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California poised to raise minimum wage to $10

money.cnn.com

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Re: California poised to raise minimum wage to $10

#9
I'm going to head off all the armchair economists, including the two* who have already replied as of 15 minutes after the article was posted.

http://www.igmchicago.org/igm-economic-experts-panel/poll-re...

Here's a real survey of actual economists, who largely agree, weighted by confidence, that "The distortionary costs of raising the federal minimum wage to $9 per hour and indexing it to inflation are sufficiently small compared with the benefits to low-skilled workers who can find employment that this would be a desirable policy."

And, economists are reasonably mixed (split between schools, I believe) on the belief that raising the minimum wage to $9 per hour would make it noticeably harder for low-skill workers to find employment, and no one strongly agreed or disagreed. The evidence, the science, of economics, is mixed, as has been demonstrated by a comprehensive meta-analysis by Doucouliagos and Stanley. You can find a graph and other analysis here:

http://www.cepr.net/documents/publications/min-wage-2013-02....

So, in summary, economists mostly believe the benefits of raising the minimum wage outweigh the distortionary economic effects, and none were willing to make strong assertions on the effect it might have on unemployment. Everyone, put down your pitchforks and take off your party insignias, let's just raise the minimum wage a bit and see what happens, because it benefits a lot of people and there is scant evidence of a downside for a marginal increase in the wage floor.

QED.

* Perhaps three, if my sarcasm detector is off?

Re: California poised to raise minimum wage to $10

#10
post #2

Why stop at $10? Why not $15? You know people can't live with $10 working at McDee.

It's $20 here in Denmark (de-facto, via the union wage-negotiation system) and I have no complaints. It means service-industry things like restaurants are considerably more expensive, but then since everyone makes at least $20/hr, that isn't a huge problem for affordability. It basically makes everyone middle-class.
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