AI-Powered F1 Predictions

#1

Post by danielsamuels » Sat, Mar 07, 2026, 7:54 PM UTC

AI-Powered F1 Predictions
danielfinch.co.uk

Re: AI-Powered F1 Predictions

#2

Post by danielsamuels » Sat, Mar 07, 2026, 7:54 PM UTC

This Formula 1 season, I'm putting frontier models to the test - can they use their research capabilities to accurately predict outcomes of races?

Re: AI-Powered F1 Predictions

#3

Post by whoamii » Sun, Mar 08, 2026, 1:39 AM UTC

But can it predict Ferrari’s Next Year (tm)?

Re: AI-Powered F1 Predictions

#4

Post by e40 » Sun, Mar 08, 2026, 6:02 AM UTC

whoamii wrote: post #3

But can it predict Ferrari’s Next Year (tm)?

Maybe easier and more urgently, predict if they should take advantage of a VSC to pit. HAM would have had a podium had he pitted and LEC not.

Re: AI-Powered F1 Predictions

#5

Post by netsharc » Sun, Mar 08, 2026, 6:52 AM UTC

Well, ~1 hour after the race: it got the bets correct. But it didn't expect that Piastri would crash on the way to the grid (of course, we haven't invented a future-seeing AI yet ;) ).

But this is very voodoo, it's asking 3 black boxes "What do you think", they answer, but you probably can't see their reasoning. Or can you?

Re: AI-Powered F1 Predictions

#6

Post by lbreakjai » Sun, Mar 08, 2026, 7:46 AM UTC

e40 wrote: post #4

whoamii wrote: post #3

But can it predict Ferrari’s Next Year (tm)?

Maybe easier and more urgently, predict if they should take advantage of a VSC to pit. HAM would have had a podium had he pitted and LEC not.

Never underestimate Ferrari strategy team's ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

Re: AI-Powered F1 Predictions

#7

Post by Smoosh » Sun, Mar 08, 2026, 9:37 AM UTC

e40 wrote: post #4

whoamii wrote: post #3

But can it predict Ferrari’s Next Year (tm)?

Maybe easier and more urgently, predict if they should take advantage of a VSC to pit. HAM would have had a podium had he pitted and LEC not.

Why would the team apply different strategies if it would not yield any extra points and would probably upset the lower finishing driver ?

Re: AI-Powered F1 Predictions

#8

Post by e40 » Mon, Mar 09, 2026, 7:30 PM UTC

Smoosh wrote: post #7

e40 wrote: post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Maybe easier and more urgently, predict if they should take advantage of a VSC to pit. HAM would have had a podium had he pitted and LEC not.

Why would the team apply different strategies if it would not yield any extra points and would probably upset the lower finishing driver ?

We know that in hindsight, but at the time even Lewis asked why they didn't pit one driver.