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Why nuclear energy is our best option at the moment

energyrealityproject.com

241–250 of 393 posts

Re: Why nuclear energy is our best option at the moment

#241
post #233

The article is completely unprofessional. The tone itself is very one-sided - which is bad enough. However, the factual omissions are ridiculous. Here are a few examples: the area used for wind turbines is large, but it is usually re-usable for agriculture, or increasingly off shore official nuclear death are low - but there is a lot of dispute on the "long tail" of long term deaths from the big nuclear disasters of…

> There is simply not enough uranium for a full build out of 3rd generation nuclear This is really important and is often avoided to be discussed: even if the 10% of all world's energy needs are covered by the nuclear energy at this moment, we know we're using some 70 Ktons of uranium per year. Then to use only nuclear energy we'd need 700 Ktons per year. Currently identified uranium resources total 5.5 Mtons, which…

Only thorium breeders seem feasible for commercial production. Plutonium breeders are terribly unsafe.

Re: Why nuclear energy is our best option at the moment

#242

I'm really tired of all the internet kids plugging nuclear. The numbers don't work, and the cost of failure is huge. We can put solar on everyone's roof and turbines in windy areas and it's completely safe, dumb nuts simple, and decentralized. Nuclear energy is dead. Let it go.

The numbers work and the cost of "failure" in gen 4 reactors is zero. Try reading the article, its written for people like you.

I'm getting tired of old brainwashed hippies pushing their 70's nuclear-hate narrative while gleefully cooking the planet.

Every anti-nuclear statement is a pro-coal statement.

Re: Why nuclear energy is our best option at the moment

#243
post #232

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>"we need so big number of them, that it's futile." I guess my grandchildren will die then. You can build a lot of PVs and turbines in the same amount of time, and place them closer to where they're being used (reduce transmission loss). You can also place them on top of buildings (reduces AC load by 2%) and on top of parking lots (reduces car heat and urban heat island effect). You're not going to electrify poor par…

>You can build a lot of PVs and turbines in the same amount of time, and place them closer to where they're being used (reduce transmission loss). You can also place them on top of buildings (reduces AC load by 2%) and on top of parking lots (reduces car heat and urban heat island effect). That was not the point. The argument was that nobody can build all the hundreds of nuclear plants that we would need. How can we…

>How can we build the millions of PV's and thousands of turbines?

Those things fall off an assembly line. Nuclear power plants can't be massed-produced.

>Why not?

Who's going to invest that much money? While you're waiting around for a nuke plant and all of the infrastructure to be built, a few PV's can make a washing machine work and then girls can go to school.

Re: Why nuclear energy is our best option at the moment

#244
post #140

Earlier quoted context omitted.

99% of the worlds grid storage is pumped hydro because nothing else works out. Pumped storage is 70% to 85% efficient, can come online within 15 seconds, and works at scale. The reservoir can provide about 13 GW·h of stored gravitational potential energy (convertible to electricity at about 80% efficiency), or about 2% of China's daily electricity consumption. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tianhuangping_Pumped_Storag…

Wow, I'm actually surprised that the battery comes that close. When one of the newer battery technology materializes those numbers might reverse.

Don't forget Li your down capacity after just 3 years and you might get 15 years total. Pumped storage is good for 50 years before a refit and the reservoir is probably good hundreds if not thousands of years.

Re: Why nuclear energy is our best option at the moment

#245
post #240

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah, there are a lot of alternate nuclear reactor designs that look great on paper but have never had the full scale engineering done to see if it is practical. And they look cheap because you don't even know half of the stuff you have to do that makes it expensive. It's like rocket design where you go "just put a bunch of explosives in a tube and go into space, this shouldn't be too expensive or difficult..."

This is where John D Clark's book "Ignition!" really shines: it's the history of the science of rocket fuel as problem solving. Plenty of candidates on paper, need to be tested for detonation, hypergolicity, ease of ignition, handling, effect on plumbing etc. Red fuming nitric acid is a good example: great oxidiser, doesn't need cryogenics but is liquid even in arctic temperatures. Only problem is it eats through the…

I've seen Ignition! referenced quite a few times on this site. Is there a reasonable place to get a reprint?

