Viewing profile — m-murphy

... it says exactly what they are, q0 is an arbitrary density on R^d, and x is a realization from that density, p1 is the transformed density. This is intro graduate level probabil…

Oh absolutely, so it's all the more important to be precise in what we're estimating and for what purpose, and to be honest about our ability to estimate it with appropriate uncert…

Another related project for ABMs utilizing GPUs: https://docs.flamegpu.com/guide/index.html

Are the entities interacting in any way here? That's pretty critical for agent based models as they enable complicated/unexpected emergent behavior from simplified rules due to the…

I think they mean either what is E[x| y] (standard regression point estimate) along with a confidence interval (this assumes that the mean is a meaningful quantity), or the interva…

Agreed! I also think it's extremely important as practitioners to know what we're even trying to estimate. Expected value (i.e. least squares regression) is the usual first thing t…

You're probably thinking of a predictive interval

That's not what a confidence interval is. A confidence interval is a random variable that covers the true value 95% of the time (assuming the model is correctly specified).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_true_Scotsman