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2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

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101–110 of 252 posts

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#101

Nuclear Power, until those who care about the environment accept that the only clean at scale power solution for base load is nuclear power we will get no where. "Renewables" are great and should be in the mix but they are not an at scale solution. http://www3.epa.gov/climatechange/images/ghgemissions/source... By going mostly electric for our transportation and nuclear for power generation we could really make a den…

Earth has a set amount of uranium that is destroyed when creating energy. Currently we have about 200 years of uranium available for economical extraction. But if we tried to replace all fossil fuels with nuclear, we would be out within a few decades. Then we'd need to move to other non-renewable materials (thorium?) or start mining astroids. http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-long-will-glob... And the min…

> Currently we have about 200 years of uranium available for economical extraction.

I responded to your claim previously[0]:

> In that 200 years a whole lot more uranium will become available for economical extraction, exactly the same as what happened with oil and natural gas.

Do you have reason to believe this will not happen?

[0]https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10623187

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#102

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Lots of people keep saying this, but I really don't think it's true. Solar and wind work fine at scale. There is nothing un-scalable about them. What they don't do is work at night, and in that case nuclear is a fine option. Although batteries that can run a house overnight aren't that expensive.

Any idea what proportion of Western Europe would need to be covered in solar panels and wind farms to reliably give 90% of the required kWh per day? The other 10% could come from tidal. But you'd need much of the potential hydro capacity to act as energy storage. (Assuming battery/hydro back up on a daily basis).

There's a proposed roadmap for much of the world here:

http://web.stanford.edu/group/efmh/jacobson/Articles/I/Count...

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#103

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Lots of people keep saying this, but I really don't think it's true. Solar and wind work fine at scale. There is nothing un-scalable about them. What they don't do is work at night, and in that case nuclear is a fine option. Although batteries that can run a house overnight aren't that expensive.

Any idea what proportion of Western Europe would need to be covered in solar panels and wind farms to reliably give 90% of the required kWh per day? The other 10% could come from tidal. But you'd need much of the potential hydro capacity to act as energy storage. (Assuming battery/hydro back up on a daily basis).

Not that much, actually: http://www.techinsider.io/map-shows-solar-panels-to-power-th...

It certainly seems more feasible than some feeble attempt to cover the Earth with a reflective surface as a geoengineering measure to counteract global warming.

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#104
post #64

So next year, when there's a modest decrease in global temperature (as per regression to the mean, even if the mean is monotonically increasing), the climate skeptics will be out in force with their 'I told you so - it goes up and down'. Such a huge record seems like good news for climate change deniers, just deferred.

Well the US government is at fault here to make such a big deal out of data from a single year. That really tells you there is more politics at play here than Science.

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#105
post #93

Is anyone aware if there is reliable data prior to say 1880? [1] Is there any possibility that large scale climate trends could be outside of the observed window of time available? For instance, some large scale natural state-shifting appears to occur on the order of hundreds of years (reference is about earthquakes, but maybe relevant?) [2]. Based on everything I've heard/read/etc about this, it seems unlikely that…

"Reliable" is obviously a spectrum, and nothing beats a thermometer. However, there are multiple independent reconstructions of temperatures over the past 2000 years using a variety of proxy sources, from rings in trees to coral growth to bores in Antarctic ice [0]. They provide sufficient evidence that the IPCC thinks it's "likely" (a technical term) that temperatures are higher than anytime in the past thousand yea…

Thanks, I'll read up on some of the citations listed on that page, looks like a great resource for the information I was looking for.

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#106

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Lots of people keep saying this, but I really don't think it's true. Solar and wind work fine at scale. There is nothing un-scalable about them. What they don't do is work at night, and in that case nuclear is a fine option. Although batteries that can run a house overnight aren't that expensive.

If we went fully "renewable" how much industrial waste would these batteries that everyone needs create? Solar and Wind really doesnt work for everyone, where it is cost effective, available and reliable it makes sense to mix them in, but you cant tell me you fully expect every country to go 100% Solar and Wind?

Global population is concentrated near the equator and near the coast, both great conditions for solar and wind.

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#107
post #3

Okay - help someone that doesn't truly understand this. Earth's surface can gain heat through 4 ways I can think of (and this is just what I can think of and is likely wrong): 1) Geothermal brings more heat from core/mantle up. I don't think this is currently any larger than normal, nor do I imagine this varies much. 2) Oceans can give up heat they are storing and provide it on the surface. I don't know if El Nino is…

The Earth can only "gain" heat through #3, solar radiation. The other 3 items you list can store and release heat at a later time, but they can not generate more heat than they already possess now. (This is not strictly true, conversion of mass to energy, e=mc^2, means that nuclear and fusion energy could create new heat at the expense of matter, but we generally assume that on planets, this is negligible.) So if peo…

The Earth's heat budget over geological time is 50% radiogenic..

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#108
post #78

2015 was a strong el nino, I dunno if it's gonna tell us much about global warming... It's actually alarming to me that this post is being given any traction on here, when I know everyone here is smarter than to attribute one year to global warming. How many times have we mocked Fox News for saying shit like, "It was -10F outside today, so much for global warming!" Climate change is clearly a big deal, and one of (if…

You talk about how smart everyone here is but you offer no data for your assertion. You mention the el nino being the cause but some might argue that climate change lead to a a bigger el nino. You have evidence showing that there is no link?

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#109

Nuclear Power, until those who care about the environment accept that the only clean at scale power solution for base load is nuclear power we will get no where. "Renewables" are great and should be in the mix but they are not an at scale solution. http://www3.epa.gov/climatechange/images/ghgemissions/source... By going mostly electric for our transportation and nuclear for power generation we could really make a den…

Lots of people keep saying this, but I really don't think it's true. Solar and wind work fine at scale. There is nothing un-scalable about them. What they don't do is work at night, and in that case nuclear is a fine option. Although batteries that can run a house overnight aren't that expensive.

Making those shiny new batteries is an extremely dirty and polluting process. Again peopld ignore what they dont see.

Re: 2015 “smashed” 2014’s global temperature record

#110
post #25
post #17

It sounds bad but I'm very unoptomistic about our chances of stopping this. There is just too much pollution and too little meaningful global cooperation. Just imagine if Trump did get into office as well...

IMHO the problem with stopping this and many other forms of environmental degradation is that it's better to reign in hell than serve in heaven so to speak. Poverty is worse than all but the most severe natural disasters. Infant mortality in many poor countries is probably a lot higher than it is in Miami during a hurricane . Poverty is worse than pollution or storms. Even if the sea level rises it would be better to…

> The only hope we have is to develop the world to the point that people can afford the luxury of caring about the future beyond the next 48 hours. Only then will we be able to transition to anything more sustainable

This condition still exists in the "developed" first world. We haven't gotten off the treadmill.

Artificially stimulating the economy into the unnatural state of inflation made sense when we had a scarcity of food and physical goods. Now it's just extremely wasteful, from both individual and global perspectives.

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