Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

Post by lolinder » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 1:01 PM UTC

rapsey wrote: post #311

lolinder wrote: post #35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The data strongly suggests that AI is dealing with a bad case of a bubble, and it's not that far out there to suggest that the bubble will pop next year. That's not to say that some companies won't come out ahead—there were success stories that came out of the .com bubble too—but I'd give it no more then three years before the bubble bursts and the startup casualties stack up.

The AI bubble as of now is nothing compared to the dotcom bubble. The only real reflection of it is in the nVidia stock price. We're not seeing IPOs of companies making no revenue and being valued in billions. It is all mag 7 capex going into nVidia. Private startups having high valuations is completely irrelevant. VCs getting wiped out is not relevant for the wider economy.

Post by dartos » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 1:09 PM UTC

0-_-0 wrote: post #350

dartos wrote: post #347

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Really bullish on AI, huh? Designing an engine? “[snuffs] out common diseases”? Solving SEO? Idk cotton, let’s see how this plays out.

Sniffs out, meaning diagnoses

Post by rapsey » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 1:10 PM UTC

onra87 wrote: post #374

rapsey wrote: post #306

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Gold will always retain value. Stocks and crypto can fall to 0. It is the only asset that has retained high value for thousands of years. When the future in uncertain (like start of a war/pandemic), gold is a safe heaven. Stocks and crypto get obliterated in panics.

Isn't the future uncertain since the creation of Bitcoin? I'd like to be obliterated like I've been with BTC going through multiple global crisis :)

Post by Lionga » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 1:17 PM UTC

Post by [deleted] » Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 1:26 PM UTC

andy_ppp wrote: post #379

Detrytus wrote: post #370

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Then Ukraine had very aggressive policies against the people from these territories. Let's call it for what it really was: Ukrainians commited genocide against Poles. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Massacres_of_Poles_in_Volhynia...

Even so I assume the vast majority of Polish people would prefer a border with Ukraine rather than a larger one with Russia... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Katyn_massacre https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soviet_repressions_of_Polish_c... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_transfer_in_the_Sov...