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Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

bbc.com

51–60 of 98 posts

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#51

> But there’s an important line to draw between that and using an SPR for ad hoc manipulation of the world’s markets. On this point, Martin Young is emphatic: “The oil stocks are not there for price management as such,” he explains, “they’re there to correct a shortage in the market because of a supply disruption.” Strategic reserves can absolutely also be used as an offensive economic weapon, however. As one example…

I am not beyond believing that the current gutting of oil prices was done at the US's behest to damage Russia. It wouldn't take too much in the way of guarantees to Saudi Arabia to have them swamp the markets. Far more effective than military intervention.

I Googled this yesterday thinking the same thing, but the real increases in production came from Iraq (nearly doubling yearly output) and the extra US production. Saudi Arabia didn't seem to have any substantial change in production. Maybe I'm wrong, but that's what I found.

Politically, if Saudi Arabia can't be counted on to fix prices when faced with a threat like Russia and Ukraine, then why does the US keep them as an ally, since they're clearly involved with terrorism?

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Small Shale Producers?" We're talking about 49% of total US crude oil production. http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=847&t=6

"Small Shale Producers" are the ones that go out of business, of course, the big ones can hold up.

The small ones aren't the ones with any political clout.

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Small Shale Producers?" We're talking about 49% of total US crude oil production. http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=847&t=6

"Small Shale Producers" are the ones that go out of business, of course, the big ones can hold up.

The small ones aren't the ones with any political clout.

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well, yeah. They are "strategic" after all, which is a word that is meaningful in the global political sense. Consider that strategic weapons are the ones that could destroy life on earth.

This. I don't know why people think the US should be in love with every anti-US regime and any attempt to hurt that regime is suddenly "OMG EVIL USA" when we see the same realpolitik everywhere else without protest. Most well off nations have strategic reserves of things, offensive trade policies, protectionist economic policies, etc that can be used offensively. How many sanctions, targeted import taxes, bans, and t…

Because what's fair for most, is not fair for the gorilla. The USA dominates the world in so many ways, when it takes action it is viewed very differently than when, say, Sweden takes action.

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#55
post #28

> But there’s an important line to draw between that and using an SPR for ad hoc manipulation of the world’s markets. On this point, Martin Young is emphatic: “The oil stocks are not there for price management as such,” he explains, “they’re there to correct a shortage in the market because of a supply disruption.” Strategic reserves can absolutely also be used as an offensive economic weapon, however. As one example…

the US dumped >250,000 tons of copper from its strategic reserves onto the world market Do you have a source with more details? 250,000 tons of copper doesn't really sounds like much. Wikipedia says annual WW production is 18M tons, so the US dumped 1.4% of one's year production on the market. Sure, enough to depress prices, but for how long? It would seem like you'd need to keep dumping over a long period of time ot…

Its whats on the margin that matters.

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#56

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This. I don't know why people think the US should be in love with every anti-US regime and any attempt to hurt that regime is suddenly "OMG EVIL USA" when we see the same realpolitik everywhere else without protest. Most well off nations have strategic reserves of things, offensive trade policies, protectionist economic policies, etc that can be used offensively. How many sanctions, targeted import taxes, bans, and t…

Because what's fair for most, is not fair for the gorilla. The USA dominates the world in so many ways, when it takes action it is viewed very differently than when, say, Sweden takes action.

Maybe leadership in those countries should take that into account before proudly declaring themselves against US interests, nationalizing US wealth, blocking US ships, kidnapping US citizens, proxy warring against US allies, exporting terrorism, spreading anti-US propaganda, radicalizing its citizens to be anti-West, etc. Jesus man, the US isn't some charity, its a nation with its own self-interests and it will move to protect those interests. Not to mention, its obligations of defense in regards to being part of NATO and its post-war relationships with Korea and Japan and Israel.

Also, its a moral hazard, and frankly stupid, to make non-US nations above criticism just because they're small. Assad is mass murdering his people in Syria, for example. He deserves that criticism, and more.

