Isn't this an old news?
China to begin two-child policy
21–30 of 455 posts
Re: China to begin two-child policy
#22Re: China to begin two-child policy
#23This link has a bit more information: http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/china/2013-11/15/c_1328919... (Yes, it's from a couple of years ago, but it describes China's thinking).
>2013-11-15 18:55:05
Look at the timestamp. The article you linked was from two years ago.
The "parents can have two kids if at least one parent is an only child" policy described in that article was overturned today. Now everyone can have two kids.
Re: China to begin two-child policy
#24Overpopulation is an interesting problem, it exponentially affects every other problem we have -- some balance will have to be found between ultimately telling people they can't kids or maintaining that those people have autonomy over their own lives and can make such a decision. I don't know what the solution is - perhaps making the developing world developed as fast as possible.
Overpopulation is a non-problem. Fertility has fallow to near- or below-replacement rate everywhere in the world, except Afrika (which will likely follow in the next decades.)
A nice talk from Hans Rosling on this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eA5BM7CE5-8
Re: China to begin two-child policy
#25This has been expected for a while. Hopefully it can help address the increasing gender imbalance. It has reached 6:5 male to female births, resulting in huge numbers of Chinese men who cannot find marriage partners.
If only they could send unwanted girls from India to China.
Re: China to begin two-child policy
#26Overpopulation is an interesting problem, it exponentially affects every other problem we have -- some balance will have to be found between ultimately telling people they can't kids or maintaining that those people have autonomy over their own lives and can make such a decision. I don't know what the solution is - perhaps making the developing world developed as fast as possible.
You mean like the problem of telling people they can't just drive cars or own firearms and need to meet some competence criteria first, i.e. licensing?
If so, I totally support the idea of licensing human breeding.
Re: China to begin two-child policy
#27A pension crisis in China would be tremendously disastrous; something one can barely picture.
With growth and technology, fertility rates goes down and emerging markets,specially BRIC nations, will be severely affected by this.
Re: China to begin two-child policy
#28Overpopulation is an interesting problem, it exponentially affects every other problem we have -- some balance will have to be found between ultimately telling people they can't kids or maintaining that those people have autonomy over their own lives and can make such a decision. I don't know what the solution is - perhaps making the developing world developed as fast as possible.
Due to already declining birth rates, human population is expected to peak around 11 billion people in approximately 2100.[1] I will grant that the error bars are quite large, and that there is no certainty that the planet can handle even that number, but it bothers me that there are still people that seem to believe in Malthusian exponential growth.
Re: China to begin two-child policy
#29Overpopulation is an interesting problem, it exponentially affects every other problem we have -- some balance will have to be found between ultimately telling people they can't kids or maintaining that those people have autonomy over their own lives and can make such a decision. I don't know what the solution is - perhaps making the developing world developed as fast as possible.
Due to already declining birth rates, human population is expected to peak around 11 billion people in approximately 2100.[1] I will grant that the error bars are quite large, and that there is no certainty that the planet can handle even that number, but it bothers me that there are still people that seem to believe in Malthusian exponential growth. [1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population
your source doesn't support your claim at all...
> "increase to 11.2 billion in the year 2100"
> "may rise to 16 billion by 2100"
> "forecasts between 9.3 and 12.6 billion in 2100, and continued growth thereafter"
> "World population to hit 11bn in 2100 – with 70% chance of continuous rise"
Re: China to begin two-child policy
#30Once-child policy was brutally enforced and cruel. It was also highly effective way to reduce poverty. China vs. India: GDP per capita versus fertility rate http://www.google.se/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&ct...
>It was also highly effective way to reduce poverty.
Citation needed; correlation does not equal causation. Other East Asian countries showed similar reductions in fertility in spite of no similar policies, and much greater reductions in poverty.
China vs. India vs. Asian Tigers (Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea): GDP per capita versus fertility rate
http://www.google.se/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&ct...
Taiwan excluded because it seems to be missing from that dataset.