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This will have general inflationary consequences for consumer products (phones, consoles, laptops, etc.). On top of current uncertainties regarding oil and fertilizers, I think 2% …

Jevons Paradox is called a paradox because it is non-intuitive. It is very intuitive to conclude that when costs go up, people will use less of that thing.

I meant that the current business model of the hyperscalers is highly profitable, and that model is selling compute that you could build yourself but you'd rather not to. If OpenAI…

Profit margin determines whether OpenAI and Anthropic survive. The hyperscalers would be fine with a model where they make huge investments in infrastructure and you pay to access …

> The US has slid below Hungary in democracy, Hungary was also straight sliding towards dictatorship. Hungary did a 180 though by electing Peter Maygar. Hopefully the US can do a 1…

When the Wright Brothers first came to Europe in 1908, their prototype could fly for several kilometers of controlled flight. The best European prototypes at that time were absolut…

Anthropic is perceived as the leading AI company in the world. Even if they started selling inference alone, people would prefer to pay them a premium for it rather than figuring o…

> And the fundamentals here are OpenAI and Anthropic, which are massively valued companies. They have humongous commitments and are generating real revenue on the order of twenty b…

It's the end of many eras, all at once. I think the same dilemma will appear for games, music and film too. As our ability to detect AI content deteriorates most authors will resor…

Because there are many legitimate uses for nucleotide synthesis, and we would have to slow scientists down by adding more regulation. The other problem is that it's not like it's v…

I wouldn't bet on token consumption going down any time soon. In the past year or so, the increase has been exponential [1]. [1] https://en.macromicro.me/charts/148532/world-openro…

> Exponential View, a consultancy, counts $175bn of generative-AI revenue, on an annualised basis, in June. In a recent paper Anton Korinek of Anthropic and Patrick McKelvey of the…

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From what I understand, the rare books in question are not some historically relevant medieval manuscripts, but rather some relatively recent books (still under copyright) for whic…

I am fascinated by the discourse around this Bun rewrite. I read a lot of drama and personal accusations, there are pieces like this one trying to extract clues, and it seems every…

A lot of people here are focusing on ADHD, but I think the author is commenting on a different phenomenon, because they were able to concentrate before and now it's just much harde…

> A certain cult likes to claim credit for things that are happening with or without them, and this is my main argument against the valuation of frontier labs. It’s not that AI won…

A very pleasant and informative read. The hypothesis that climate change was the primary cause of what came after seems plausible.

The AI replacement discourse was meant for the investors. Now that they have mostly secured the money, they want to convince the consumers.

We have a demographic collapse looming in the horizon in most developed countries. If we find a way to use 1 human instead of 2 to produce the same amount of intellectual work in 1…

> The proposed arrangement would involve other US AI companies handing over a similar stake, although it is not clear if the other labs would be willing to do so. They will be will…

The amount of radiation exposure on a dental x-ray is still tiny though, we are talking like 5 or 6 orders of magnitude lower than radiation poisoning thresholds. Plus there is ext…

Any suggestions for a VPN service with similar security standards as Mullvad?

If you invest into chips that deprecate in value really fast, not utilizing them to their full capacity because of power constraints would be counter productive.

He tried with a tiny model (gemma3:4b), got a range from 66 to 99. Then tried again with a small model (gemini 3.1 flash lite), the range was 48 to 64. Would a frontier model be mo…