Hell, Allende's downfall had everything to do with running a radical administration hell bent on nationalizing everything and pissing off business owners, the workers, congress, and the military. Of course, people like you shout, "OMG THE USA OVERTHREW HIM... somehow" and here we are. Sadly, this is further anti-US propaganda. Allende dug his own grave yet the US gets the blame. It is possible to be disliked by the US and also be a domestic fuckup on a level where your own people get rid of you. How nice to always have someone else to blame for your troubles.

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#57
post #51

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am not beyond believing that the current gutting of oil prices was done at the US's behest to damage Russia. It wouldn't take too much in the way of guarantees to Saudi Arabia to have them swamp the markets. Far more effective than military intervention.

I Googled this yesterday thinking the same thing, but the real increases in production came from Iraq (nearly doubling yearly output) and the extra US production. Saudi Arabia didn't seem to have any substantial change in production. Maybe I'm wrong, but that's what I found. Politically, if Saudi Arabia can't be counted on to fix prices when faced with a threat like Russia and Ukraine, then why does the US keep them…

Saudi Arabia has only added about a million barrels per day during the supposed attempt to weaken US frackers.

By contrast, the US added about three million barrels per day in three years ('12,'13,'14).

Most of the oil price damage was caused by the dollar. Oil had been running at significant global oversupply for years before the dollar began to crash the price back in June/July 2014. That same dollar effect threw Canada into a recession, cut Australia's growth rate in half, and crushed emerging markets including Brazil.

Long before Saudi Arabia boosted production, the dollar took off on its greatest run in decades. Oil immediately began to crash from there forward.

The USSR also collapsed due to the strong dollar 30 years ago, which dropped the price of oil substantially. Oil went from $140 inflation adjusted, for three years, to plunging off a cliff to $35 or so, courtesy of Volcker's strong dollar move. And then again Russia nearly imploded during the cheap oil days of 1997-2000, also caused by an extremely strong dollar (gold hit around ~$250).

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#58

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well, yeah. They are "strategic" after all, which is a word that is meaningful in the global political sense. Consider that strategic weapons are the ones that could destroy life on earth.

This. I don't know why people think the US should be in love with every anti-US regime and any attempt to hurt that regime is suddenly "OMG EVIL USA" when we see the same realpolitik everywhere else without protest. Most well off nations have strategic reserves of things, offensive trade policies, protectionist economic policies, etc that can be used offensively. How many sanctions, targeted import taxes, bans, and t…

Canada has had a strategic maple syrup reserve since 2000. It hit the news when someone stole $30000 worth of the sweet stuff from it.

It's basically there to both protect Canada's domestic syrup producers and extend the sales market internationally.

You can bet your tuque that the reserve would be put into play if New England syrup producers made a move that might hurt the Quebec producers across the border.

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#59

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because what's fair for most, is not fair for the gorilla. The USA dominates the world in so many ways, when it takes action it is viewed very differently than when, say, Sweden takes action.

Maybe leadership in those countries should take that into account before proudly declaring themselves against US interests, nationalizing US wealth, blocking US ships, kidnapping US citizens, proxy warring against US allies, exporting terrorism, spreading anti-US propaganda, radicalizing its citizens to be anti-West, etc. Jesus man, the US isn't some charity, its a nation with its own self-interests and it will move…

Criticizing the USA isn't the same thing as being its enemy. Blocking unfair USA policies in their sphere is the right of any nation. The alternative? Rolling over whenever the USA says Boo!?

The USA, for its part, needs to then be very circumspect in who it steamrollers and when. Not because it can't get away with it; because its wrong.

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#60
China is aggressively trying to do the same thing, attempting to boost their storage to 500m barrels, and buying a lot of oil right now while it's cheap (something the US should be doing, to further bolster its 700m barrels):

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-09-17/even-a-slo...

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