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The "Confident Idiot" Problem: Intelligence vs. Control (2021-2026)

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Re: The "Confident Idiot" Problem: Intelligence vs. Control (2021-2026)

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The Data:

Green Line (Capability): MMLU State-of-the-Art (48% → 94%).

Red Line (Control): Organizations with effective mitigation for inaccuracy/hallucination (lagging at ~52%).

Sources:

MMLU: Official Repository (hendrycks/test) and Model Technical Reports.

Risk: McKinsey “State of AI” Annual Reports (2023–2025).

The Gap: Intelligence is surging. Control is lagging. We are currently in the gap (High capability, low trust).

How are you solving the gap?

Potential Solution: Move verification outside the model using deterministic “Reality Locks” (Regex, SQL AST, Entropy)

Repo: https://github.com/imtt-dev/steer