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Are prediction markets well-calibrated? Analysis of 7,661 Polymarket markets

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Are prediction markets well-calibrated? Analysis of 7,661 Polymarket markets

#1

Post by johnleslie_pm » Tue, Apr 28, 2026, 11:03 AM UTC

Are prediction markets well-calibrated? Analysis of 7,661 Polymarket markets
polymarket-calibration.vercel.app

Re: Are prediction markets well-calibrated? Analysis of 7,661 Polymarket markets

#2

Post by johnleslie_pm » Tue, Apr 28, 2026, 11:03 AM UTC

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Re: Are prediction markets well-calibrated? Analysis of 7,661 Polymarket markets

#3

Post by edge_trader_41 » Thu, Apr 30, 2026, 7:03 PM UTC

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