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Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

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Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#561

Post by Fluorescence »

ben_w wrote: post #531
Fluorescence wrote: post #438

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> heavily tracked As in the flights or the hardware? I've always thought drones would work well as ambush devices i.e. don't make a long flight to a target but stash within a few seconds of flight time. If it's the hardware then is there not much of a DIY scene anymore? I assumed the tech was mostly in the components e.g. cameras/motors/batteries rather than the integration. I'm not a drone person but when I cast my…

> I've always thought drones would work well as ambush devices i.e. don't make a long flight to a target but stash within a few seconds of flight time. My immediate thought: "So… a missile?" But on reflection, you're probably right. Just because missiles make more sense and have a long pile of R&D behind them, doesn't mean an amateur will pick that over the simple, easy, and obvious meme. Probably for the best. It wi…

So Dune style hunter-seekers...

> Leto's Golden Path has prevented a future in which the Ixians released, and ultimately lost control of, self improving Hunter-Seekers that would eventually consume all organic life in the known universe.

Yikes!

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#562

Post by jarsin »

yawnxyz wrote: post #77

A neighbor just got laid off from Adobe, ran huge AI projects there. PM. Program/Project Manager roles go to zero. Trad dev and design roles go to zero. Those roles go to those who also code/design/sell/get viral/make videos/write tutorials/devrel/run communities/answer customer support. It used to be "do designers learn to code" or "do coders learn to design? now it's learn ALL those things, fast, with AI, or hang o…

This makes me wonder why a company that is going all in on AI is laying off from it's AI department.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#563

Post by cutemonster »

yunwal wrote: post #507
WXLCKNO wrote: post #473

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I haven't been following chess much, is there anyone in particular he would love his ranking to?

To be honest, the answer is probably "whoever happens to be in second place when Magnus falls off". Magnus has openly stated that he finds classical chess boring, stopped playing in the world championship due to the immense amount of prep required, and has started pushing for other formats (more blitz, Fischer random). I could see him just prepping less and losing his 20 point advantage by the end of the year. The 20…

> consistently dominate players that are slightly worse than you

How do they do that :-) At those levels

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#564

Post by pjerem »

audessuscest wrote: post #549
pjerem wrote: post #181

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Crypto is the future of money and finance. Why ? Crypto is the digital version of the old commodity money (whose value comes from a commodity of which it is made). Turns out it was absolutely impractical because people rarely want to be physically responsible for their own estate. I neither see crypto disappear anytime soon and we may see innovative usage. It can probably make sense in unstable economic environment…

money is already in very large part digital.

Most digital money is scriptural. Cryptos aren’t.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#568

Post by trod1234 »

Most likely, starting in 2025, we will have hit a point of no return.

It won't be considered this until much later, if there are people who manage, but still it will be a great year. Great... but terrible things will be coming.

AI will have reached another milestone in the amount of tasks and quality that are performed, further debasing the demand for labor, and further moving us all towards societal collapse within the next 50 years; our society based on a distribution of labor reels when chaotic distortions occur, and as it stands today it can be disrupted without a viable (for survival) fallback, the only fallback is non-market socialism which fails (within 50 years).

Inflation/Currency debasement will continue getting worse with the abandonment of the petrodollar, and the inability to control the currency with government spending tied to money printing will continue until debt growth exceeds GDP. Shortage which we are only starting to see at the markets, will get much worse. What started as shortage with maintenance products like lithium grease, chemicals, and certain foods will expand.

3rd-party driven interference and the imposition/coercion of cost exceeding means will continue further following and enforcing the trend of lower birth rates, and crazier (psychotic) people (who have been tortured by these things).

To put this further in perspective, 1/3 of the welfare paid out goes to those in California right now, who require government assistance for lifes necessities. There is little work to be found. There are people looking for work who have decades of professional experience and they cannot find work in any field because of ghost jobs. The mechanism used by RNA interference to block receptors, works the same in communications networks (i.e. how you find a job).

The future is quite bleak because people have ignored many things, buried their heads to things they should not have ignored, and failed to act. They effectively have allowed themselves to be blinded, and stopped listening unable to adapt or react. Quite similar to mouse utopia.

The next few years won't be good years. They will be great years. Great and terrible.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#569

Post by trod1234 »

etimberg wrote: post #397
thepuppet33r wrote: post #66

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm still not sure how they plan to enforce this. Even now, I see an age verification popup on both illicit sites and even sites I feel are innocuous. But I can just click that I'm old enough to move on. If the social media companies are only trying to shift blame, this makes sense. They're not liable if the customer lies. But if that loophole is closed, the only way to enforce age approved sites would be a global id…

Government backed SSO is probably how this ends up. I suspect we get to it because it also solves the election influencing issues that western democracies are seeing

Not likely at all.

Person A. B is controlled by A, and C impacts A's control of B. The concept of B solving C, while at the same time having no impact on C, is patently absurd (contradictory), and the reasoning path demonstrably circular without identity (hegelian).

It lacks rationally accepted structure to be anything except hopes, wishes, dreams, or delusion.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#570

Post by _ache_ »

- European economic crisis.

- Half of the European inhabitant will live in a country with far-right head of state by the end of 2025.

- China will not become the first economy of the world but will invade Taiwan.

- Bitcoin will fall (and ETH/BTC will raise to at least 0.1).

- One Piece will not end in 2025 but in the next few months.

- USA will see another CEO shooting.

- India will become third largest economy in the world.

- China will outperform all other competitors in AI.

- Open Source model to solve simple math problems will be accessible (by the end of 2025).

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