A new AI winter is coming?
taranis.ie
A new AI winter is coming?
1–10 of 301 posts
Re: A new AI winter is coming?
#2Modern LLMs could be like the equivalent of those steam powered toys the Romans had in their time. Steam tech went through a long winter before finally being fully utilized for the Industrial Revolution. We’ll probably never see the true AI revolution in our lifetime, only glimpses of what could be, through toys like LLMs.
What we should underscore though, is that even if there is a new AI winter, the world isn’t going back to what it was before AI. This is it, forever.
Generations ahead will gaslight themselves into thinking this AI world is better, because who wants to grow up knowing they live in a shitty era full of slop? Don’t believe it.
Re: A new AI winter is coming?
#3Can't wait
Re: A new AI winter is coming?
#4LLMs have failed to live up to the hype, but they haven't failed outright.
Re: A new AI winter is coming?
#5> The technology is essentially a failure
Really? I derive a ton of value from it. For me it’s a phenomenal advancement and not a failure at all.
Re: A new AI winter is coming?
#6[deleted]
Re: A new AI winter is coming?
#7This has convinced many non-programmers that they can program, but the results are consistently disastrous, because it still requires genuine expertise to spot the hallucinations.
I've been programming for 30+ years and now a people manager. Claude Code has enabled me to code again and I'm several times more productive than I ever was as an IC in the 2000s and 2010s. I suspect this person hasn't really tried the most recent generation, it is quite impressive and works very well if you do know what you are doing
Re: A new AI winter is coming?
#8Well, the original "AI winter" was caused by defense contracts running out without anything to show for it -- turns out, the generals of the time could only be fooled by Eliza clones for so long...
The current AI hype is fueled by public markets, and as they found out during the pandemic, the first one to blink and acknowledge the elephant in the room loses, bigly.
So, even in the face of a devastating demonstration of "AI" ineffectiveness (which I personally haven't seen, despite things being, well, entirely underwhelming), we may very well stuck in this cycle for a while yet...
Re: A new AI winter is coming?
#9This has convinced many non-programmers that they can program, but the results are consistently disastrous, because it still requires genuine expertise to spot the hallucinations. I've been programming for 30+ years and now a people manager. Claude Code has enabled me to code again and I'm several times more productive than I ever was as an IC in the 2000s and 2010s. I suspect this person hasn't really tried the most…
Isn't that what the author means?
"it still requires genuine expertise to spot the hallucinations"
"works very well if you do know what you are doing"
Re: A new AI winter is coming?
#10>Expect OpenAI to crash, hard, with investors losing their shirts.
Lol someone doesn't understand how the power structure system works "the golden rule". There is a saying if you owe the bank 100k you have a problem. If you owe the bank ten million the bank has a problem. OpenAI and the other players have made this bubble so big that there is no way the power system will allow themselves to take the hit. Expect some sort of tax subsided bailout in the near future.