Viewing profile — jeffreyrogers

> Like, the one high signal claim he made turned out to be 25x incorrect! He has dozens of high signal claims in his prediction blog posts. Picking out one of the ones he got wrong…

Last time I checked xgboost and lightgbm still outperformed anything NN based for tabular data.

You can also roll your traditional IRA into an employers 401k (if the plan allows this) to zero out your traditional IRA balance.

Yes, although some plans let you roll contributions into an IRA.

You can convert your 401k to an IRA when you leave an employer. Some employers also offer in service rollovers (I think these mostly have minimum age restrictions on them though)

Roth contributions are withdrawable without penalty. Also most employers offer a match of some amount, which is essentially free money.

I can flag a lot of content that does pretty well online as AI. There are certain rhythmic patterns in the sentence structure and the way arguments are set up that give it away. Th…

Jim Simons (mathematician turned billionaire trader) was a chainsmoker and claimed that he had his genome analyzed and found he was unlikely to get cancer. I always wondered whethe…

It's ironic that the article that caused him to write this post ( https://substack.com/@justindeschamps/note/c-261265212?utm_s... ) is written by AI. I see this style of informatio…

I like using LLMs and one of the main things I'm working on would be impossible for me to tackle without them, but I do think they cause some skills to atrophy despite being a big …

I think some people are drawn to technical careers because they like details and others are drawn to them because they like systems (now people are drawn for money too, but I'm tal…

In college I used mathematica a lot while taking linear algebra. I ended up having to relearn a lot of that math later since I never really understood it at a deep level, although …

I would bet that how your brain stores information that you read from long-form text is very different from how it stores information you acquire from chatting with an LLM. When I …

Fable works very well for me on a moderately large codebase. I have had to correct it a few times or point it on the right track, but given how much faster it is at programming tha…

> Also, big companies can choose to run their own models on their own hardware and get better security and privacy as the data doesn't need to leave their own premises. Yes, and th…

That's not really my argument. It's that companies seem happy to pay a premium for a large company to provide complicated software services to them even when there are cheaper comp…

> free and low-end eventually wins Not in SaaS which is what LLMs are. You can get VMs for much cheaper than AWS, Microsoft, and Google offer them but large companies (and startups…

Yeah, I used to get data corrupting crashes routinely in all sorts of software I use. Now although I occasionally have problems with data not being saved or entered twice, etc. it'…

Seems like this is basically the same theory as what happened in the late 90s internet boom. Lots of speculative investment, over build out of core technology like fiber networks, …

I think the creative outlets will just go into different directions. For example when the camera was invented it caused a crisis in painting since now you could accurately capture …

My comment is not directly responding to the essay, but it got me thinking about about how agentic programming is much more akin to management than it is to actual programming. Man…

The €25k working capital requirement seems a little prescriptive to me (in the US there is nothing like that for non-finance industries, although some businesses need bonds which p…