold haha.

The summers are amazing though!

You get spoiled living here and thats why people like it.

Re: Why Are Corporations Hoarding Trillions?

#186
post #109

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As far as I know the US taxes the income of its citizens even when they live outside the US. So why can't the US just tax the offshore income of the companies?

Because the US needs the businesses, not the other way around.

Are you serious? Where could Apple establish itself if not for the US? Or Google? Or Facebook?

The government comes first, as a guarantor of civilization. Everything else comes later.

Re: Why Are Corporations Hoarding Trillions?

#187
If the companies spent their savings, rather than hoarding them, the economy would instantly grow, and we would most likely see more jobs with better pay.

The article makes it sound like these dollars are somehow being removed from the economy. If they're put in a bank, the bank loans it out to someone else. If they buy treasury bills, the government then takes the money and spends it. Even if all this money was converted to paper notes and stuffed into giant mattresses, the net effect would simply be to deflate the currency and increase the value of everyone else's money.

Hoarding money isn't like hoarding oil or rice or microchips. Maybe GM spending money would grow the economy more than GM loaning it to the federal government so they can spend it, maybe not. Depends on what they spend it on - the return on education is probably higher than the return on fancy pensions or factories for products that nobody buys.

Re: Why Are Corporations Hoarding Trillions?

#188
post #88

The US is out of demand. Workers are spent out. Thus, there's no need to increase output, because nobody has the money to buy it. The US has huge excess manufacturing capacity, thousands of malls which could handle more traffic ("there's always parking at Sears", a rather pathetic ad), and services which could handle more business. There's a glut of capital, plenty of available unemployed or underemployed workers, no…

Then it is time yet again to invent new ways for Americans to consume.

An economy turns not on capital but the movement of capital from one place to another (ie trade). Atm the money is with corporations. They don't actually want it. They would rather have customers buying their products than money sitting in a box. The role of government in resolving this impasse is to somehow make that parked money move again. Either take it via taxes (very difficult as the US does not generally tax assets) or get the corporations to spent it willingly.

I'd vote for a rule that would mandate dividend payouts by corporations that hoard money. Define a fixed amount that is acceptable, say 25% of net worth, and any liquid assets above that number must be paid as dividends. That will move a pile of money from corporations to wealthy stockholders, which in turn pay taxes and hopefully will spend some on products. Yes, it is a "trickle-down" approach, but I think that is the only approach the US electorate can stomach these days. Or, to avoid paying said dividends, corporations would invest in/hire people who would then pay taxes and otherwise keep the money flowing through the economy.

Re: Why Are Corporations Hoarding Trillions?

#189

If the companies spent their savings, rather than hoarding them, the economy would instantly grow, and we would most likely see more jobs with better pay. The article makes it sound like these dollars are somehow being removed from the economy. If they're put in a bank, the bank loans it out to someone else. If they buy treasury bills, the government then takes the money and spends it. Even if all this money was conv…

> If they're put in a bank, the bank loans it out to someone else. If they buy treasury bills, the government then takes the money and spends it.

good call, this is Econ 101 stuff that most people just don't know. Saving money in a bank or government bonds is not the same as locking it in a vault or burying it in your backyard. It is still out moving around in the economy.

Re: Why Are Corporations Hoarding Trillions?

#190
post #88

The US is out of demand. Workers are spent out. Thus, there's no need to increase output, because nobody has the money to buy it. The US has huge excess manufacturing capacity, thousands of malls which could handle more traffic ("there's always parking at Sears", a rather pathetic ad), and services which could handle more business. There's a glut of capital, plenty of available unemployed or underemployed workers, no…

Most wealthy individuals spend a much smaller percentage of their income on consumption compared to the middle class. It then makes sense for aggregate demand to decline as the size and overall spending capacity of the middle class declines.

Unfortunately the dysfunction in U.S. politics prevents the government from pursuing policies that explicitly buttress the middle class. What happens instead are more indirect interventions like the Fed-driven stimulation of asset prices and increased defense spending. (Both of which benefit relatively narrow segments of society.)

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