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Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
161–170 of 462 posts
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#162Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think Microsoft was the biggest surprise. In 2010 MacBooks were starting to become very popular, and it looked like Microsoft’s monopoly on consumer computing was coming to an end. It was common to think Microsoft was on a long decline in 2010.
It's interesting how none of the commenters envisioned Microsoft repositioning itself to adapt to technological and business trends. Everyone seems to have thought they would either fight them and lose, or contract to becoming an IBM-like consulting business.
Also, look how much things changed between 2000 and 2010 compared to 2010 to 2020.
Facebook didn’t exist.
Apple was “beleaguered”.
Google was in its infancy and Yahoo was still dominant (before the crash)
Microsoft was seen as unassailable.
Amazon was mostly just an interesting book seller. They were just getting into CDs and hadn’t even made the deal with Toys R Us yet.
Netflix was struggling against BlockBuster renting DVDs.
AOL was still dominant.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#163I think the country is going to become very, very divided.
I wish we’d have a moment where the extremity forces people to snap back and cooperate with one another.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#164> if there is a way to work Elon Musk in there somewhere that would be good, I have a feeling he's going to make some big waves in the next 10 years but I haven't a clue how. -- jacquesm https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025811
The Roadster got delivered on 2008, right but not a crazy prediction based on those times.
Roadster was an extremely niche car for millionaires. Spacex had yet to have a successful launch I believe. So while not a crazy prediction, still impressive that I doubt many people who have bet on
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#165I predict by 2029 Hacker News will be overrun with AI bots and nobody will be to identify them.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#166> Functional programming / dynamic languages will go out of fashion. Glad this didn't happen. Also it's weird to me to equate functional & dynamic like that.
The majority of programming today is not functional at all. I think Functional programming became sort of a tertiary elitist buzzword similar to drunken style kung fu. The effectiveness of the style is well known among practitioners and those that don't practice it look upon it as if it was a foreign and strange art. What people don't realize is that functional programming is mixed martial arts. The art of combat bro…
> The majority of programming today is not functional at all.
That's probably true.
> I think there is little chance FP will become mainstream
That's demonstrably not, as React has basically gone full FP. I would argue that the majority of bootcamp students are now taught functional programming.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#167IsaacL nailed it the best https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1027093 And surprisingly the WoW one is the most off :D
I thought ericb did very well: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025787 "not [electronically] tracking your kids will be considered somewhat negligent"
we're not really quite there yet. Give another 10 years.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#168> Network analysis and data mining will claim their first major political scalp. That'll be a watershed moment: the politics of information are going to start being the kind of core liberal issue that environmental issues currently are. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025703 This poster saw it.
> Network analysis and data mining will claim their first major political scalp.
Who's scalp was it? I don't know any politician who has been taken to task over network analysis and data mining. Fore sure not Obama, whose staffers have quietly chortled that they did far worse than Cambridge Analytica ever did. Definitely not Trump, his numbers are as even as they haev ever been. Maybe Zuckerberg? But he's still CEO of his company.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#169IsaacL nailed it the best https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1027093 And surprisingly the WoW one is the most off :D
Fair, but OP (DanielBMarkham) was only 2 days off on his prediction that "major changes will happen in Iran."
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#170What’s amazing is how little changed. - Apple and Google are still the only two mobile operating systems that matter and they are still in relatively the same position. iOS still controls the high end where the money is and Android has the market share but the OEMs are not making any money. - Facebook is more profitable and popular. - Amazon is still the number one online retailer, the Kindle is still by far the most…
I think Microsoft was the biggest surprise. In 2010 MacBooks were starting to become very popular, and it looked like Microsoft’s monopoly on consumer computing was coming to an end. It was common to think Microsoft was on a long decline in 2010.
But nobody would quite imagine that Microsoft didn't control an iota of mobile computing operating system.