Sequence to sequence learning with neural networks: what a decade
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Re: Sequence to sequence learning with neural networks: what a decade
#2link to full talk.
Re: Sequence to sequence learning with neural networks: what a decade
#3Is there a transcript? The slides are very clear and useful already but I guess there is more.
Re: Sequence to sequence learning with neural networks: what a decade
#4Already being discussed here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42413677
Re: Sequence to sequence learning with neural networks: what a decade
#5link to full talk. https://x.com/vincentweisser/status/1867719020444889118
Nothing new is really said? Yet, things are going to happen!
Re: Sequence to sequence learning with neural networks: what a decade
#6An important point from this talk:
The better the models are at reasoning, the less predictable they become.
This is analogous to top chess engines which make surprising moves that even human super grandmasters can't always understand.
Thus, the future will be unpredictable (if superintelligence takes control).
Link to the full talk & the time he talks about this: https://youtu.be/1yvBqasHLZs?si=3M6eZCQtXnW2tSUd&t=866
Re: Sequence to sequence learning with neural networks: what a decade
#7An important point from this talk: The better the models are at reasoning, the less predictable they become. This is analogous to top chess engines which make surprising moves that even human super grandmasters can't always understand. Thus, the future will be unpredictable (if superintelligence takes control). Link to the full talk & the time he talks about this: https://youtu.be/1yvBqasHLZs?si=3M6eZCQtXnW2tSUd&t=86…
> Thus, the future will be unpredictable (if we let superintelligence take control)
As opposed to the predictable future we've had for the past few decades?
Re: Sequence to sequence learning with neural networks: what a decade
#8[dead]
Re: Sequence to sequence learning with neural networks: what a decade
#9An important point from this talk: The better the models are at reasoning, the less predictable they become. This is analogous to top chess engines which make surprising moves that even human super grandmasters can't always understand. Thus, the future will be unpredictable (if superintelligence takes control). Link to the full talk & the time he talks about this: https://youtu.be/1yvBqasHLZs?si=3M6eZCQtXnW2tSUd&t=86…
> Thus, the future will be unpredictable (if we let superintelligence take control) As opposed to the predictable future we've had for the past few decades?
I think it's a matter of magnitude and semantics. It was quite predictable that the Internet would take off, become ubiquitous, and highly influential.
If superintelligence emerges soon, we may not even know which technologies will emerge and how many will be unleashed in the next 2 decades.
ADDED: Examples of some concrete predictions:
(1980) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Third_Wave_(Toffler_book)
(1995) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Road_Ahead_(Gates_book)
Obviously, specifics differ from predictions and plenty of people got it wrong. Many good forecasters got the broad strokes right though.
Which forecasters can even predict most technologies that would be invented after ASI emerges?
Re: Sequence to sequence learning with neural networks: what a decade
#10Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Thus, the future will be unpredictable (if we let superintelligence take control) As opposed to the predictable future we've had for the past few decades?
I think it's a matter of magnitude and semantics. It was quite predictable that the Internet would take off, become ubiquitous, and highly influential. If superintelligence emerges soon, we may not even know which technologies will emerge and how many will be unleashed in the next 2 decades. ADDED: Examples of some concrete predictions: (1980) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Third_Wave_(Toffler_book) (1995) https:/…
Plenty of people predicted that the Internet was just a fad.