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Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

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31–40 of 98 posts

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#31
post #28

> But there’s an important line to draw between that and using an SPR for ad hoc manipulation of the world’s markets. On this point, Martin Young is emphatic: “The oil stocks are not there for price management as such,” he explains, “they’re there to correct a shortage in the market because of a supply disruption.” Strategic reserves can absolutely also be used as an offensive economic weapon, however. As one example…

the US dumped >250,000 tons of copper from its strategic reserves onto the world market Do you have a source with more details? 250,000 tons of copper doesn't really sounds like much. Wikipedia says annual WW production is 18M tons, so the US dumped 1.4% of one's year production on the market. Sure, enough to depress prices, but for how long? It would seem like you'd need to keep dumping over a long period of time ot…

Was that the annual production now or in the 70s?

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#32

> But there’s an important line to draw between that and using an SPR for ad hoc manipulation of the world’s markets. On this point, Martin Young is emphatic: “The oil stocks are not there for price management as such,” he explains, “they’re there to correct a shortage in the market because of a supply disruption.” Strategic reserves can absolutely also be used as an offensive economic weapon, however. As one example…

That's interesting, but how is any commodity able to have it's price pushed down by a single seller dumping from a fixed reserve? If the market notice that the extra supply is coming from a fixed reserve, then they'd rightly be able to infer that at some point the supply will run out, and prices will return to market value, which would in turn drive up prices again. It probably won't go back to the previous equilibri…

Drive down to the port or rail yard in your town. Notice the tanks used for wholesale petroleum product distribution. The distribution system needs to be in motion at all times. Flooding it with supply demands a faster liquidation of the product.

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#33
post #28

> But there’s an important line to draw between that and using an SPR for ad hoc manipulation of the world’s markets. On this point, Martin Young is emphatic: “The oil stocks are not there for price management as such,” he explains, “they’re there to correct a shortage in the market because of a supply disruption.” Strategic reserves can absolutely also be used as an offensive economic weapon, however. As one example…

the US dumped >250,000 tons of copper from its strategic reserves onto the world market Do you have a source with more details? 250,000 tons of copper doesn't really sounds like much. Wikipedia says annual WW production is 18M tons, so the US dumped 1.4% of one's year production on the market. Sure, enough to depress prices, but for how long? It would seem like you'd need to keep dumping over a long period of time ot…

The number you really want is the size of the market that Chile sold in. More than likely this is much smaller than the total worldwide production.

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#34

> But there’s an important line to draw between that and using an SPR for ad hoc manipulation of the world’s markets. On this point, Martin Young is emphatic: “The oil stocks are not there for price management as such,” he explains, “they’re there to correct a shortage in the market because of a supply disruption.” Strategic reserves can absolutely also be used as an offensive economic weapon, however. As one example…

I am not beyond believing that the current gutting of oil prices was done at the US's behest to damage Russia. It wouldn't take too much in the way of guarantees to Saudi Arabia to have them swamp the markets. Far more effective than military intervention.

Geopolitics are rarely so simple that they can be boiled down to a single cause-and-effect like this.

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#35

> But there’s an important line to draw between that and using an SPR for ad hoc manipulation of the world’s markets. On this point, Martin Young is emphatic: “The oil stocks are not there for price management as such,” he explains, “they’re there to correct a shortage in the market because of a supply disruption.” Strategic reserves can absolutely also be used as an offensive economic weapon, however. As one example…

Well, yeah.

They are "strategic" after all, which is a word that is meaningful in the global political sense. Consider that strategic weapons are the ones that could destroy life on earth.

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#36
post #28

Earlier quoted context omitted.

the US dumped >250,000 tons of copper from its strategic reserves onto the world market Do you have a source with more details? 250,000 tons of copper doesn't really sounds like much. Wikipedia says annual WW production is 18M tons, so the US dumped 1.4% of one's year production on the market. Sure, enough to depress prices, but for how long? It would seem like you'd need to keep dumping over a long period of time ot…

Was that the annual production now or in the 70s?

That’s today, which seems to be about 3x higher than in ~1970.

Overall (according to google sleuthing) the price of copper was down by about 25% in 1971–1972 compared to 1970.

Keep in mind: (1) Copper made up something like 2/3 of Chile’s exports at the time, so every incremental price drop was a severe blow; (2) The US simultaneously cut Chile off from international credit and aid; (3) The CIA helped organize industrial sabotage, protests, strikes, etc., so there was also some disruption to Chilean production at the time.

You can read the White House memo here: http://fas.org/irp/offdocs/nsdm-nixon/nsdm-93.pdf

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#37
post #29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But this does work in practice - it basically describes OPEC's current strategy, and perhaps relates to Starbucks' ongoing market strategy, etc. The price may return to the equilibrium price at some point, but the single seller is able to hold it low for as long as they have reserves to dump. If other sellers are dependent on sales, then they must compete.

it basically describes OPEC's current strategy Not really. OPEC's strategy is one of production. Based on their reserves, OPEC could keep it up for decades. If you're dumping a strategic reserve, it has a limited time span and likely the market can estimate how long since the reserve was public info.

OPEC's strategic reserve is also kept underground - just where they found it.

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#38
post #21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am not beyond believing that the current gutting of oil prices was done at the US's behest to damage Russia. It wouldn't take too much in the way of guarantees to Saudi Arabia to have them swamp the markets. Far more effective than military intervention.

Sorry but that's nonsense. It's a well known and indeed publically admitted strategy by the Saudi's to drive US shale producers out of business. Google "saudia arabia united states oil price" for many authoritive hits on the subject. Russia was collateral damage.

Come on, are all those US shale producers really that dumb? they knew that if they started flooding the market they just wouldn't be able to compete, the U.S doesn't care much about all those small shale producers when it has bigger fish to fry.

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#39
post #11

When my Uncle worked out in China about 15 years ago, a local dignitary was giving him a tour of the local area. He noticed what looked line capped oil wells in the fields. When he asked what they were the official confirmed that they contained oil, which "we will only start using once we can't buy anymore from anyone else". I've never heard of China having their own oil fields so I assume that there was something lo…

>I've never heard of China having their own oil fields

China is the world's fourth largest oil producer.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_oil_produ...

Re: Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground

#40

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am not beyond believing that the current gutting of oil prices was done at the US's behest to damage Russia. It wouldn't take too much in the way of guarantees to Saudi Arabia to have them swamp the markets. Far more effective than military intervention.

It's certainly not beyond conception! As Assange mentioned in this interview, a wikileaks cable showed how the US departments all work together to achieve a Foreign Policy aim, for example when a a country needs to be isolated by the they work together to apply pressure in the economic, diplomatic, military and public relations realm. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W3HWiydFlJc

And why shouldn't they cooperate together?
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