511–520 of 620 posts
- Elections will be unexpectedly won by candidate running anti-immigration, Russia-friendly candidates - 2025 will be the hottest year on record - BlueSky will reach 100 million users - There will be at least one government fall in France
A real prediction will be the impeachment of Macron. It may happen if he fall short of candidate to be prime minister.
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Honestly, I think the headlight "bars" like on the Rivian R1T or Cybertruck is going to be the standard going forward. It gives a better driving experience (to the driver, way worse for the other drivers...)
Some societies optimize for the individual. If 8 lights is better for me then I get 8 lights. The experience gor other drivers us a "them" problem not a "me" problem. Other societies optimize for public good. It's less about "individual freedom" and more about "what world do we want to live in". (I'm not talking about govt here as much as just the way people consider their own choices. And yes, there are as*oles in a…
That is, frankly, bullshit. Societies, by definition, only exist when their members act, in aggregate, for the good of the community. A society cannot exist where everyone only acts in self-interest at the expense of everyone else. If you make self-interested choices for no other reason than "I did it because I could", that's just pure selfishness.
Society is forced to tolerate some degree of self-interest, but it isn't an optimization problem, because nobody is tweaking the parameters - things work until they don't anymore. That's why every society that has collapsed, did so either due to war, due to greed and self-interest causing it to turn on itself, or some combination of the two.
It isn't important that you make choices that benefit others, but rather that you at least care about how your choices affect others, and attempt to reduce the harm of your own self-interest. If you don't even bother to do that, then you don't deserve to be part of our society, or any other, IMO.
If only people that believed they stand alone, that everyone should fend for themselves, actually had to do so, maybe the world would be a better place.
* I was hoping for that this year, but: split of LLMs into databases and reasoning. Think small, capable PHI with pluggable information. Currently we're burning a lot of energy both to learn and process everything at once. The next step will be something closer to RAG, potentially selecting databases to load depending on topic, like a librarian. This will both enable more client-side applications and save lots of mon…
> Consumer RISC-V laptops (again, wishlist) Depending on how one defines "consumer," that's already available: https://liliputing.com/risc-v-laptops-299-muse-book-and-399-... and https://frame.work/products/deep-computing-risc-v-mainboard was announced earlier but seems it is, as you implied, still "mailing-list ware" But, for my curiosity: if you bought one of those what would you run on it? I see that Starfive clai…
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Thread-over-Matter mesh networking UWB in door locks Unlicensed 6Ghz spectrum Apple room panels (AI/conferencing/control) Apple security cameras, door locks Apple iPad-on-motorized-pole In-home AI/media servers (Mac Mini/Studio, Tinybox) Speech interfaces based on open-source stacks
If Apple, as rumored, ships an HomeKit hub with a screen I can see the category warming up. Sadly it seems that a lot of IoT/Smart Home companies avoids supporting HomeKit as they want to be in control of data collection and the ecosystem in general.
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Indeed someone predicted vision pro will be wildly popular.
Yes. People are not stupid. It's one thing to have a phone in your purse. It's another to have something on your head and eyes, like how is anyone going to agree to that? Sure if it was very cheap you'd find some interested folks.
I don't mind enthusiasm and excitement, but for others to directly make such bold claims then put others down was a disappointing experience for me here.
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I know right , I think he might be too bullish on bitcoin for it to double , though I may be wrong but it just feels like there would be swings because I still believe that there is no use of bitcoin , Its just that its the one which started these coins and there could be better one for use cases , maybe like IDK monero for real anonymous transactions , but even then these are more of a sidekick thing which I don't t…
>I like index funds so much , that everything else feels a time / effort waste even though I am aspiring to be a programmer , maybe that's partially why I don't see much reason in crypto. Crypto is the future of money and finance. If you are aspiring to become a programmer you should internalize this and get in.
I predict that I will finally finish making that bird feeder camera that I've been wanting to make for my wife. I've got all the parts for it, I just need to figure out how to put them together and write some code to take a picture of a bird. Can't be too hard, right?
- a feed tray that is self draining so that food never molds, a small amount of food can be cycled to avoid spreading disease
- users grow tired of fine screws for food fill, they're also easy to lose over time, threads get dirty with nature or food (latest purchase has a swivel joint lid)
Dopamine management medication will lead to a renaissance of human ingenuity and scientific discoveries and a big crash for social media and gambling sites (and in fact most online activities) but everyone will start becoming more robotic and even less social. Think GLP-1 inhibitors except for thinking more deeply and for longer periods. If not 2025 very soon.
haha this is gonna be an interesting one for sure. it's crazy how us humans yearn for magic pills for the highs and the lows just to get ourselves in a healthy baseline and as bryan johnson's experiments look like, it all comes down to our consistency in eating healthy, exercising regularly, and resting enough - those three alone will net you better health than most people - and it's hard to get into habit of doing t…
Accepting causation is difficult to recognize when it requires personal change.
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I don't think that is an option of any sort. Wild guess is Putin bet was on Russia getting some territories opening the door for Hungary and Poland to do the same. No idea what is the atmosphere in Slovakia, but the recent surprise in the Romanian politics makes any prediction impossible. Well, he was wrong :)
I don't think that is an option of any sort. That's insane. Of course it's an "option". No one in these countries (outside of a very tiny portion of wackos) cares about the current borders, or dreams of starting a war to move them.
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The root issue here is children not coming out to their parents. If we improve that metric, we can begin to improve all other metrics. Ie: the parent can help the child discover appropriate peer groups
That requires the parents to be accepting and engaged, which is a great long-term goal but will take much longer to achieve than the first-order effects of losing access to peer communities. (There are also feedback loops: a group being less visible means that people in the group are less likely to realize it isn’t something uniquely wrong with them, there are fewer other people who know fact from myth, and so on.)