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2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

washingtonpost.com

121–130 of 252 posts

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#121

I live in one of those "Record Warmest" boxes, it really was hot during the past year. Its funny how people you would consider uneducated and poor in my country would understand that there is clearly something going wrong with the world around us, while some people with lots of money, influence and education choose to believe that this is all a conspiracy by a foreign government. It's just nuts, really, something is…

"It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it!" by Upton Sinclair says everything about this issue.

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#122

Is anyone aware if there is reliable data prior to say 1880? [1] Is there any possibility that large scale climate trends could be outside of the observed window of time available? For instance, some large scale natural state-shifting appears to occur on the order of hundreds of years (reference is about earthquakes, but maybe relevant?) [2]. Based on everything I've heard/read/etc about this, it seems unlikely that…

I actually just posted about this -> http://www.skepticalscience.com/co2-lags-temperature-interme... the co2 lag in the ice core records indicates temperature rise prior to co2 emissions but 90% of the temperature rise then occurs AFTER co2 levels rise so its both natural cycles AND co2 where co2 is the more significant culprit. I was in your camp but got out.

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#123

Nuclear Power, until those who care about the environment accept that the only clean at scale power solution for base load is nuclear power we will get no where. "Renewables" are great and should be in the mix but they are not an at scale solution. http://www3.epa.gov/climatechange/images/ghgemissions/source... By going mostly electric for our transportation and nuclear for power generation we could really make a den…

This plan seems to ignore the growth curves of renewables. By the time any nuclear power expansion plan gets into place exponential growth in photovoltaics and other renewable technologies will have taken over. Nuclear power would have been a great idea, if we had started at least 10 or 20 years ago. It is unfortunate "environmentalists" did such a disservice to the environment, but we're long past the point of Nucle…

Doubtful that will be anytime soon and we'll most likely always need some sort of baseline power system that's not a from a renewable source.

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#124

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Lots of people keep saying this, but I really don't think it's true. Solar and wind work fine at scale. There is nothing un-scalable about them. What they don't do is work at night, and in that case nuclear is a fine option. Although batteries that can run a house overnight aren't that expensive.

Wind works at night. :)

[deleted]

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#125
post #70
post #26

If this keeps up, I have no idea how countries are going to deal with displaced migrants. We barely have the capability right now to properly deal with Syrians and African refugees.

Moving is expensive. Cheaper to stay in place and work around it. Note that I'm talking about overall total world costs. The only reason you have refugees now is the costs are being externalized. Bombing Syria is pretty cheap if Europe pays the refugee price, not sure the last time Germany bombed Syria, but they're paying the price for someone else doing it right now... Because of the ease of externalizing costs, I s…

I would say that Bangladesh is a large exception. Population ~160 million. Most of the countries is ~10m above sea level.

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#126

Nuclear Power, until those who care about the environment accept that the only clean at scale power solution for base load is nuclear power we will get no where. "Renewables" are great and should be in the mix but they are not an at scale solution. http://www3.epa.gov/climatechange/images/ghgemissions/source... By going mostly electric for our transportation and nuclear for power generation we could really make a den…

This plan seems to ignore the growth curves of renewables. By the time any nuclear power expansion plan gets into place exponential growth in photovoltaics and other renewable technologies will have taken over. Nuclear power would have been a great idea, if we had started at least 10 or 20 years ago. It is unfortunate "environmentalists" did such a disservice to the environment, but we're long past the point of Nucle…

Nuclear can still catch up.

Photovoltaics have a cap even if the panels are produced for free, simply based on land cost and infrastructure cost. That is also because they are not matchable to the demand curve. As a batch technology (like charging batteries for new electric cars, or powering irrigation) they are great. It for regular on-demand electric use it will always remain an in-fill.

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#127
post #3

Okay - help someone that doesn't truly understand this. Earth's surface can gain heat through 4 ways I can think of (and this is just what I can think of and is likely wrong): 1) Geothermal brings more heat from core/mantle up. I don't think this is currently any larger than normal, nor do I imagine this varies much. 2) Oceans can give up heat they are storing and provide it on the surface. I don't know if El Nino is…

The Earth can only "gain" heat through #3, solar radiation. The other 3 items you list can store and release heat at a later time, but they can not generate more heat than they already possess now. (This is not strictly true, conversion of mass to energy, e=mc^2, means that nuclear and fusion energy could create new heat at the expense of matter, but we generally assume that on planets, this is negligible.) So if peo…

That's why I specified "surface".

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#128
post #66

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Distract people from real issues and extract taxes, is usually how people use disaster predictions.

The people making these predictions do not have the power to extract taxes. The people who do have the power to extract taxes (Congress) are ignoring the predictions.

The people making those predictions are PAID by the government.

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#129

Is anyone aware if there is reliable data prior to say 1880? [1] Is there any possibility that large scale climate trends could be outside of the observed window of time available? For instance, some large scale natural state-shifting appears to occur on the order of hundreds of years (reference is about earthquakes, but maybe relevant?) [2]. Based on everything I've heard/read/etc about this, it seems unlikely that…

I actually just posted about this -> http://www.skepticalscience.com/co2-lags-temperature-interme... the co2 lag in the ice core records indicates temperature rise prior to co2 emissions but 90% of the temperature rise then occurs AFTER co2 levels rise so its both natural cycles AND co2 where co2 is the more significant culprit. I was in your camp but got out.

Awesome, thanks! I'm going to check this out.

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#130

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Currently we have about 200 years of uranium available for economical extraction. I responded to your claim previously[0]: > In that 200 years a whole lot more uranium will become available for economical extraction, exactly the same as what happened with oil and natural gas. Do you have reason to believe this will not happen? [0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10623187

I'm no expert here. I'm simply parroting what the scientists at the Nuclear Energy Agency have reported.

OK, but remember that the experts said the same thing about oil and natural gas, and were wrong in that case. Here the estimate of ~10 megatonnes assumes that seawater extraction will never be economically viable, one possible source of error.

If you're interested in the history of "peak resources" here is a good book about Paul Ehrlich's famous bet with Julian L. Simon:

http://www.amazon.com/The-Bet-Ehrlich-Julian-Earth%C2%92s/dp...

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