The CIA's most famous ship headed for the scrapyard

Post by cryoshon » Wed, Sep 09, 2015, 1:24 PM UTC

hugh4 wrote: post #36

thaumaturgy wrote: post #25

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're exactly right. Otherwise, this logic would lend support to, for instance, the notion that the moon landings were faked, merely because other conspiracies have turned out to be true. And nobody that's sane really thinks the moon landings were faked, so we find that other conspiracies being true doesn't really help with evaluating any given conspiracy. Or maybe more succintly: we need more Edward Snowden and les…

What we need is more people capable of entertaining an idea without necessarily believing it. People who can acknowledge multiple possibilities and put reasonable plausibility ratings on them without getting too emotionally involved with any of them. People who can say "Yes, the widely accepted story is probably true, but here's five or six low-probability alternative possibilties."

Post by mirimir » Wed, Sep 09, 2015, 7:44 PM UTC

hugh4 wrote: post #36

thaumaturgy wrote: post #25

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're exactly right. Otherwise, this logic would lend support to, for instance, the notion that the moon landings were faked, merely because other conspiracies have turned out to be true. And nobody that's sane really thinks the moon landings were faked, so we find that other conspiracies being true doesn't really help with evaluating any given conspiracy. Or maybe more succintly: we need more Edward Snowden and les…

What we need is more people capable of entertaining an idea without necessarily believing it. People who can acknowledge multiple possibilities and put reasonable plausibility ratings on them without getting too emotionally involved with any of them. People who can say "Yes, the widely accepted story is probably true, but here's five or six low-probability alternative possibilties."