Re: Why nuclear energy is our best option at the moment

#246
post #193
post #140

Earlier quoted context omitted.

99% of the worlds grid storage is pumped hydro because nothing else works out. Pumped storage is 70% to 85% efficient, can come online within 15 seconds, and works at scale. The reservoir can provide about 13 GW·h of stored gravitational potential energy (convertible to electricity at about 80% efficiency), or about 2% of China's daily electricity consumption. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tianhuangping_Pumped_Storag…

The problem is that we have very limited amount of natural reservoirs. Practically every natural reservoir out there already has power plant, is on a desert or belongs to natural reserve. With tesla solution the problem is going to be limited amount of lithium. There is maybe enough lithium to get a powerwall to every household in U.S. and EU. But rest of the world is fucked.

You can just use two large dams in a row. The Columbia for example has 60 dams on it's watershed some fairly close to each other. https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/e/ec/Pacific_...

Granted, this would be a significant retrofit, but it's significantly cheaper than starting from scratch. And, assuming the net daily change is ~0 it's not going you don't lose existing power generation capacity or add significant environmental impact.

Also, you don't need very many. China can shift ~2% of it's daily power needs with just one location. Get into the 10-15% range and your done.

Re: Why nuclear energy is our best option at the moment

#247

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Lithium batteries are in no way going to be so inefficient as to have a 50% loss of energy. They're already cost competitive in Hawaii for utility scale storage: http://www.utilitydive.com/news/hawaii-co-op-solarcity-ink-d...

What happens when when 52MWh (~216 tons of lithium iron batteries) goes into thermal runaway?

You don't have have to put all of the 52MWh side-by-side.

Re: Why nuclear energy is our best option at the moment

#248

If they're going to have something called a NERD NOTE, they should at least get their units right: "The entire planet’s electrical consumption is right around 5 terawatt-hours." 5TWh per what? Per second? Per hour (then why not 5TW?)? Per year? Cumulative over all of human history?

Watt is joule/second. Write it out and algebraically cancel the units and you'l understand that you don't understand, and then maybe you will. As a rule, in future, try to understand before mocking, its a better way to live, take it from me...

A terawatt-hour is 3600 terajoules (a measure of energy, not power). So you've got your units wrong, unfortunately.

Re: Why nuclear energy is our best option at the moment

#249

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You assert that an article of this nature needs to be "professional", why is that ? It was written for the great mass of laypeople that (supposedly) holds the power over our nuclear future. It is intended to challenge the ongoing anti-nuclear narrative and re-educate. It achieves those aims admirably. While your criticisms may be arguably valid for a different audience they are irrelevant here.

I didn't mean to downvote you but accidentally clicked on the button and can't go back. However, I do disagree with your point. I'm pro-nuclear to the degree that it's economical, and found the article to be somewhat insipid due to grandparent's reasons. Just as there are plenty of people that are irrationally anti-nuclear, being irrationally pro-nuclear is no better at all.

What qualifies as "irrationally" pro-nuclear seems to depend on what time horizon you are using, the same as whether or not it seems rational to dump money into NASA.

Re: Why nuclear energy is our best option at the moment

#250
post #237
post #215

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A sibling commenter already did run the numbers on it, and found nuclear ahead by a factor of 10: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10503382

The Ivanpah plant isn't a great example. The tech is already going obsolete, and it's producing far below theoretical effectiveness. It should be able to produce a terawatt. Fundamentally, it's because solar is immature technology, and nuclear is mature. So what would the efficiency and cost be for a mature solar plant? And how do we get to maturity? If a solar plant could hit 50% of the energy efficiency on the same…

Solar Star (see adventured's comment parallel to yours) may be the current state of the art. It claims 747 MW on 3200 acres. That still doesn't put it in the same league as nuclear.
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