Betting against YouTube Financial Influencers beat the S&P 500 (risky though)?
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Re: Betting against YouTube Financial Influencers beat the S&P 500 (risky though)?
#2We analyzed hundreds of stock recommendation videos from finance YouTubers (aka finfluencers) and backtested the results. Turns out, doing the opposite of what they say—literally inverting the advice—beat the S&P 500 by over +6.8% in annual returns (but with higher volatility).
Re: Betting against YouTube Financial Influencers beat the S&P 500 (risky though)?
#3We analyzed hundreds of stock recommendation videos from finance YouTubers (aka finfluencers) and backtested the results. Turns out, doing the opposite of what they say—literally inverting the advice—beat the S&P 500 by over +6.8% in annual returns (but with higher volatility).
how does that compare to betting against Jim Cramer?
Re: Betting against YouTube Financial Influencers beat the S&P 500 (risky though)?
#4Did it beat....doing literally nothing?
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/05/heres-why-dead-investors-out...
Re: Betting against YouTube Financial Influencers beat the S&P 500 (risky though)?
#5Did it beat....doing literally nothing? https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/05/heres-why-dead-investors-out...
Investing in the QQQ or S&P 500 can often be a better idea than doing literally nothing.
Re: Betting against YouTube Financial Influencers beat the S&P 500 (risky though)?
#6Did it beat....doing literally nothing? https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/05/heres-why-dead-investors-out...
There is a lot of psychology in the reasons why.
Re: Betting against YouTube Financial Influencers beat the S&P 500 (risky though)?
#7We analyzed hundreds of stock recommendation videos from finance YouTubers (aka finfluencers) and backtested the results. Turns out, doing the opposite of what they say—literally inverting the advice—beat the S&P 500 by over +6.8% in annual returns (but with higher volatility).
how does that compare to betting against Jim Cramer?
I haven't benchmarked inverse Cramer recently, but last I heard not too well: https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/187612o/inv...
Anyone know how it is doing recently?
Re: Betting against YouTube Financial Influencers beat the S&P 500 (risky though)?
#8Contrarians betting against the herd have often been very successful. For example, John Paulson and Michael Burry made billions by shorting CDOs that lead to the 2008 crisis. The movie "The Big Short" is an Ok dramatization of how it all unfolded.
Same herd mentality, different soapbox.
Re: Betting against YouTube Financial Influencers beat the S&P 500 (risky though)?
#9Contrarians betting against the herd have often been very successful. For example, John Paulson and Michael Burry made billions by shorting CDOs that lead to the 2008 crisis. The movie "The Big Short" is an Ok dramatization of how it all unfolded. Same herd mentality, different soapbox.
I wonder if it is because we hear about people who are successful betting against the herd.
Re: Betting against YouTube Financial Influencers beat the S&P 500 (risky though)?
#10Contrarians betting against the herd have often been very successful. For example, John Paulson and Michael Burry made billions by shorting CDOs that lead to the 2008 crisis. The movie "The Big Short" is an Ok dramatization of how it all unfolded. Same herd mentality, different soapbox.
I wonder if it is because we hear about people who are successful betting against the herd.
This is certainly part of it. The survivors write the narrative.