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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

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Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#33
post #10
post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> - The slow death of SPAs and client side JavaScript (including WASM in that) will commence due to the dubious ROI. What do you think would replace it? it seems impossible to manage a modern frontend app without it. For most cases, I think we don't need it though.

Server side rendering with light weight JavaScript. The point you make about most cases not needing it is spot on.

This sounds more like a wish than a prediction. I'm saying this as someone who used to love intercooler.js (and really dislikes htmx).

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#35
post #27

- More gentleman layoffs at Google - At least 2 rounds of hard layoffs at Amazon, plus gentleman layoffs. No more Bezos billion dollar Prime Video projects. Shedding at least 10-12% of white collar work force to signal to the market they’re trying to prop the stock - The economic hard landing - Disney stock will fare much better under Iger - Additional rate hikes from the Fed, at least 100bps but maybe 150 - Twitter…

I tried searching, but what is a gentleman layoff?

Layoffs with a very good severance package.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#36
post #19

- We'll see a new social network born. My guess is that it will try to carve out a segment from Twitter and Tiktok due to the recent changes from Musk and U.S. government concerns, respectively. - People will start realizing Vue is just AngularJS all over again and will further converge towards React. There is already many signs of this in Vue3. - Cryptocurrency regulation will be an ongoing discussion, and nothing w…

Could you explain more (or link to an article) about how Vue is AngularJS (and how that's a problem)?

Could be very useful as I'm a Vue fan and currently investing heavily careerwise.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#39
post #28

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I predict the opposite: more movement towards code running in the browser. Not that it is necessary always a good thing!

I think we'll see both, with a sort of push to the two extremes initially, and then the two extremes coming back together to meet in the middle again as WASM gains popularity on both the client and the server leading to a lot more "isomorphic" (stupid term in this context, but whatever) codebases.

I highly doubt WASM will gain much ground. It may for games, but I am willing to take a bet that there are more web apps out there than games.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#40
I have none; I guess 2023 will be broadly similar to 2022, and I feel like the UK is trending down in many respects, but those aren’t predictions worth anything. Huge shifts in the world tend to be unpredictable by ordinary people - many saw a pandemic was due at some point, few saw COVID coming in the six months preceding as very early news came in small fragments from China.

Who, if anyone, tends to make specific predictions down to the months timeframe and has a good track record?

Many in this thread so far are vague - how would you tell if “West tires of war in Ukraine” happened or didn’t? If “people see Vue is Angular again” happened or didn’t in 2033? If “climate change worsens” happens? “Shor’s algorithm will factor 35” is a very specific one, much better.

What specific prediction like that is the most extreme one that you feel confident making?

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