This was a great read! But I wish the article would have mentioned how tiny the microscopic time-reversal effects are, compared to macroscopic time reversal. The microscopic effects are too small to explain why we have such a clear direction of time. Our direction of time is defined by the observation that entropy (or "chaoticness") always increases with time. If you mix orange juice with water, you will not see the…
> Therefore, a system transitioning from state to state is much more likely to be in one that looks chaotic, and very, very unlikely to ever go back to a state that is non-chaotic. This one thing I don't understand about the 2nd law of thermodynamics: given enough time won't the system go back to a more organized state simply by chance? And in that case, wouldn't the total entropy be reduced?
Or to give you a somewhat similar problem - consider a 32x32px 8bit image (a standard Windows icon since version 3.0). The image consists of 1024 pixels, each capable of representing a different color from the set of 256 colors. How many possible pictures like this are there? Or, as you'd ask in thermodynamics, in how many states such a system can be? It's 256 states per pixel raised to 1024th power (just like 6-digit binary number has 2^6 possible values). It's 256^1024. You know how much is it?
10907481356194159294629842447337828624482641619962326924318327861897213318491192
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78632150573082843022166497032439613863525162640951616800542762343599630892169144
61811874063953106654048857394348328774281674074953709935118687563599703901170218
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16052087830463241104936456875492096732298245918476342738379027244843801852697776
49410727156115804346908274593399919614142427414105991174260605564837637563145276
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53547025567031200413072549583450835743965382893607708097855057891296790735278005
49356215610907958451729541159729274798775277385600082041185589300047777487277618
53813510493840581861598652211605960308356405941821189714037868726219481498727603
65361629885617482241303348543878532402475141941718301228107820972930353737280457
43720952287036227763639452908698062584223551485075710396193874496298668081887696
62815778153079393179093143648340761738581819563002994422790754955061288818308430
07964869323217915876591803556521615711540299212027615560787310793747746684152836
29877086994501520312318625942030856938389446570613462367042340268211029589549511
97087076546186622796294536451620756509351018906023773821539532776208676978589731
96633030889330466516943618507835064156833694453005143749131129883436726523859540
49042734559287239495252271846174043678547546104743770197680255766058810380772707
07717942221977090385438585844095492116099852538903974655703943973086090930596963
36076752996493841459818570596375456149735582781362383328890630900428801732142480
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4227266605403581781469090806576468950587661997186505665475715792896
This much. (Source: [0]).Now ask yourself, how many of those pictures represent a letter "A". Quite a lot probably, but nowhere near that much. In all those 256^1024 pictures, you have every possible representable letter A, as well as any other possible Unicode character. In those images are all your most cherished private photos (or at least their thumbnails), and also the photos of all things that you'd wish happened but didn't. A thumbnail of every possible photo of the universe is there as well.
There's also something else. Something much more frequent than all other image I've just mentioned taken together. It's the noise. The things we don't recognize, the things we consider uninteresting. I ask you, use your intuition - if you were to create a random Windows icon every second, how soon would you expect to get one depicting a letter "A"?
And now realize we were talking about silly icons that are probably barely visible on your screen.
There are 6.02 x 10²³ atoms in 12 grams of carbon. I.e. in a tip of your pencil. 602000000000000000000000 atoms. Those are your pixels. And if you want to compute the number of states this pile of atoms can be in, that is the number that goes in your exponent. The base is some combination of possible positions, orientations and velocities, and then probably something else I'm forgetting right now. And almost all of those states are noise. That's how the Second Rule works.