Relevant amusing bit from the Amazon FAQ: "S3 is designed to provide 99.999999999% durability of objects over a given year. This durability level corresponds to an average annual expected loss of 0.000000001% of objects. For example, if you store 10,000 objects with Amazon S3, you can on average expect to incur a loss of a single object once every 10,000,000 years." I think my favorite part of that is "on average", a…
Do they spell out what assumptions they're working under? Because, for example, I'm pretty sure that the odds of a civilization-ending asteroid or comet strike in the next year, while quite low, are higher than what's implied by 99.999999999% durability on trillions of objects."
Also, the typical civilization-ending comet or asteroid is going to destroy 0 or 1 geographically-diverse data centers. Remember that this is a retention promise, not an uptime promise.