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China to begin two-child policy
11–20 of 455 posts
Re: China to begin two-child policy
#12Need more of them to make iPhones.
You say it in a crass way but actually, the point of the growing middle class and shifting of China's economic base means there are going to be fewer people making iphones.
Next it will move to Vietnam
Re: China to begin two-child policy
#13This has been expected for a while. Hopefully it can help address the increasing gender imbalance. It has reached 6:5 male to female births, resulting in huge numbers of Chinese men who cannot find marriage partners.
Sounds like a great opportunity to create service like Uber, but with wives
You mean, tinder?
Re: China to begin two-child policy
#14[deleted]
Re: China to begin two-child policy
#15Earlier quoted context omitted.
Sounds like a great opportunity to create service like Uber, but with wives
You mean, tinder?
Honestly, for Tinder-like service you just need to turn on WeChat in the evening and run "people nearby" search so that you pop up on a list with updated location. The offers stream themselves.
Re: China to begin two-child policy
#16This link has a bit more information: http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/china/2013-11/15/c_1328919... (Yes, it's from a couple of years ago, but it describes China's thinking).
> allowing couples to have two children if one of them is an only child > To ensure coordinated economic and social development, the population size for China should be kept at about 1.5 billion, said Guo, citing the results of a study sponsored by the State Council, China's cabinet. > China should keep its total fertility rate at around 1.8, and the current rate is between 1.5 to 1.6, allowing the country to maneuve…
Gender bias for one child must be one big influence.
> there will be 30 million more men than women in 2020
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One-child_policy#Sex-based_bir...
It was against the law to find the gender of your child in China because if given the option many people wanted boys and would abort.
Re: China to begin two-child policy
#17Overpopulation is an interesting problem, it exponentially affects every other problem we have -- some balance will have to be found between ultimately telling people they can't kids or maintaining that those people have autonomy over their own lives and can make such a decision. I don't know what the solution is - perhaps making the developing world developed as fast as possible.
that only moves the problem further along the road - much further, but still:
world won't be able to feed infinite humans so a restriction policy will eventually be needed (or systematic culling, depending on whichever comes first between enlightenment and desperation)
an interesting resulting problem of which is that population will keep aging. solutions will need to take into account non productive member in their older age, either balancing with equal amount of younger or culling from the top instead of the bottom of the age bracket
we won't likely see that in our lifespan, with some luck.
Re: China to begin two-child policy
#18Overpopulation is an interesting problem, it exponentially affects every other problem we have -- some balance will have to be found between ultimately telling people they can't kids or maintaining that those people have autonomy over their own lives and can make such a decision. I don't know what the solution is - perhaps making the developing world developed as fast as possible.
seems,that other forms of distractions and knowledge are the best presarvatives. But what about cultures that are resistant to education and therefore change?
Exit programs for the kids of the local religious nuts starting from pre-school?
Re: China to begin two-child policy
#19Need more of them to make iPhones.
You say it in a crass way but actually, the point of the growing middle class and shifting of China's economic base means there are going to be fewer people making iphones. Next it will move to Vietnam
Maybe we can abuse the fine folks in Shenzhen one last time and automate the entire manufacturing industry away?
Re: China to begin two-child policy
#20Once-child policy was brutally enforced and cruel. It was also highly effective way to reduce poverty.
China vs. India: GDP per capita versus fertility rate
http://www.google.se/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&ct...