If AI has a bright future, why does AI think it doesn't?
1–10 of 23 posts
Re: If AI has a bright future, why does AI think it doesn't?
#2Those who think Gary Marcus, Ed Zitron and Yann LeCunn are wrong, and believe in AI: How do you reconcile things when AI thinks the market is highly likely to collapse?
Quote: "The entire system only works if AI revenue grows fast enough to outrun the obsolescence treadmill. For that to happen, Microsoft would need approximately $130 billion per year in new AI revenue, Google $100 billion, Amazon $120 billion, and Meta $70 billion. Against a current reality of $18 billion in total industry AI revenue and zero profits, that gap is not a rounding error. It is the entire bet."
Re: If AI has a bright future, why does AI think it doesn't?
#3LLMs are heavily biased by what it is told.
It is not magic, it is not an oracle, it is not good at analysis, and is particularly bad at predicting the future.
Re: If AI has a bright future, why does AI think it doesn't?
#4LLMs are heavily biased by what it is told. It is not magic, it is not an oracle, it is not good at analysis, and is particularly bad at predicting the future.
Garbage in, garbage out.
(If OP was trying to make the bull case then the same snark would still apply.)
Re: If AI has a bright future, why does AI think it doesn't?
#5Those who think Gary Marcus, Ed Zitron and Yann LeCunn are wrong, and believe in AI: How do you reconcile things when AI thinks the market is highly likely to collapse? Quote: "The entire system only works if AI revenue grows fast enough to outrun the obsolescence treadmill. For that to happen, Microsoft would need approximately $130 billion per year in new AI revenue, Google $100 billion, Amazon $120 billion, and Me…
Stock market collapses and technological success are two very different things. The internet led to a market collapse just as it started showing real promise. One of the problems is that you can't invest in a technology, only in companies, and oftentimes the companies that turn a technology into financial success are not the ones that exist when the technology is in its infancy. It's not unlikely that LLM will be a huge success while Nvidia, OpenAI, and Anthropic collapse.
Re: If AI has a bright future, why does AI think it doesn't?
#6a) LLM’s don’t have introspection capabilities
b) in my observation, the longer context window, the more unhinged/pessimistic LLM output becomes
Re: If AI has a bright future, why does AI think it doesn't?
#7Because AI doesn't think and apparently a lot of people using it don't think critically either.
Re: If AI has a bright future, why does AI think it doesn't?
#8LLM's are like accountants looking at the past.
The numbers are bad therefore it will collapse.
Re: If AI has a bright future, why does AI think it doesn't?
#9Because AI doesn't think and apparently a lot of people using it don't think critically either.
[flagged]
Re: If AI has a bright future, why does AI think it doesn't?
#10Those who think Gary Marcus, Ed Zitron and Yann LeCunn are wrong, and believe in AI: How do you reconcile things when AI thinks the market is highly likely to collapse? Quote: "The entire system only works if AI revenue grows fast enough to outrun the obsolescence treadmill. For that to happen, Microsoft would need approximately $130 billion per year in new AI revenue, Google $100 billion, Amazon $120 billion, and Me…
Stock market collapses and technological success are two very different things. The internet led to a market collapse just as it started showing real promise. One of the problems is that you can't invest in a technology, only in companies, and oftentimes the companies that turn a technology into financial success are not the ones that exist when the technology is in its infancy. It's not unlikely that LLM will be a h…
When people are talking about an AI bubble, they are explicitly talking about the stock market. It’s not at all about the question if LLMs are useful or not.