Viewing profile — paulmist

Definitely a rough estimate! I recon base rate is also higher amongst military personnel & it’s not uniformly distributed there either.

Assuming a predominantly male population, the suicide rate should be around 20 per 100000 per year. 5 people in a month gives 18x higher rate. Too short period to draw any statisti…

Correct me if I'm wrong, but all of the aforementioned advances were made in the last year? Until very recently few people had access to these tools. Most people still don't know h…

I love this video on Tay https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HsLup7yy-6I

Even better, Qimonda was ultimately bought (alongside all their patents) by SMIC [1] who is now the Chinese memory player. For 30 million. [1] https://newsletter.semianalysis.com/p…

IIRC Taiwan took a page out of Singapore's playbook and went all in on electrical engineering and adjecent fields. It was very much a long-term strategy. Germany probably didn't fe…

> “Semiconductors, physical AI, and AI data centers are the triple axis for a great leap forward.” Not the best wording... I wonder how serious this announcement is.

Personal anecdote on ROI - I was at an early stage startup earlier this year where we had some burstable long-running GPU tasks (<100 VMs). Accross GCP and OCI we couldn't get our …

I think you're confounding streaming with the rise of solo-queue but cooperative (CS:GO, LoL...) games around 2010. Both were enabled by cheaper computing and alllowed competitive …

I think that's a normal evolution of these games? In the end they are cooperative so your teammates depend on you. Although you'll find plenty of people at the top of the ladder sp…

I wonder if we'll start seeing Amazon/Google/Apple completely verticalize their chip production (TPU/Tranium/M series/Graviton...) and buy (parts of) Intel. Their capex is already …

Can anyone suggest some ways to understand automation trends in manufacturing? Watching factory tours on youtube has been super interesting.

Do you think humanoids would be a fit on assemblying the assembly line itself? To my limited knowledge a lot of setting up the factory is making sure your line works as expected wi…

I first saw Noam on Dwarkesh’s podcast together with Jeff Dean. Recommend if you want a taste of what’s Google’s folks take on things. https://youtu.be/v0gjI__RyCY?is=nz77XP4KiJy7L…

According to IEA[1] most capacity in Europe is from South Korean companies. [1] https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/share-of-manu...

Aren't biggest Qwen 3.7 closed? I don't suspect China's policy here would be anything but ruthless.

It shows the same for this thread. https://imgur.com/a/EOWWUbD

I do agree with the skepticism in this thread. But, if we assume Fable/Mythos really are that good (=easy to misuse) and thep keep getting better, what similar responses (signals) …

Knowing the question is half of the answer. LLMs are great at scoping your context and answering precisely what you asked; it's also why they go off the rails when they misundersta…

Why would it kill PC? There will always be hobbyists, e.g. I can't imagine pro e-sports players running on a Mac. Personally, half of the reason I moved away from Windows is Micros…

I think it's the opposite. Sure in short term hobbyists are getting squeezed, but the amount of capital that they can put into pushing the edge is small compared to Fortune 500. So…

Can you give some context the grad student union and how it intends to fight the explotatiove nature of the academia?

At $15/GB of HBM4 the 331.8TB of HBM4 per pod is 5 million...

I think author's point is that wealth drives investment which drives economic growth. In the case of lavish funerals - warranted in kinship societies - the wealth is spent on relat…